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Buy Low, Sell High

Sell high on Lakers, Bucks studs

by Steve Alexander
Updated On: March 4, 2020, 1:03 am ET

Buy Low

Kyle Kuzma Lakers – I make a strong case for selling Anthony Davis below, guessing he might play in 15 of the Lakers’ remaining 23 games. However, Davis could easily play in 13, or 11 or even fewer as the Lakers inch closer to clinching the No. 1 seed in the West. The fact the NBA no longer allows teams to just randomly sit veterans certainly works against my theory, but the Lakers aren’t going to mess around with AD in meaningless games or in the five sets of back-to-backs they have left. And that’s where Kuzma comes into play. He had 20 points and a couple triples in 35 minutes when AD was out on Saturday and is averaging 20.3 points, 5.4 rebounds, 2.1 assists and 2.0 3-pointers in his seven starts this season. And I think at least seven or eight more starts are coming in Kuzma’s near future, if not more. 

Aaron Gordon Magic – Gordon missed Monday’s game with right knee inflammation but is hoping to play on Wednesday. Prior to Monday’s miss he hit just 2-of-5 shots for seven points in a weird game against the Spurs. But prior to that, he was on fire and even with a pair of seven-point duds in February he averaged 18.6 points, 8.9 rebounds, 5.7 assists, 1.2 steals, 0.9 blocks and 1.8 3-pointers in possibly the best month of his career. As long as his knee is OK, the best news is that the Magic hold the No. 7 seed but are on the verge of being overtaken by the Nets, while being tracked by the Wizards, who are just 4.0 games back. That means the Magic will likely have to fight until the end of the season and they’re going to need Gordon to play at a high level. The Magic only have one four-game week left on the grid, but they don’t have any two-game weeks until the final week of the season, when everyone plays just once or twice.

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Otto Porter Jr. Bulls – I still have major trust issues with OPJ and I’m not running out to pick him up, but Monday was encouraging when he hit 7-of-11 shots and three 3-pointers for 18 points (and not much else) in just 17 minutes. He hadn’t played since November and probably wants to finish the season on a high note and prove that he’ll be ready to go next year. The Bulls (probably) aren’t going to make the playoffs but are just 2.0 games back of the Wizards and won’t be mathematically eliminated until late in the season, which also helps, and they finish out the season with a 4-3-3-3-3-2 schedule, which isn’t great, but could be worse. Wendell Carter Jr. is back and Lauri Markkanen (hip) is close, and are other Bulls who are worth a look down the stretch, although WCJ hasn’t woken up yet. And Coby White is a must-own player the rest of the way. 

Kevin Porter Jr. & Larry Nance Cavaliers – Tristan Thompson, Andre Drummond (calf) and Darius Garland are all banged up for the Cavaliers right now and Porter and Nance both went off on Monday. KPJ hit just 5-of-14 shots and 2-of-9 3-pointers but also had 16 points, four rebounds, four assists, a steal and a block, while Nance had 16 points, eight boards, eight assists, two steals and two 3-pointers. I think they’re both going to finish the season on a high note, but like the other guys I’ve talked about, have just one four-game week remaining on the schedule, and play three times in the other four until finish with a two-gamer like most other teams. I think KPJ and Nance are both must-own players and I’m extremely concerned about Drummond’s ability, or the Cavs’ willingness, to finish the season.

Mitchell Robinson Knicks – Robinson might even qualify as a sell-high player given how good he’s looked over the past few weeks, but he’s still not blowing anyone’s mind with his play. But he had 12 points and 13 boards on Monday and is averaging 11 points, 9.1 rebounds and 2.5 blocks over his last 10 games. Spike Lee won’t be around to see it, but I still think Robinson has a great chance of going off for the rest of the Knicks’ lost season. Just like the rest of these guys, Robinson only has one more four-game week on the schedule.

Alec Burks Sixers – Josh Richardson’s concussion could keep him out for several games and Burks might be the guy to really step up in his place. And Ben Simmons being out indefinitely also helps Burks. Burks had 15 points, six boards, three assists and three 3-pointers in his last game and should flourish for as long as Richardson is out. He’s likely on your waiver wire. 

Brandon Knight Pistons – Derrick Rose’s season is in jeopardy and I doubt we see him again due to his ankle injury. Bruce Brown is out with a knee injury, leaving Knight as the last point guard standing in Detroit. Knight had 16 points, seven assists and five 3-pointers in his last game and should be one of the hottest pickups out there right now. The Pistons have two four-game weeks left, which is nice. 

Sell High 

Anthony Davis Lakers – AD missed another game on Sunday, but it sounds like he’ll play on Tuesday night. The Lakers are 5.5 games up on the Nuggets for the best record in the West and I get the feeling Davis is going to miss a lot of games down the stretch after being listed as probable or questionable for just about every game this season. He’s already missed eight games and the Lakers have 23 games left on the schedule, including a whopping five sets of back-to-backs. So you can automatically count him out for at least five of those 23 remaining games and when you add in the fact that the Lakers will have no incentive to play him much at all over the final three weeks of the season, moving him after he torches the Sixers on Tuesday night makes a ton of sense. I’m just not sure what you’re going to be able to get for him. My over/under for his remaining games played is 15. 

