Before Jay Cutler broke his thumb, before Matt Forte sprained his knee, before the Bears were 7-4, the Seattle Seahawks on Dec. 18 was penciled in as a gimme and the only question was whether the Packers would be playing all their stars the following week.
Now the details matter, of the season, of the Seahawks, and it will be very, very difficult on the Bears.
Denver had won five straight before the Bears drew the Broncos. Seattle has won four of five, beginning with an upending of the Baltimore Ravens, and the Seahawks are giving up an average of 14.8 points over that span. Granted the span included St. Louis twice, Washington and Philadelphia, but this is the NFL and sub-15 points is winning defensive football.
But if a Bears fan really wants something to worry about, consider that the top running back in the NFL isnt Chris Johnson, isnt Ray Rice, isnt Arian Foster.
Its Marshawn Lynch, who has netted 706 yards over the past six games. Particularly noteworthy is that his high has been 148 yards and his low was 88, meaning that the numbers are not inflated by one or two insane games.
And Lynch has scored at least one touchdown in each of Seattles last nine games.
Look past the overall, which says Seattle ranks 20th in the NFL at 107.2 yards per game. Since Week 9, only the Broncos with 1,150 ground yards are better than the Seahawks 850.