The Bears followed the Cleveland Browns and San Francisco 49ers in the pre-trade order of the 2017 NFL Draft. Looking at one very inexact indicator, some thinking exists that those could again be the top three in next year's draft.
Cantor Technologies, which puts out odds on NFL games every Thursday, has set spreads for 2017 games through Week 16, staying away from Week 17 because of variables like playoff clinches, players sitting out, etc. The Bears play both the 49ers and Browns, and those are the only two games (both played in Soldier Field) in which bookmakers have established the Bears as favorites.
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The Browns, who won just one game last year to earn the No. 1-overall pick, are a Pick'em in one game (vs. the New York Jets). Every other game? Underdogs.
The 49ers went into the draft picking No. 2 by virtue of their 2-14 record and are favored only once, by 1.5 vs. the Log Angeles Rams in Week 3.
The books don’t appear to have liked the Jets’ offseason, rating them a favorite just once and a Pick'em in two others.
It's early (extremely early) in the 2020 NFL Draft process, and the Bears' team needs between now and when their first pick (No. 43 overall) is on the clock are certain to change. The general consensus right now is that offensive line, tight end and quarterback will be early draft targets, but edge rusher can't be overlooked.
Leonard Floyd's failure to emerge as the pass rusher the Bears need to complement Khalil Mack is a bigger problem than GM Ryan Pace or coach Matt Nagy want to admit. In fact, Floyd's ineffective style of play could cost Chicago a chance at becoming a truly elite defense and potentially limit the astronomical upside Mack has as a generational talent.
If the Bears decide to pull the fifth-year option from Floyd, they'll have no choice but to attack the position early in the 2020 draft. It appears like they're doing their homework for that scenario, too.
Bears scouts met with Tulsa edge rusher Trevis Gipson at length following Wednesday's Senior Bowl practice, an indication that the position is at least high enough on their wish list that extensive homework on pass rushers is being done.
Gipson helped his draft stock at the Senior Bowl and was an early winner among edge rushers at the game. His practice reps confirmed his tape; the dude knows how to get to the quarterback. He had eight sacks in 2019 and plays with a high-energy style that's certain to entice Chicago's coaching staff. He isn't an elite athlete, but he has an appealing frame (34-inch arms) and powerful hands.
Gipson began the week as a late-Day-3 prospect. He helped his stock and may have jumped a round or two along the way.
The Bears didn't have much of a rookie class in 2019. Last April's draft produced just five picks, two of which didn't appear in a regular-season game for the Bears.
But the production of running back David Montgomery was enough to carry the rookie class to a top-10 ranking, according to Pro Football Focus.
The Bears checked-in at eighth.
The Bears have a strange class. They had only five picks, none before Round 3, with three of those five selections coming after Round 6. As a result, their expected return was low. Running back David Montgomery was really the only Bears' rookie to play significant snaps, and he managed to provide enough return from his third-round selection to land them at No. 8.
It's pretty remarkable that Chicago's 2019 rookie class — essentially, Montgomery — garnered this much respect from PFF. Wide receiver Riley Ridley showed signs of life late in the season and cornerback Duke Shelley will be given an opportunity to carve out a role on defense next season, but with running back Kerrith Whyte, Jr. and cornerback Stephen Denmark making no impact whatsoever (Whyte is no longer with the team), the 2019 class won't be remembered as one that laid a championship foundation in Chicago.
Sure, Montgomery has a chance to become one of the NFL's more talented starting running backs (he ended his rookie season with 889 yards and six touchdowns), but if Ridley and Shelley don't turn into legitimate contributors in 2020 or 2021, the class will go down as an epic failure for GM Ryan Pace.
Remember: The Bears didn't have a first-round pick because of the trade for outside linebacker Khalil Mack. That's a win for Pace, but it doesn't change the fact that he had five selections at his disposal and ended up with what appears to be just one impact player after their rookie seasons.