Sports Business

The Daily Line: Week 9 Football Picks

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NBC Sports Chicago

The Daily Line: Week 9 Football Picks

The best pieces of advice I can give you are: #1 Don’t bet what you can’t afford #2 If it feels too good to be true, it probably is. And #3 If it feels ugly when you place it, good. Other than that, let’s have some fun and hopefully have some success along the way.

YTD record: 23-11 against the spread (13-5 in last 18)

Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings 11/4 - 12:00pm CT

Line: Vikings -5 
Betting Percentages Split: 76% of the tickets on the VIkings
The play: Lions +5

The last two weeks were two of the best weeks in recent memory for public players betting NFL games. Last weekend was the first losing Sunday/Monday of the year for Vegas. Call me crazy, but this trend will not continue. I love this week to be a spot that swings back in the contrarian direction and rewards players who hold their nose to make these picks. So, why not start with a game that makes absolutely 0 sense. Lions +5 on the road in the Minnesota. In fact, this line actually opened at +6 in many places but has since moved to +5 despite HEAVY public action on the Vikings. What does that tell you? Pros are betting the Lions heavy. People tend to overreact to single player acquisitions in the NFL and they rarely influence the outcome of single games. The trading of Golden Tate was not because the Lions are tanking, but instead because they weren’t going to re-sign him and wanted to get some value in return. Fade the public and take the Lions. 

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cleveland Browns 11/4 - 12:00pm CT

Line: Chiefs -9
Betting Percentages Split: 85% of tickets on Chiefs 
The play: Browns +9

Remember what I said about holding your nose? Well, here we go. We are betting the Browns, and honestly, I love this spot. The Chiefs are due for some regression and I love the Browns with Gregg Williams at the helm to be one of the first teams to slow down this high-powered Chiefs offense. From everything coming out of Cleveland, players are fired up about Hue Jackson being ousted and I think Williams will give the Browns the spark they need to keep this game close. The Browns have played nearly every opponent close this year and I bet they do the same again this week. Call me crazy, sprinkle the money line too. 

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens 11/4 - 12:00pm CT

Line: Ravens -2.5
Betting Percentages Split: 78% of tickets on the Steelers
The play: Ravens -2.5

Buy low, sell high time people. Just a few weeks ago, the Ravens were a trendy Super Bowl sleeper pick. Fast forward after two losses and everyone seems to forget that not too long ago they were the consensus best defense in the NFL. Conversely, everyone seems to have forgotten about the problems the Steelers had at the beginning of the year and have penciled them in to be in the AFC championship hunt once again. Not so fast my friends, I love this spot for some regression to the mean for two teams that at the end of the day are probably fairly even. In a divisional game, I’ll take the contrarian home team with a short line. Take the Ravens laying 2.5. 

Houston Texans vs. Denver Broncos 11/4 - 3:20pm CT

Line: Broncos -1
Betting Percentages Split: 72% of tickets on the Texans 
The play: Broncos -1

This is my favorite game of the week, by a pretty wide margin. It has every single one the indicators I look for when handicapping an NFL game. First, it’s a perfect sell high spot for the Texans who are now right in the midst of the playoff hunt. Secondly, it’s a great buy low spot for the Broncos, who are better team than their record indicates (they’ve had the misfortune of already playing the Chiefs twice). Thirdly, we have a public overreaction to the trading of Demariyus Thomas, a move that has nothing to do with this Broncos team, they simply were not going to resign him and wanted to extract some value (stop me if you’ve heard that before). And lastly, we have HEAVY public action on a small road dog, public dogs have fleas ladies and gentlemen and I’ll take the Broncos giving 1 at Mile High all day.

Bonus College Game: Missouri vs. Florida 11/3 - 3:00pm CT

Line: Florida -6
Betting Percentages Split: 80% of tickets on Florida
The play: Missouri +6

Missouri is the best 4-4 team in the country. Period. They should not have lost to Kentucky last week, they understandably lost to Alabama and they actually outgained Georgia in a game that was much closer than the final score indicated (Missouri was plagued by a few costly turnovers and still covered). I loved them last week at Kentucky and they let me down after a late kick off return for a touchdown by the Wildcats and I am going back to the well here. Florida’s defensive strength in their run stopping ability, not on their back end, and I love this to be a breakout spot for Drew Lock to put up some big numbers and Missouri finally get the big win they deserve this year.

Illinois legislature passes bill that could help build casino in Chicago

Illinois legislature passes bill that could help build casino in Chicago

The Illinois state legislature passed a bill that could help entice developers to build a casino in the Chicago city limits, according to the Chicago Tribune.

According to the report, both the House and Senate passed a bill which would restructure the tax structure for a potential casino-- something that had been viewed as an obstacle to draw interest from potential developers.

If a casino is built in the city, it would likely come with a sportsbook so that gamblers could stay closer to home to bet on games.

The bill now heads to Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s desk where he is expected to sign the bill into law.

