Notre Dame

For Notre Dame (and Texas), plenty of questions will be answered Sunday night

For Notre Dame (and Texas), plenty of questions will be answered Sunday night

SOUTH BEND, Ind. — Every college football team heads into a new season with plenty of unknown factors, but this Notre Dame-Texas curtain-lifter Sunday night seems to have more questions than usual for both teams.

While one game won’t give us complete answers, after a long offseason, Sunday night will provide us the first pieces of data to answer these four questions:

1. How will the quarterbacks shake out — for both teams?

Brian Kelly isn’t tipping his hand and neither DeShone Kizer nor Malik Zaire knew what the plan would be for Sunday beyond knowing they’ll alternate in and out of the game based on feel and flow. Kelly said there could be some down and distance situations that force one or the other into the game, too, but isn’t sure (or wouldn't reveal) how that’ll work itself out. 

The two-quarterback system is a high-risk, high-reward coaching decision. Kelly admitted in August it would’ve been easier to just pick a starter and stick with him, but the playmaking abilities of Kizer and Zaire were too great to keep one of them off the field. There isn’t a precedent for two quarterbacks playing and running the same offense (usually one is a runner and the other a passer), so how these super-talented deserving starters are used will be the biggest thing to watch Sunday. 

Texas, too, isn’t revealing what it’s going to do between senior Tyrone Swoopes and freshman Shane Buechele. If one starts, the other will probably play, and Notre Dame players said not knowing who will take the Longhorns’ first snap doesn’t affect their preparation. And the quarterbacks are just one of the unknowns for Texas — this is a team short on experience but full of talent. All those former four- and five-star recruits peppering the Longhorns’ two-deep make them a potentially dangerous team, even if they didn't make a bowl game last year. 

2. Who catches the ball?

Notre Dame has to replace 82 percent of its 2015 receptions, 87 percent of its receiving yards and 84 percent of its receiving touchdowns this fall. Outside of Torii Hunter Jr. (35 career catches), there isn’t much in the way of prior production at the disposal of Kizer and Zaire

The best bets to rack up targets are Hunter and sophomore receivers Equanimeous St. Brown and C.J. Sanders, along with tight ends Durham Smythe and/or Nic Weishar. But there are other names in the discussion, too, like redshirt sophomore Corey Holmes, redshirt freshman Miles Boykin and Chris Finke and freshman Kevin Stepherson. 

Kelly considers Kizer and Zaire to be two of his five best playmakers, but they still need a few reliable targets. Chances are, someone or someones will emerge from this group — but we won’t have a good idea who until Sunday night. 

[SHOP: Get your Notre Dame gear]

3. How does Avery Sebastian hold up?

Notre Dame is rolling with its defensive “grandpa” over true freshman Devin Studstill at free safety to start the Texas game, with the line of thinking that Sebastian will be solid with his assignments and communication in front of 100,000 people at Darrell K. Royal Stadium. But Sebastian is more of an in-the-box strong safety who perhaps doesn’t have the kind of mobility expected from a free safety. 

The baseline for Notre Dame, though, is to keep an opposing offense in front of them — something they didn’t do last year or in 2014. If Sebastian and Drue Tranquill can do that, and give Studstill a soft landing at the college level, Notre Dame’s defense will have a better chance of holding up against Texas. 

4. What will Notre Dame’s defense look like without last year’s playmakers?

Notre Dame’s defense saw generally mediocre results last year despite having big-time playmakers like Sheldon Day, Jaylon Smith, KeiVarae Russell and Romeo Okwara. Gone are veteran starters in Joe Schmidt, Elijah Shumate and Max Redfield, and experienced depth guys in Matthias Farley and Jarrett Grace. 

So it’s a fair question to ask how a defense that wasn’t consistently successful last year can improve without all those vitally important pieces. 

The good news is that all of those players are being replaced by a host of former four-star recruits like Jay Hayes, Jerry Tillery, Nyles Morgan and Shaun Crawford. There’s plenty of talent in this unit, most of which is entering its second or third year in defensive coordinator Brian VanGorder’s complex system. Maybe that combination of talent and experience will help improve things, as could the ability to consistently run a nickel package with Crawford healthy. 

