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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Monday

by Brad Johnson
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT’s DFS platform, it’s an innovative daily fantasy game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last under five minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Nolan Arenado with your first pick, nobody else in your league can roster him.

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

Editor’s Note: Fantasy Baseball season is here! Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link. 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Jose Altuve – 2B – Houston (DRAFT Projection: 8.6 FP)

Carlos Correa – SS – Houston (DRAFT Projection: 8.6 FP)

 

The Astros middle infield is ranked 17 and 18 this evening versus a Tampa Bay bullpen game. Ryne Stanek will take the hill with Matt Andriese riding tandem. Andriese can be a tricky opponent, but he typically only lasts about one time through the lineup. Houston should be past the two “starters” by some point in the sixth inning. At that point, they’ll face the soft underbelly of the Rays bullpen. Altuve in particular is practically matchup proof and has a positive baserunning matchup against Wilson Ramos. Correa has been more solid than spectacular this season, but this is still a friendly pairing for him. Alex Bregman is also a quality target, albeit his 11th ranking is only slightly underselling him.

 

Mike Trout – OF – Arizona (DRAFT Projection: 9.5 FP)

 

So Trout is facing an actually decent pitcher. The best hitter since Barry Bonds is still an elite talent in any matchup. Zack Greinke isn’t so overpowering or crafty to force a change in strategy. With the possible exception of a few hitters at Coors Field, Trout is one of my top targets in the first round. The Diamondbacks bullpen is merely decent, and Greinke tosses the occasional clunker. More to the point, Trout has become more selective this season, leading to an even greater quantity of hard contact.

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Jesus Aguilar – INF – Milwaukee (DRAFT Projection: 9.6 FP)

 

Aguilar is terribly overrated for two reasons. First, a visit to Trevor Williams at pitcher friendly PNC Park simply isn’t favorable. DRAFT ranks Aguilar the fifth best infielder ahead of bigger names with better matchups like Edwin Encarnacion or any Astro. More importantly, Eric Thames probably starts in place of Aguilar. If you happen to want to target Williams, you should last pick Thames rather than waste an early selection on Aguilar.

                                              

Christian Yelich – OF – Milwaukee (DRAFT Projection: 9.9 FP)

 

I love Yelich. Nor would I shy away from picking him at the appropriate time – between the second and fourth rounds in 10 team leagues or the fourth round in six team leagues. He should be around the 10th best outfielder in the slate. Instead, DRAFT gave him a first overall ranking ahead of Coors Field sluggers, Indians, and Trout (among others). Yelich’s matchup against Williams is further hurt by them both being ground ball oriented. That tends to favor the pitcher.

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher Talk. Pitchers were tautly projected today, offering no room to recommend for or against a player. While I probably prefer Greinke to Nick Pivetta as the fourth best starter, that’s too minor a quibble for its own blurb. Three pitchers clearly stand on top – Gerrit Cole, Trevor Bauer, and Jacob deGrom. Therefore, in three team leagues, you should take a pitcher in the fifth round. You can consider reaching a little earlier in deeper leagues, especially 10 team formats where the last round options could get hairy.

 

Surprising Positional Depth. Even though it’s only a 10 game slate, both infield and outfield are surprisingly deep with plenty of players to target in six team and shallower formats. For this reason, you could consider bucking my above advice by reaching earlier for a pitcher. Alternatively, stake out your favorite stack in the early rounds then fill in with complementary pieces. Outfield is more top heavy while infield has a wider spread of bargain talent. A Coors Field game dominates the outfield group.

Brad Johnson

You can read more from Brad Johnson on NBC Sports Edge, FanGraphs, and RotoFanatic. Find him on Patreon and Twitter @BaseballATeam.