The Chicago casino could also help fund the $45 billion Rebuild Illinois capital plan that Pritzker signed last year.

RELATED: First legal bet in Illinois was made on the White Sox

Click here to download the new MyTeams App by NBC Sports! Receive comprehensive coverage of the Bears.

 

NBC Sports Chicago to provide live multi-platform coverage of 2019 MLB Winter Meetings

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NBC Sports Chicago

NBC Sports Chicago to provide live multi-platform coverage of 2019 MLB Winter Meetings

Chicago, IL (December 5, 2019) – NBC Sports Chicago - THE NEW EXCLUSIVE HOME of the Blackhawks, Bulls and White Sox - is set to provide southside and northside baseball fans with extensive multi-platform coverage of the 2019 MLB Winter Meetings live from San Diego, Calif. beginning Monday, December 9 through Thursday, December 12, featuring nightly editions of Winter Meetings Live presented by Wintrust, SportsTalk Live presented by The Chevy Silverado, live afternoon editions of the popular “White Sox Talk” and “Cubs Talk” podcasts, along with massive in-depth reports/video offerings at NBCSportsChicago.com and via the MyTeams by NBC Sports app (NOTE: Fans located anywhere in the U.S. can download MyTeams for free on iOS and Android devices in the Apple App Store and Google Play Store).  Please note NBC Sports Chicago’s 2019 MLB Winter Meetings coverage highlights:

“WINTER MEETINGS LIVE” presented by Wintrust (Mon, Dec. 9/Wed, Dec. 11 at 10:30 PM CT -- Tue, Dec. 10/Thu, Dec. 12 at 7:00 PM CT) -- Hosted by David Kaplan (@thekapman) and Chuck Garfien (@ChuckGarfien), Winter Meetings Live presented by Wintrust will provide fans with the very latest White Sox/Cubs/MLB free agent signings details, along with the hottest trade rumor chatter throughout the week.  Kaplan and Garfien will also be joined by NBC Sports Chicago White Sox insider Vinnie Duber (@VinnieDuber) and Cubs insider Tony Andracki (@TonyAndracki23), along with additional national baseball experts, to break down every player move and provide additional analysis on how those moves affect the White Sox and Cubs heading into the 2020 MLB season.  NOTE: Live stream of Winter Meetings Live will also be available to unauthenticated NBC Sports Chicago subscribers via NBCSportsChicago.com/WatchLive and the MyTeams by NBC Sports app.

“SPORTSTALK LIVE” presented by The Chevy Silverado (Weeknights at 6:00 PM CT) -- NBC Sports Chicago’s weeknight sports discussion roundtable program SportsTalk Live presented by The Chevy Silverado - featuring host David Kaplan - will on location in San Diego throughout the week providing viewers with the very latest Cubs & White Sox free agent player moves, news, rumors, analysis and more.  In addition, “Kap” be joined each night by a panel baseball experts, along with numerous special guests from both teams.  NOTE: Live stream of SportsTalk Live and is available at NBCSportsChicago.com/WatchLive to authenticated NBC Sports Chicago subscribers.

“WHITE SOX TALK” & “CUBS TALK” Podcasts presented by Wintrust (Mon, Dec. 9-Thu, Dec. 12: “White Sox Talk” podcast at 12 NOON CT; “Cubs Talk” podcast 1:00 PM CT) -- Live, afternoon “Winter Meetings” editions of NBC Sports Chicago’s popular podcasts -“White Sox Talk” (featuring Chuck Garfien, Ryan McGuffey and Vinnie Duber) and “Cubs Talk” (featuring David Kaplan and Tony Andracki) - will be presented exclusively via the MyTeams by NBC Sports app next week, providing fans with up-to-the-minute breaking news, updates, detailed analysis, along with appearances from a number of special guests. Fans located anywhere in the U.S. can download MyTeams for free on iOS and Android devices in the Apple App Store and Google Play Store. In addition, fans can download all of NBC Sports Chicago’s podcasts at NBCSportsChicago.com/podcasts and simply subscribe to them via Apple Podcasts, Google Play or Stitcher.  The podcasts can be played on any mobile device, laptop, or desktop computer.

NBCSportsChicago.com/”MyTeams by NBC Sports” app/Social Media – White Sox and Cubs fans are also urged to visit NBCSportsChicago.com and the “MyTeams by NBC Sports” app for expanded “Winter Meetings” coverage, along with video offerings, including interviews with team executives, national baseball experts and much more. From a social media standpoint, NBC Sports Chicago will also deliver a number of additional on-site Facebook Live (Facebook.com/NBCSChicago) “Winter Meetings” interviews and special segments throughout the week, along with “Sights & Sounds” highlights from ‘NBCSChicago’ via photos/quick video offerings from Instagram and Instagram Stories.  Fans can follow @NBCSWhiteSox and @NBCSCubs on Twitter for the very latest White Sox and Cubs news 24/7.

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