Texas’ offense, too, could provide a good opportunity to get off to a strong defensive start, with inexperience (and talent, of course) across the board and an offensive line that enters Sunday a bit banged up. 

Is Brian Kelly out at Notre Dame if new QB Brandon Wimbush’s rocket arm doesn’t deliver for Irish in 2017?

Is Brian Kelly out at Notre Dame if new QB Brandon Wimbush’s rocket arm doesn’t deliver for Irish in 2017?

A 4-8 season in 2016 has put Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly firmly on the hot seat as he heads into his eighth season with the Fighting Irish.

In response to a tumultuous season, Kelly made major changes to his staff this past offseason by hiring new coordinators on both sides of the ball.

Mike Elko, who previously led Wake Forest to an FBS Top-40 total defense ranking, was hired by Kelly to be Notre Dame's defensive coordinator, and Chip Long — former offensive coordinator at Memphis — will now be in charge of the Fighting Irish offense.

However, the biggest change and arguably the No. 1 factor in Kelly's long-term future in South Bend, will be the person under center in 2017.

Barring an unforeseen circumstance, junior quarterback Brandon Wimbush — a former Rivals four-star recruit — will lead Notre Dame out of the tunnel in Week 1 vs. Temple.

Wimbush has only thrown five passes during his time at Notre Dame, but showed what kind of talent he has with a 58-yard rushing touchdown as a freshman in 2015.

Wimbush was one of the focal points of a recent Rivals story regarding quarterbacks who will be facing pressure in 2017

Earlier this week, Rivals Recruiting Director Mike Farrell gave his scouting report on the Notre Dame quarterback.

I’m a big fan of Wimbush but that hasn’t always been the case. It’s not that I didn’t like him when I first scouted him before his high school career took off, but what I saw way back when was a kid who had a rocket arm and zero touch. But throughout his high school career he improved every time I saw him, showed much more than just a strong arm and flashed impressive poise for his age.

I’ve seen very limited action when it comes to Wimbush in college as he hasn’t played often and his spring game performance had ups and downs, but I believe in this kid’s ability. He can extend the play, has that great arm and just needs to get comfortable in the Notre Dame offense and make sure he doesn’t try to use that cannon to fit the ball into tight spots. I can see him having some growing pains this season, but as he gets more comfortable and learns to take what the defense gives him while keeping defenses off balance with his athletic ability, I think he’ll finish strong.

Will Wimbush's rocket arm be enough to save Kelly from the hot seat?

That's still to be determined.

Two views of Notre Dame's 2017 signing day class

Two views of Notre Dame's 2017 signing day class

After a handful of late additions sent in their national letters of intent to the Guglielmino Athletics Complex, Notre Dame on Wednesday announced its 21-player recruiting class of 2017. There are a couple of ways to view the end of what was a volatile recruiting period for the Irish:

The glass-half-full take:

Two and a half months after wrapping up an embarrassing 4-8 season, Notre Dame's 2017 recruiting class ranks 11th by 247 Sports, 13th by Rivals, 13th by Scout and 16th by ESPN. In fact, Notre Dame actually ranks higher this year in 247 Sports' composite rankings (11th) than it did in 2016 (15th), when the Irish were coming off a 10-win season and a Fiesta Bowl berth. 

Nearly scraping together a top-10 class after going 4-8 and losing four assistant coaches in Mike Sanford, Mike Denbrock, Scott Booker and Keith Gilmore is an impressive feat (Greg Hudson was only an interim defensive coordinator, and Brian VanGorder was far from a reliable recruiter). Plenty of kudos should be extended the way of recruiting coordinator/defensive line coach Mike Elston for heading up the program's efforts to keep what began as a pretty strong class from disintegrating. 

Additionally, coach Brian Kelly pointed to the work of the 15 verbally-committed players who stuck with their pledges even as Notre Dame sustained a string of confounding losses and significant coaching turnover. 

"We couldn't be where we are today unless we had 15 student-athletes that were committed to Notre Dame from the start to the finish," Kelly said. "Really during a very difficult season, this group of 15 really had to endure the things that would occur out there in recruiting during a very difficult season. Other schools reminding them about a very difficult season that we had. Then there was them sticking together because of why they wanted to come to Notre Dame."

