Bulls

Beyond the Box Score: E'Twaun Moore getting it done for the Bulls

emooorebtbs.png

Beyond the Box Score: E'Twaun Moore getting it done for the Bulls

As the Bulls continue to push for the playoffs, many fans and members of the media have put their hopes in the return of Jimmy Butler.  But after taking a look at the data, we think the return of another guard may prove to be more impactful: E'Twaun Moore.

Moore has been an underrated contributor on both sides of the ball all season, but in the past month he has really upped his game.

Let's take a look at his offense first:

  Pts/Shot Contest+FG% Open+FG% Pts/Chance
E'Twaun Moore 1.25 47.5 57.1 0.15
Aaron Brooks 1.05 45.9 46.2 0.19
Derrick Rose 1.04 43.8 50 0.23
Jimmy Butler 1.04 27.7 66.7 0.18
Justin Holiday 0.89 28.1 53.8 0.12

The first thing to pop out is how much more efficiently Moore has scored over the past 30 days, than the other Bulls guards. According to Vantage Sports, he holds a slim lead over Aaron Brooks in Contested+ FG%, a metric which measures how often a player scores with a defender guarding them closely.  Further, Moore only trails Jimmy Butler in Open+ FG%, a metric that unsurprisingly measures how often a player scores with no defender pressure.  This all translates into his big lead over the other guards in the point per shot department.

What is surprising, however, is Moore's low points per chance figure.  This metric show how many points a player scores per every offensive opportunity, while he's on the court.  Typically these numbers correlate together, since great scorers usually get more chances to shoot the ball, but here that is clearly not the case. As the season winds down, Hoiberg may want to run more of the offense through Moore to give him additional opportunities to score.

  Contest+% Fouls/Shot FG% Against
E'Twaun Moore 48.7 0.05 43.8
Aaron Brooks 46.2 0.15 39.7
Derrick Rose 29.8 0.03 55.4
Jimmy Butler 43.2 0.06 47.3
Justin Holiday 46.5 0.10 44.8

On the other side of the court, Moore once again performs as one of the best backcourt players for the Bulls.  Admirably, he is tops when it comes to Contest+%, and second best in terms of avoiding fouls.  That is a remarkable combo, since typically players who contest a lot of shots are more likely to foul the shooter.

As the year winds down, the Bulls should certainly turn to Moore to anchor the second unit, keeping the team within striking distance, or even helping to take the lead while the starters take a break.  Given his statistical success on offense and defense, it may be Moore who quietly continues his important contributions, leading the Bulls into the playoffs.  

Draft night highlighted the unfulfilling feeling of this past Bulls season

Draft night highlighted the unfulfilling feeling of this past Bulls season

The door has officially been closed on the 2017-18 season for the Chicago Bulls, and the word that most comes to mind is “unfulfilling.”

Or maybe even “indistinguishable.”

Draft night was supposed to be a culmination of a painful seven-month stretch that only had occasional yet costly moments of light.

Death lineup? Meet Death March. And Death April, while we’re at it.

The Bulls brass sold everyone on a full rebuild after trading Jimmy Butler one year ago, with an unspoken promise that this draft would bear franchise-changing fruit—hence the general feeling of angst or even indifference with the solid selection of Wendell Carter Jr. and their not-so-secret affection of Chandler Hutchison.

It was why fans believe the Bulls got cold feet about trading to move up, and why they believe the Bulls weren’t being pragmatic in staying away from Michael Porter Jr.

Porter, some believe, has star written all over him given his prep ranking this time last year and the Bulls were in position to speed up this process without having to go into a painful Process.

They were desperate for a star, believing the tankathon had produced so much suffering it had to be something on the back end.

There was the fight (or the punch).

The aftermath.

The miserable 3-20 start.

The 14-7 streak that produced the audacity of hope.

The reality that 14-7 was damaging enough to the lottery chances that a 3-11 finish couldn’t rectify.

And finally, the coin flip that cost them five spots in the lottery one month ago.

So that empty feeling has less to do with Carter and Hutchison, who’ve done nothing to earn the “blah” reaction from the fan base and some media. It has everything to do with the unanswered questions over the last 82 games and lack of clarity over the three hauls from draft night last year.

It’s not that Zach LaVine, Lauri Markkanen and Kris Dunn underperformed individually last season, but the lack of cohesiveness due to injuries and circumstances has led to the varying thoughts.

LaVine is approaching restricted free agency and by all accounts is taking his continuing rehab in Washington very seriously.  Markkanen has added plenty of muscle since the offseason began, appearing as if he can play Michael B. Jordan’s in-ring foil in the next installation of “Creed” as Ivan Drago’s long lost son.

And despite the report about Dunn not working as hard on the floor this offseason, that would be more of a concern if this were late August, not June.

The last time they were seen together on the floor, they looked no closer to a pecking order than the day they arrived.

What we know is that they’re productive NBA players, capable of putting an individual tattoo on a game at a moment’s notice, skillful enough to take your breath away.

And for whatever reason, the expectations changed once the three displayed they could be dynamic on their own—a star needed to be anointed and groomed to go with the star they believed was coming their way after the season.

Management is fully behind Markkanen, but Paxson’s strong words about LaVine at the season-ending news conference illustrated how much it feels LaVine has to prove next season.

With his restricted free agency status looming, the Bulls’ initial offer will show how much they value him until and if he gets a better deal on the market.

And the fact the Bulls weren’t afraid to draft Trae Young while having a healthy debate about Collin Sexton on draft night has to show they have at least some skepticism about the future at point guard.

But stars—developing stars, acquired stars, drafted stars—have to do it on their own. No amount of promotion or prodding from management will validate their faith, if that’s the route the Bulls choose to go.

This has to be a meritocracy or it won’t work and, honestly, it’s time for a reality check.

All the worry about the Bulls getting back to title contention sooner rather than later seems like folks getting ahead of themselves.

The front office has taken its share of shots from media and fans, so some questioning is earned but they’re right about one thing. Rebuilds aren’t completed in a day or 12 months.

Expecting some magic potion to arrive in the form of a top draft pick isn’t going to cure what ills this roster, and it doesn’t seem likely all the cap space will result in a free agent choosing the Bulls over the usual suspects.

However, methodical building can look like complacency if not done with a sense of urgency.

And with urgency in mind, this past season was unsatisfying to say the least—heading into the next phase with two more young pieces to develop while the first three are still in the evaluation stage.

Loyola's March Madness hero Donte Ingram will play with Bulls' Summer League team

Loyola's March Madness hero Donte Ingram will play with Bulls' Summer League team

Donte Ingram's 2018 keeps getting better and better.

The March Madness hero, who buried a game-winning 3-pointer in the first round of Loyola's win over Miami, will play on the Bulls' Summer League team.

Ingram, a Simeon Academy graduate, had himself an incredible senior season with the Ramblers, who advanced all the way to the Final Four as a No. 11 seed.

In five NCAA Tournament games Ingram averaged 7.0 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists for the Ramblers. He also had 18 points in the MVC Conference Championship Game to secure the Ramblers' March Madness berth.

He'll join first-round draft picks Wendell Carter Jr. and Chandler Hutchison on the Las Vegas Summer League team, which will begin play early next month.