Plenty of implications for Bears after signing of Mike Glennon

Plenty of implications for Bears after signing of Mike Glennon

Without realistic chances of getting Kirk Cousins away from the Washington Redskins or Jimmy Garoppolo out of the New England Patriots, the Bears and GM Pace opted for the upside of former Tampa Bay Buccaneer No. 2 quarterback Mike Glennon, 27, over the known quantity of Brian Hoyer, 31, heading into a pivotal third year for GM Ryan Pace and coach John Fox running Bears football operations.
The move is the first major step taken by Pace to address the starting-quarterback situation by other than staying with Jay Cutler in 2015, a decision strongly pushed by then-offensive coordinator Adam Gase and carried on by successor Dowell Loggains. The organization stayed the Cutler course last year but it was a final prove-it season with the last of the guaranteed money owed under the contract Cutler signed under former GM Phil Emery going into 2014.
For now, the Bears have two quarterbacks under contract: Glennon and Connor Shaw.
Previous quarterback moves by Pace and the Fox coaching staff involved backups. Those included re-signing Jimmy Clausen in 2015 and upgrading to Hoyer last offseason to back up Cutler, waiver-claiming Shaw as a developmental project last July and signing Matt Barkley to the practice squad last September. Pace did not draft a quarterback in either of his first two Bears drafts; he is expected to this year irrespective of the Glennon signing.

[MORE: End of an era: Bears set to release Jay Cutler]
Glennon in 21 games, 18 starts, has compiled a career passer rating of 84.6, a tick below that of Cutler (85.7) and Hoyer (84.8).  He has completed 59 percent of his 630 passes for 4,100 yards with 30 touchdowns and 15 interceptions during his 21 games with the Buccaneers.
Glennon also has some history of ball security, with a respectable interception rate of 2.4 percent, in line with Hoyer's 2.2 percent and NFC North now-rivals Teddy Bridgewater in Minnesota (2.5 percent) and Detroit's Matthew Stafford (2.5). Cutler, by comparison, was interception-prone at 3.3 percent, and no team reached the NFL postseason in 2016 with a quarterback interception rate higher than 3.1 percent (Houston/Brock Osweiler, Miami/Ryan Tannehill).

Glennon tipping points
Lavishing money on a quarterback with just 18 career starts comes with considerable risk, and more than a few questions. The Houston Texans took a similar flier on an inexperienced Osweiler last offseason and now face major challenges recovering from what appears to have been misplaced hope.
Glennon is not without high points in his NFL background, however, clearly what the Bears are banking on, literally and figuratively.
In what was likely a tipping point in the Bears' evaluation and conclusions about him, Glennon, who hadn't seen the field since 2014, replaced the injured Jameis Winston late in a blowout loss against the Super Bowl-bound Atlanta Falcons on Nov. 3. Playing just 12 snaps in the fourth quarter, Glennon completed 10 of 11 passes for 75 yards and a touchdown, plus one more throw for a two-point conversion, against a very good Atlanta defense, albeit in garbage time with the Falcons up 43-20. Glennon played three snaps the following week in Tampa Bay's win over the Bears in Tampa.
Glennon had a respectable rookie season (2013) with an 83.9 passer rating, 59.4-percent completion percentage, 19 TD's vs. 9 INT's. He went to the bench behind Josh McCown in 2014 but in his first start when McCown was injured, Glennon directed the Buccaneers to a road win over the Pittsburgh Steelers, who eventually would win the AFC Central and reach the AFC Championship game that season.
Sources familiar with Glennon said he was comfortable taking charge of his huddle in spite of his relatively short resume, and he was not intimidated by big moments, or opponents.

Bumpy ride in Tampa
Tampa Bay selected Glennon, a two-year starter at North Carolina State, with the 11th pick (73rd overall) of the third round in 2013, one of the poorest quarterback classes in years. E.J. Manuel (Buffalo, No. 16) was the only quarterback taken in round one, Geno Smith (N.Y. Jets, No. 39) alone in the second, and Glennon in the third. None has developed into a sustainable starting quarterback, and both the Bills and Jets were among the teams looking hardest at Glennon in recent weeks. Four quarterbacks were selected in the 2013 fourth round, beginning with Matt Barkley; same lack of results.
Glennon came into a potentially good situation (for him), with the Bucs near the end of their hope for former No. 1 pick (2009) Josh Freeman. When the season started 0-3 under Freeman, the switch was made to Glennon, who went 4-9 as Tampa Bay's starter with a passer rating of 83.9.
But coach Greg Schiano was fired and Lovie Smith hired in 2014. When the Bears did not make a strong move to keep Josh McCown, Smith and the Bucs signed McCown to a two-year deal and installed him as the starter instead of Glennon, although Smith regarded Glennon as potentially Tampa Bay's quarterback of the future.
Glennon had chances in 2014 when McCown missed time with injuries, but the Bucs finished 2-14 and used the No. 1-overall pick on Jameis Winston, who became the day-one starter and Glennon never started again. He did not see the field at all in 2015 and filled in for Winston twice last season with a total of 15 snaps taken.
The Buccaneers had trade offers for Glennon in the 2015 and 2016 offseasons but opted to hold onto him as a backup to Winston. And they did make an offer, but one based on his remaining a backup.
"We'd love to have Mike back in a perfect scenario," Bucs general manager Jason Licht had said last week at the NFL Scouting Combine in Indianapolis, adding prophetically, “It's going to depend on him. He's going to have some other opportunities. Where it is, what's the landscape there, how good of a chance he has to start there? I don't know but we'd love to have him back."

