The Seattle Seahawks come to Chicago having wonfour out of their lastfive games.Granted two of those wins came against the lowly St. Louis Rams, but the Great Northwest seized on confidence sinceWeek 10by defeating the Baltimore Ravens 22-17.The Bears are the better team, but with continuing offensive issues along with added distractions, it will take a great deal of focus to get a victory this weekend.Normally the focus required to win occurs during the week of preparation. Unfortunately, the Bears lost that luxury when Sam Hurds alleged drug arrest unfolded mid-week. It is just another variable mentally and physically the Bears must deal with when facing the Seahawks.Releasing Hurd should have a positive impact in the locker room along with sending a message about the kind of character the Bears organization wants represented. Hurds special teams contributions will be lost but special teams coach Dave Toub will fill the void with another capable player. Open it upIve been preaching for MikeMartz to minimize Caleb Hanie's opportunities for mistakes. Martz did an incredible job in this department against Denver last week and the Bears still lost 13-10. Seattle is stouter defensively with their front seven than Denver and running the football will be a challenge for Chicago. Marion Barber should be motivated after being last weeks goat, but rushing for over 100 yards on 27 carries like against Denver will be difficult.The running game works against the Bears this week because being productive on first and second down was an issue last week. They cannot survive trying to convert as many3rd and 16situations like against Denver.Rushing attempts will be better served onthird down or second andsix yards or more situations when Seattle substitutes in their speed rushers.Thus, offensive production is going to be required fromHanie and the receivers onfirst andsecond down. I dont particularly like this matchup either for Chicago as Seattle cornerbacks Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner are both over six feet tall with excellent running ability. They both have played very well the past few weeks.If wide receievers Johnny Knox, Earl Bennett, Devin Hester or Roy Williams do not get physical off the line of scrimmage throughout the entirety of their route, it will be a long day for the Bears again offensively. Play with your hair on fireI love that saying.It truly applies this week for the entire Bears roster in all three phases. Seattle presents an absolute must win game scenario for the Bears to keep their playoff hopes alive. Chicago has good matchups in the trenches on defense against Seattles offensive line which has been decimated by injuries.Seattle has backups upon backups starting at this point on their offensive line.The Bears defense is still number two in the NFC and eighth overall yielding only 19.6 points a game.But this is where the Bears biggest problem exists. Chicago only averages 11 pointsper game offensively since Hanie assumed the starting quarterback role for an injured Jay Cutler.
DECATUR, Ill. — The Bears do not expect Trey Burton to begin training camp on the physically unable to perform list, clearing up a question that’s lingered ever since the team revealed the tight end underwent sports hernia surgery earlier this year.
But while Burton will participate to some extent in camp — general manager Ryan Pace said the team will be “smart” about his workload — the Bears will nonetheless have some important questions to answer about their group of tight ends in the coming weeks.
Specifically: The Bears can help Mitch Trubisky be a more efficient and productive quarterback by being more effective when using 12 personnel (two tight ends, one running back). It’s an area of the offense Matt Nagy wasn’t able to maximize in 2018, with Adam Shaheen missing more than half the season due to a foot injury and a concussion, and Dion Sims proving to be ineffective when he was on the field.
“It's all predicated based off of matchups, and so who are you going against and do you like your tight ends or do you like your other skill guys,” Nagy said.
Ideally, Shaheen will be more available than he has been over his first two years in the league, during which he’s missed 13 games. The same goes for Burton: The Bears’ offense struggled to overcome his sudden absence in the playoffs, with the trickle-down effect being the Philadelphia Eagles successfully limiting what Tarik Cohen could do in that loss.
The Bears like their receivers — it’s arguably the deepest unit on the team — and primarily used 11 personnel last year (three receivers, one tight end, one running back) with Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel and Anthony Miller the primary targets. With Cordarrelle Patterson and Riley Ridley now on the roster, it’s may be unrealistic to expect the Bears to use 12 personnel any more frequently than they did last year (17 percent, which was even with the NFL average).
But when the Bears do use 12 personnel, there’s room for improvement in terms of efficiency and effectiveness. While in 12 personnel in 2018, the Bears averaged about a yard per carry and two yards per pass attempt less than league average; Trubisky and Chase Daniel combined for a passer rating of 85 in 12 personnel, about 17 points lower than the league average.
The point here is that throwing out of 12 personnel is, per Warren Sharp’s 2019 Football Preview, is more efficient than throwing from 11 personnel. It makes sense: 12 personnel forces teams to play their base defense instead of having five defensive backs on the field in nickel. Getting the athleticism of Burton and Shaheen matched up against linebackers more frequently would seem to be a positive for the Bears.