Five of those players enrolled early — tight end Brock Wright, offensive linemen Robert Gainsay and Aaron Banks, running back C.J. Holmes and safety Isaiah Robertson, all of whom 247 sports rated as four-star recruits — and guys like tight end Cole Kmet, quarterback Avery Davis and offensive linemen Joshua Lugg never wavered, too. 

That those players stuck together helped Notre Dame maintain a good base after the NCAA-mandated dead period lifted after the College Football Playoff title game last month, and new coaches Brian Polian, Mike Elko, Clark Lea, Chip Long and DelVaughn Alexander were able to bring in six late additions to the class: safety Jordan Genmark Heath, wide receiver Jafar Armstrong, kicker Jonathan Doerer, defensive lineman Myron Tagovailoa, linebacker Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah and defensive lineman Kofi Wardlow. 

Armstrong, Tagovailoa and Wardlow all filled red-line positions of need, while adding more players to increase the pool of talent available to Elko is hardly a bad thing. 

But the optimistic viewpoint here is the deck was stacked against Notre Dame in recruiting, and they actually turned out a pretty good hand thanks to a complete effort from everyone in the athletic department. 

"Every weekend, Jack Swarbrick, our athletic director, met with our recruits," Kelly said. "That's unusual. I don't think that happens everywhere that your athletic director makes himself able to meet with recruits.

"In a lot of instances he had to be there to support our football program and talk to recruits about where this program is and where it's going. There are questions when a family comes on campus. He reminded them about the investment we were making in staff and what we were doing for the present and for the future. So having Jack's involvement in this was absolutely crucial to get to where we are."

Now, for the glass-half-empty take:

Notre Dame had six players decommit, five of whom were at positions of need (defensive line, cornerback, wide receiver). Only four-star defensive end Robert Beal jumped ship before Notre Dame's fall tailspin was underway, and four of those six decommitting players were four-star recruits. 

Notre Dame wound up replacing them with six late commitments, but five of those late-deciding players were three-star recruits and one (Doerner) was a two-star player. That's a good recipe for slipping from having a top-10 class to one on the outside looking in. 

A common lament among fans is that Notre Dame has struggled to sign five-star recruits lately, and while it's true the Irish haven't done that since 2013 — Jaylon Smith and Max Redfield, as rated by 247 Sports — that's not as big an issue as it may seem. Just look at the disparity in college success between Smith and Redfield as a front-and-center example of how a five-star rating doesn't guarantee success in college. Signing more four/five-star recruits than two/three-star ones is far more important (more on that in a bit). 

But the bigger issue with Notre Dame's 2017 class perhaps has more to do with its 2016 class. Notre Dame lost ace recruiters Tony Alford and Kerry Cooks after the 2014 season and re-worked its entire recruiting operation in response, which led to little oomph in a 2016 class that, based on the prior season, should've been much better than it was. 

Last year's group could ultimately build a legacy as a less-heralded crop of recruits that went on to success — the strong debuts of 247 Sports three-stars in cornerback Julian Love and wide receiver Kevin Stepherson were good starts — but there's a long way to go there. 

If 2016 was supposed to be a more transitional recruiting class, though, then 2017 represents a massive missed opportunity. Going 4-8 with all the right recruiting machinations in place is a glaring shortcoming for the future of the program — even a nine-win season could've allowed Notre Dame to hang on to some of those four-star players it lost and earn a top-10 class ranking. 

More importantly than a top-10 class, though, is pulling in more four- and five-star recruits than two and-three star ones. Notre Dame didn't do that in 2017 (10 four-star recruits out of 21) or 2016 (10 four-star recruits out of 23) after hitting that benchmark each of the last three recruiting cycles. That's a worrying trend given the correlation between signing a majority of four- and five-star recruits and winning a championship

The last two recruiting cycles have been, in that context, significant disappointment. While strong classes in 2014 and 2015 could prop up a playoff run as soon as this fall, the future of the program may not be on solid footing even if the Irish engineer a major turnaround in 2017. Next year's class likely will be critical to the long-term success of the program under Kelly, presuming he's still around to usher in the next group of recruits in February of 2018.