With the NBA season kicking off Tuesday, Bovada has released player proposition bets for a number of Bulls.
Here's a look at those over/unders and which outcome is more likely.
Will the Bulls make the playoffs in 2016?
Not all that difficult a choice here, as the Bulls' depth - especially in the frontcourt - means they could suffer myriad injuries like they did a year ago and still waltz into the playoffs in an Eastern Conference that is improving yet still top-heavy. That's why their odds are 1 to 20; it's a no-brainer but you'll have to cough up some serious dough to see any real return.
Regular season games played: Over/under 63.5
Now we're getting to the good stuff. This over/under is intriguing on a number of levels. The under is the safe play considering Rose has played in 61 regular-season games the last THREE years. He appeared in 51 contests last season, yet for a second straight season the headline reads that Rose is healthy (he'll play while recovering from orbital surgery), and perhaps a chance of pace with Fred Hoiberg will mean different things for Rose on the injury front. Rose may not suffer another serious injury, yet bumps/bruises/rest easily could keep him out of 18 games. The under seems like the safe play.
Points per game: 18.0
Rose averaged 17.7 points per game last season, and saw that number jump to 20.3 points per game in the postseason. In Fred Hoiberg's up-tempo system it wouldn't be a surprise at all to see Rose's scoring improve. The over seems likely.
Assists per game: 5.5
We know Jimmy Butler will have the ball in his hand more this season and that Rose (likely) will shoot more in Hoiberg's system. That could mean fewer assist opportunities for Rose, who averaged 4.9 assists in last year's regular season (and 6.5 per game in the postseason). Rose may not reach 5.5 assists per game, but the surplus of perimeter shooters waiting for his drive-and-kicks in Hoiberg's offense could change that.
Over/under: 18.5 points
You'd be a fool to believe Butler is going to rest on his laurels and regress now that he's got his maximum deal in hand. The league's most improved player averaged 20.0 points per game last year and nearly 23 in the postseason. As long as he's getting to the free-throw line 6-8 times per game like he did a year ago, 18.5 points seems likely. Even with Rose back and Nikola Mirotic expected to take on a larger role, it's clear Butler is the top option in Chicago.
Points per game: 17.0
We wrote this offseason about how Gasol may regress in his 15th NBA season - most players not named Tim Duncan do - meaning he could be in line to average fewer than the 18.5 points he scored last year.
Rebounds per game: 10.0
Gasol seemingly came out of nowhere in 2015 to average 11.8 rebounds per game - fourth in the NBA - at age 34. With Nikola Mirotic expected to see most of the starter's minutes at power forward instead of Joakim Noah, that'll free up Gasol for even more boards. His scoring may regress, but Gasol will remain aggressive on the glass.
Points per game: 14.5
There's plenty of optimism surrounding Mirotic, who was made for Hoiberg's offensive system. He'll start at power forward, will stretch the floor and will work perfectly with Derrick Rose on pick-and-pop opportunities. Whether that means 14.5 points per game in an offense that features Rose, Butler and Gasol is a different story. Assuming those three players are the Bulls' leading scorers...only one team in the NBA last year had a fourth scorer average more than 14.5 points. (LAC's Jamal Crawford, 15.8). Stay under with this one.
Rebounds per game: 8.5
Again, more optimism and a larger role...but it's tough to see him nearly double his rebounding output from a year ago (4.9). Consider Mirotic as it pertains to rebounding, and then consider that the following players failed to average 8.5 rebounds last year: Al Jefferson, Derrick Favors, Draymond Green, Nerlens Noel, Tristan Thompson. There's your answer.
Points per game: 8.5
A bounce-back year seems likely for Noah, who battled knee problems and struggled to 7.2 points per game on 44.5 percent shooting last season. Playing against opponent's reserves may actually help his scoring output, and for a now-healthy 30-year-old with a career average of 9.6 points per game this seems like a nice over play.
Rebounds per game: 9.5
This number seems steep, but again Noah will be playing primarily against reserve bigs when he's on the floor. That should increase his rebounding numbers, but it's tough to see a backup averaging this many rebounds per game - none did last year.