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New CBA changes the game for Cubs

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New CBA changes the game for Cubs

Chairman Tom Ricketts personally encouraged his scouts to be aggressive last summer and close in on players who had leverage and were perceived to be difficult to sign. The Cubs wound up spending a franchise-record 12 million in the draft.

There was an optimistic sense around the organization (most didnt know at the time that Jim Hendry had already been fired): Hope we can do it again next year.

The commitment from ownership is still there. Theo Epstein left Boston for the chance to build something from the ground up on the North Side. But the rules of engagement have changed with the unveiling of a new collective bargaining agreement that will run through the 2016 season.

Commissioner Bud Selig sat side-by-side with Major League Baseball Players Association executive director Michael Weiner at Tuesdays news conference in New York. They took a victory lap on the 29th floor of MLBs Park Avenue headquarters.

By the end of this contract, the two sides will have gone 21 years without a strike or a lockout. It will have a direct impact upon the Cubs.

Selig is still hopeful for two wild cards in each league in 2012, saying that March 1 is the deadline to decide. Epsteins vision is to have the Cubs playing annually in October, and getting there with homegrown players.

But this summer the Cubs will not be able to sign drafted players to major-league contracts, and each club will be assigned an aggregate signing bonus pool.

If a team goes up to 5 percent beyond that amount, there will be a 75 percent tax on the overage. If a team goes up to 10 percent, the same tax will apply and they will lose a first-round pick. Go beyond 10 percent and the penalty jumps to a 100 percent tax on the overage and the loss of multiple draft picks.

The Cubs have got creative in the past with Jeff Samardzija and Matt Szczur, paying them to give up their NFL ambitions. Under Epsteins leadership, the Red Sox were known for paying over slot and convincing football players to play baseball.

The agreement that was bargained leaves a lot of room for clubs to decide how much to pay for an individual player, Weiner said. The restraints are on aggregate spending, not individual spending, so if a club believes that its appropriate to make an offer that is necessary to sign a two-sport athlete, it will enable them to do that.

One unintended consequence suggested independently by an agent and a general manager could be diluting the talent pool because the same financial incentives might not be there.

Selig predictably dismissed that theory: I have no concerns about that at all. Ive read that. Im trying to be kind enough, not my usual sarcastic or cynical self. I dont believe thats a possibility. The sport is on an upgrade at every level.

Scott Boras, the most powerful agent in the sport, got on a roll when the topic came up last week at the ownersgeneral manager meetings in Milwaukee.

The NBA (and) the NFL (have) 25 million offerings that go to student-athletes, Boras said. The NCAA has rigged the system to where the sport of baseball has been damned at the collegiate level. The other sports are drawing the great multi-sport athletes because they can offer full rides that baseball cant.

In the past, Cubs executives had also grumbled about how they were stuck in a six-team division. But the Astros will move to the American League West in 2013, creating a 15-15 split between the two leagues (and interleague play throughout the season).

Beginning in spring training, all players will be tested for HGH. Reasonable cause will trigger the blood test for a particular player throughout the year. Both Weiner and Rob Manfred MLBs executive vice president of labor relations and human resources see the possibility of in-season HGH testing during the course of the agreement.

The message weve been communicating to fans for a number of years, Weiner said, (is that) players and the owners jointly have an intolerance for use of performance-enhancing drugs.

But at this moment, the biggest takeaway from a Cubs perspective will be the changes to the draft and the international market.

Baseball America recently released its list of the top 10 Cubs prospect in the system, and three were high school players from the 2011 draft: Javier Baez; Dan Vogelbach; and Dillon Maples (who had already begun practicing with the University of North Carolina football team by the time he signed).

This certainly isnt the end of the world for the Cubs, because they will be pouring money into new facilities in Arizona and the Dominican Republic, plus what Epstein has called a vertically-integrated system of player development. And who knows how these changes might handcuff small-market franchises.

But while the NBA season appears to be disappearing, and the NFL had labor battles in court, this business is booming.

Nobody back in the 70s, 80s (or) early 90s, Selig said, would ever believe that we would have 21 years of labor peace.

There is a generation of baseball fans that never sat through a work stoppage and only knows that truce. If they ever see the Cubs win it all, it will likely be because of the investments made in the draft and the international market (plus tax).