Giannis Antetokounmpo & Khris Middleton Bucks – These guys aren’t really sell-highs after their disastrous Monday night, especially when you consider Middleton missed a couple games with a sore neck before bombing on Monday when he hit just 4-of-16 shots. Hopefully the neck injury is in the rearview mirror, but it may not take much to put either guy in street clothes for a team that holds the league’s best record and has a 9.5 game lead over its closest challenger. While both Giannis and Middleton look like potentially good values after such a poor showing, that huge lead over the Raptors is inevitably going to end up costing the Bucks’ two best players time in during the fantasy playoffs. The only good news is that the Bucks only have two sets of back-to-backs coming up, but the bad news is that they’re going to want to go into the real playoffs as healthy as possible and the team will literally have nothing to play for over the final month of the season. I don’t think there’s any need to panic with either player, but owners should prepare themselves for plenty of missed games down the stretch. Don’t be shocked if Ersan Ilyasova emerges as a difference maker in the fantasy playoffs. 

DeMar DeRozan Spurs – The Spurs have lost seven of their last 10 games and LaMarcus Aldridge will miss his fourth straight game on Tuesday with a shoulder injury. They’re fifth in their division and now sit a ½ game behind the Kings, Pelicans and Blazers who are all fighting for the final playoff spot in the West. The good news for DeRozan is that he’s healthy and the Spurs are still very much alive in the playoff race. The bad news is that the Grizzlies don’t want to lose their spot, while the Pelicans are playing at a really high level and the Blazers get Damian Lillard (groin) back on Wednesday. I don’t see how the Spurs are going to pull this off, especially when they’re starting a three-game road trip on Tuesday, albeit against three struggling teams. Once the playoffs start to look like a pipe dream, Gregg Popovich might start screwing around with DeRozan, who has only scored more than 18 points in one of his last six games. 

C.J. McCollum & Gary Trent Jr. Blazers – McCollum has been on a serious tear with Damian Lillard (groin) out and teammate Gary Trent has also been killing it lately. All good things must come to an end and that’s about what is about to happen with Lillard scheduled to come back on Wednesday. McCollum’s still going to be a solid producer alongside Lillard, but Trent is going to go away rather quickly. The good news is that the Blazers are still in a mighty playoff battle and it will be an ‘all hands on deck’ situation the rest of the way, which is great news for owners of Lillard, CJM and Whiteside. But if there was ever a time to get maximum value for McCollum it’s right now after averaging 28.3 points, 4.5 rebounds, 6.4 assists, 0.6 steals and a ton of 3-pointers over his last 10 games. I think Trent can safely be dropped with Lillard expecting to play on Wednesday. 

OG Anunoby Raptors – Anunoby is coming off a pair of monster games with 32 points, three 3-pointers and seven steals on Sunday and 16 points, nine boards, six steals and two 3-pointers on Friday. Maybe he can keep it going, but he averaged just 10 points and 5.5 boards in February, but also 2.3 steals and a 3-pointer. He should continue to produce, but his fantasy value has never been higher than it is right now and probably never will be again. And he’s been up and down like a roller coaster all season, leading me to believe that another downward turn is just around the corner. 

Brook Lopez Bucks – BroLo led the Bucks in scoring on Monday and had 16 points, seven rebounds and three blocks on Sunday, putting his March numbers at a gaudy 18.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, 2.5 blocks and 1.5 3-pointers in two games. Khris Middleton was out for one of those and terrible in the other, and Giannis Antetokounmpo struggled on Monday, allowing Lopez to pace the team. He had five points on 2-of-11 shooting in 18 minutes on Friday and everything that I said above about Giannis and Middleton getting load management games off for the best team in the league applies to Lopez, as well. 

Gorgui Dieng Grizzlies – Dieng, to my dismay, did nothing on Friday and Saturday and is not starting for a team missing Jaren Jackson Jr. and Brandon Clarke. But in a garbage-time special against the Hawks on Monday he came through with 17 points, 10 rebounds, a steal and a block. Those are the kind of numbers I thought we’d see from Dieng on a regular basis when JJJ and BC went down, but it certainly wasn’t happening last weekend. Maybe he’ll build off Monday’s success and keep it going, but my guess is he’s more likely to crawl back into his hole. The Grizzlies won that game over the Hawks 127-88.

Steve Alexander

Steve "Dr. A" Alexander is the senior editor for the NBA for Rotoworld.com and a contributor to NBCSports.com. The 2020-20 NBA season marks (at least) his 20th year of covering fantasy hoops for Rotoworld. Follow him on Twitter - @Docktora.