When Dexter Fowler gets on base, the Cubs are 27-12.
That's a .692 winning percentage. That also means Fowler has scored in 27 of the Cubs' 43 wins during the 2015 season.
It doesn't take rocket surgery to see the correlation. When the leadoff hitter reaches base and scores, that bodes awfully well for the team.
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But Fowler hasn't been getting on base consistently enough. He sports a career .361 on-base percentage, but was at just .308 entering play Sunday thanks in large part to a .232 average that is bringing the overall numbers down.
"I am [confident Fowler will rebound]," Cubs manager Joe Maddon said. "His work's been great. He cares, he works and when he goes, we go. I've told him that - 'Hey, when you go, we go.'
"It's incredible when he gets on base and scores a run what our record looks like. It's going to come back to him and us regarding the offense.
"But the work's there. He's been playing really good defense, he's been playing a good game of baseball. He's just not been as effective as he can be from the left side."
Maddon's right. Fowler entered play Sunday hitting just .211 with a .660 OPS from the left side. Compare that to the splits as a right-handed hitter (.340 AVG, .833 OPS).
Fowler is a career .253 hitter from the left side with a .348 OBP and .757 OPS. He's always been a better right-handed hitter (.302 AVG, .824 OPS career), but Fowler clearly needs to get going against right-handed pitching for the Cubs offense to fire on all cylinders.
After a hot first month of the season (.299/.372/.442 slash line in April), Fowler has hit just .208/.286/.357 since May 1 with 39 runs in 58 games.
But even during that time, Maddon's point still stands: As Fowler goes, the Cubs go. Since May 1, the Cubs are 20-10 when Fowler starts and scores a run, compared to 9-16 when he doesn't.