Why Chicago Cubs starters Jon Lester, Alec Mills are two of MLB's best pitchers

Why Chicago Cubs starters Jon Lester, Alec Mills are two of MLB's best pitchers

Usually when GMs, managers and fans get ready for a baseball season, any consistent production from the Nos. 4 and 5 starters is a luxury. In the Cubs’ case, it’s been an embarrassment of riches through two turns of the rotation.

Through 10 games, the Cubs are 8-2, good for the best win percentage in the National League. One huge reason for that has been the team’s incredible starting pitching. Kyle Hendricks set the tone early when he pitched a complete game shutout in the very first game of the season. Now, the Cubs’ starters lead MLB in ERA (1.95), batting average against (.156) and WHIP (0.780). They’ve done all that while also throwing 60 innings, second only to the Indians who have thrown 70 innings.

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At first glance you’d probably think, yeah, that makes sense with Hendricks starting the season the way he did, and Darvish getting back on track with six innings of two-hit ball in his second start. But surprisingly the only two clunkers came in Hendricks and Darvish starts. In fact, the analytics say Jon Lester and Alec Mills, the Cubs’ last two guys in the rotation have been two of the most impressive starters in MLB.

Let’s start by looking at the ERAs of all starters who have at least 8 IP, since the name of the game is keeping runs off the board. If 8 IP seems like an arbitrary cutoff… well, it is. But it seems like a fair number to assess quality pitchers who have made two starts in this shortened season with short leashes on pitchers. Among those pitchers, Lester and Mills each rank in the top-10 with ERAs of 0.82 and 1.38, respectively, according to FanGraphs.

So how are they doing it? Neither is a power pitcher who relies on strikeouts. In fact, Lester’s four punchouts place him tied for fourth-fewest in our split of SPs who have thrown more than 8 IP. Mills’ seven strikeouts (tied for 10th-fewest) aren’t much better. These guys succeed by keeping guys off the base paths, and not allowing hard-hit balls.

Looking at batting average against, Lester and Mills move into MLB’s top-five, according to our FanGraphs split, with each pitcher holding batters under .120. Since we’ve already established that neither guy is a power pitcher, when we filter further to just show BAA on balls put in play it should come as no surprise that Lester and Mills rise to No. 1 and No. 2 in all of baseball with .118 and .139 marks, respectively.

Great defense, like Javy Baez’s tag in Monday’s game, certainly helps the pitchers’ stats. But the starters also make things easier on the defense by inducing poor contact, regardless of whether the ball is hit on the ground or the air. According to FanGraphs, Mills ranks second in MLB by inducing soft contact on 33.3% of all balls put into play. In addition, he’s 11th in MLB with a 54.3 ground ball percentage. Lester ranks ninth by getting hitters to make soft contact 26.5% of the time, although he’s 11th in the league in getting batters to hit fly balls 47.1% of the time.

In the end the result is the same, with Mills and Lester combining to only allow four extra base hits in 24 IP. So although they aren’t typical “dominant” pitchers that teams like to make their aces, Mills and Lester have been two of the most effective starters in the game.


RELATED: How David Ross plans to fix Cubs closer problem with Craig Kimbrel in the shop

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Yadier Molina, Paul DeJong among Cardinals to test positive for COVID-19

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USA TODAY

Yadier Molina, Paul DeJong among Cardinals to test positive for COVID-19

Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina and shortstop Paul DeJong are of the seven St. Louis players and six staff members who tested positive for COVID-19 in the last week.

Six of those players gave St. Louis permission to disclose their names. In addition to Molina and DeJong, the club announced Tuesday pitchers Junior Fernández and Kodi Whitley, first baseman Rangel Ravelo and shortstop Edmundo Sosa tested positive.

The Cardinals released statements from Molina and DeJong:

"I am saddened to have tested positive for COVID-19, even after adhering to safety guidelines that were put in place," Molina said. "I will do everything within my power to return as soon as possible for Cardinals fans, the city of St. Louis and my teammates. As I recover, I request that you please respect my privacy and family in my absence from the team."

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"I am disappointed to share that I have tested positive for the COVID-19 virus, even though I followed team protocols," DeJong said. "I will approach my healing as I do all other things in my life — with education, commitment, and persistence. I look forward to re-joining the team soon and ask that you respect my privacy at this time."

The Cardinals' reportedly have no new positive tests on Tuesday. The tentative plan is for them to resume play against the Cubs this weekend.

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