The Bears liked what they saw from Shaheen during training camp last year before he injured his foot in a preseason game, and Pace was pleased with how the 2017 second-round pick looked during spring practices.
“Very encouraged last year, very encouraged in the preseason, and he knows this, he’s just got to stay healthy,” Pace said. “He’s had a great offseason. He’s just got to keep on stacking positive day after positive day. Same thing with Trey. And we’re excited about (Ben) Braunecker. There are a lot of younger pieces in play. We’re excited to see that play out.
“Nagy utilizes the tight end position a lot. Part of it, especially for Shaheen, is just staying healthy.”
Shaheen still is a relative unknown, though. The Bears haven’t seen him handle a large workload much — he played more than 50 percent of the offensive snaps in a given game just three times in his career. He’s only logged 17 receptions and 175 yards since entering the league; Burton surpassed those totals against the AFC East in 2018 (four games, 18 receptions, 195 yards).
Bradley Sowell (a converted offensive lineman) and the group of Dax Raymond, Ian Bunting, Jesper Horsted and Ellis Richardson (undrafted free agents) are even more unknown in terms of tight end depth, too. How the Bears are able to develop depth at both the “Y” (in-line) and “U” (move) tight end positions in Bourbonnais will be an important storyline to follow.
Last week, we looked at how passing to running backs on first down can help Trubisky and the Bears’ offense be better in 2019. Consider better production from 12 personnel to be another path to the kind of critical offensive growth the Bears need.
DECATUR, Ill. — The Bears will report to Bourbonnais for training camp on Thursday with everything on the table regarding their kicking competition — well, everything but making a trade for Robbie Gould.
Elliott Fry or Eddy Pineiro could emerge from training camp and four preseason games as the clear-cut choice to be the Bears’ placekicker when the 2019 season opens Sept. 5 against the Green Bay Packers. Alternatively, both could not do enough to convince Ryan Pace, Matt Nagy and the Bears’ brass that they’re the solution to the most glaring weakness on an otherwise Super Bowl-caliber roster.
So not only will Pineiro and Fry be competing against each other, they’ll be competing against a group of kickers around the league who could wind up on the trading block or the waiver wire in the coming weeks.
"We’re watching all the teams, all the competitive situations around the league — one of them will be kicker," Pace said. "We’re just watching that progress as we go forward. We know right now where we stand, where some of those battles are occurring. We’re watching those. And I’m sure there will be ones that will pop up that might surprise us."
The first 11 questions of Pace and Matt Nagy’s pre-training-camp press conference on Sunday involved the kicking position in some way, an indication of a few things.
First and foremost is what’s at stake for the Bears with this kicking battle. 2018’s season ended well short of the Super Bowl when Cody Parkey’s 43-yard kick double-doinked off the uprights at Soldier Field; if the 2019 Bears — with a stronger roster — suffer the same fate, it’ll go down as one of the biggest, most gutting disappointments in franchise history.
Second is an indication of how deep the Bears’ roster is: What else, really, is there to talk about in terms of training camp battles besides kicker? There will be a heated competition at the bottom of the team’s wide receiver depth chart, and the Bears need better play (and better health) from their tight ends. But this is a strong, talented roster across all units — except for kicker.
That’s not to say the Bears aren’t without their questions, from how good Mitch Trubisky will be to how the defense adjusts to Chuck Pagano’s scheme to how this team handles the high expectations created by 2018’s success. But those are topics that’ll play out during the regular season; the kicking battle has to be solved by Week 1’s kickoff.
And final reason for the "hyper focus," as Pace put it, on the kicking competition is the overwhelming interest in the topic from fans. Bears chairman George McCaskey said on Sunday his team’s kicking situation has come up in every interaction he’s had with fans over the last six and a half months.
“Thanks for the reminder,” McCaskey said he’s responded. “We’re working on that.”
How the competition between Fry and Pineiro plays out in Bourbonnais and then into preseason games will be fascinating to follow. Nagy hinted during the spring at throwing some curveballs at each kicker, and while he said Sunday he doesn’t plan on calling for field goal attempts on third down during preseason games, he did say he’s going to do what he can to make sure each kicker gets as many chances as possible to be evaluated.
“We need to figure out this position, right? We need to understand it’s a crucial spot first we’ve got to get right,” Nagy said. “I think the more opportunities that you have for these guys to prove who the are and what they could do, we’ll take ‘em.
“So there may be some questionable playcalls in the preseason. I’ll just leave it at that and we’ll go from there.”
For now, Pace characterized Fry and Pineiro as “even” heading into training camp. So may the best kicker win, whether he'll be in Bourbonnais on Thursday or not.
“Those guys are going to battle it out,” Pace said. “Obviously we’re scouring the waiver wire as we go forward. And it’s kind of open competition.”