NFC North: What Bears fans should be watching in Week 3

NFC North: What Bears fans should be watching in Week 3

Chicago Bears fans will get to enjoy a stress-free Sunday in Week 3 with the Bears playing Monday night against the Redskins. They'll have an opportunity to do a little advanced scouting of the NFC North, too, with all three division rivals in action Sunday afternoon in games that, unfortunately, may not present the biggest challenge.

The Packers (2-0) face an opponent familiar to the Bears when they welcome the Broncos to Lambeau Field. Green Bay is a heavy favorite (7.5 points) and based on what Denver revealed in Week 2, Aaron Rodgers should be more than capable of scoring enough points to give the Packers' top-tier defense enough of a cushion to beat up on Joe Flacco and the very average Broncos offense. 

The Vikings (1-1) have arguably the easiest game in Week 3 against the Raiders (1-1) at home. Oakland was one of Week 1's surprise winners over the Broncos, but they came back to earth a bit in Week 2's loss to the Chiefs. Expect a rebound performance from Kirk Cousins and the rest of Minnesota's offense. The Vikings are the biggest NFC North favorites of the week; they're projected to win by nine points or more.

The Lions (1-0-1) have the most challenging game of the three as they'll travel to Philadelphia to face the 1-1 Eagles. Detroit was an upset-winner over the Chargers in Week 2 and very easily could be 2-0 had they held onto their lead in Week 1 against the Cardinals, but they simply aren't talented enough to expect much of a fight against Philadelphia, one of the NFC's Super Bowl favorites. The line is pretty close, however. The Eagles are only favored by 4.5 (at home). 

How many yards will Mitch Trubisky throw for vs. Washington?

How many yards will Mitch Trubisky throw for vs. Washington?

The 2019 NFL season is still very young with only two weeks in its rear-view mirror, but the talking points surrounding Chicago Bears QB Mitch Trubisky are starting to get really old. He's been the subject of relentless criticism because of the offense's slow start and while some concerns regarding his development have merit, most of them are the product of impatience.

For example, the lazy suggestion that Trubisky is a bust because his 2017 NFL draft classmates Patrick Mahomes and DeShaun Watson, both of whom he was drafted ahead of, are already league superstars is just wrong. Players evolve and develop at different speeds. Trubisky is the only one of the three on his second head coach and is only just now beginning to develop timing with his receivers, all of whom were added to the team via free agency or the draft last season. Neither Watson nor Mahomes have had nearly as much turbulence and turnover as Trubisky through three seasons. And that matters.

It also matters who a quarterback faces from week to week. Trubisky's 2019 season started against two of the NFL's better defenses in Green Bay and Denver, so his poor stat line is a combination of his below-average play meeting above-average defenses. It's tough for a young quarterback to get out of a slump when he's battling top-tier pass rushers and quality secondaries along the way.

Fortunately, he'll get his first big opportunity to put up quality stats against the Redskins Monday night; Washington is one of the NFL's worst defenses right now, including against the pass.

But Bears fans are still somewhat skeptical about Trubisky's ceiling in Week 3. A matchup like this should make a 300-yard game within his reach. Maybe even a couple of touchdowns. But according to a recent poll I ran on Twitter, Bears fans don't see it coming out that way.

The majority of fans (36%) think Trubisky will end the game with somewhere between 200-249 yards, which by today's NFL standards is very (very!) average. If you factor the 29% who think he won't even reach 200 yards, you end up with 65% of Bears fans thinking Trubisky won't reach 250 yards and, in theory, could struggle to even hit the 200-yard mark.

That's pretty surprising, considering the numbers the Redskins have given up in Weeks 1 and 2. Carson Wentz threw for 313 yards and three touchdowns in Week 1 against and Dak Prescott sliced them up for 269 yards and three touchdowns last Sunday. There's no reason to think Trubisky can't have a game similar to Prescott's, assuming Matt Nagy dials up the right plays to put him in position to succeed.