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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Monday

by Brad Johnson
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT’s DFS platform, it’s an innovative daily fantasy game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last under five minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Nolan Arenado with your first pick, nobody else in your league can roster him.

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

Editor’s Note: Fantasy Baseball season is here! Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link. 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Clayton Kershaw – SP – Los Angeles (DRAFT Projection: 11.7 FP)

 

Few pitchers are as consistent as Kershaw. He’s reeled off 14 straight quality starts. Although the DFS point totals aren’t always impressive, there’s value in reliable performance. This is one reason why I prefer him to James Paxton and Jack Flaherty. However, the most important reason is that he simply projects to outperform them. DRAFT says Kershaw is fifth best, but I have him down for over 6.2 innings, half a win, 7.6 strikeouts, and 2.5 runs (13.8 FP). A matchup against the Diamondbacks is modestly challenging, and there’s always a chance the good Robbie Ray shows up to make this a pitcher’s duel.

 

Trevor Story – INF – Colorado (DRAFT Projection: 0.4 FP)

 

Rumor has it Story will return to the lineup tonight. If so, he’s instantly a top five infielder – even with an elbow injury possibly affecting his performance. A matchup against a struggling Zach Eflin at Coors Field is just too tempting. So long as his projection remains nonexistent, he should be targeted in the fourth or fifth round. This way, if it turns out he remains out of the lineup, you can patch in somebody else without hemorrhaging value. Let somebody else risk their early picks on him.

 

Other undervalued infielders include Justin Turner, Matt Carpenter, and Wilson Ramos.

 

Christian Yelich – OF – Milwaukee (DRAFT Projection 9.0 FP)

 

Yelich is the 15th best outfielder per DRAFT, ranked directly behind a guy who probably won’t even start. As he’s ably demonstrated over the last month, Yelich is a premium source of batting average, OBP, power, stolen bases, and run production. Although a matchup against Jack Flaherty isn’t ideal, it’s also not enough to scare me off a daily top pick. He should be around the sixth outfielder per my projections.

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Trea Turner – INF – Washington (DRAFT Projection: 9.9 FP)

 

Turner is projected to be a top five infielder. There are just two problems. The first is weather related. Rain could put a damper on this game. If it’s not delayed or postponed, don’t be surprised if the Nationals play the B-squad to avoid injuries to their most important players. Even if all is well on the weather front, Turner derives much of his value on the basepaths. Marlins catcher J.T. Realmuto isn’t stolen base prone. I’d look for Turner late in drafts.

 

Odubel Herrera –OF – Philadelphia (DRAFT Projection: 9.0 FP)

 

DRAFT has Herrera as the 14th best outfielder. He’s also rather unlikely to start. The Phillies have been making room for Roman Quinn whenever possible. Herrera often draws the short straw – especially when a left-handed pitcher is on the mound. Until you see Herrera is in the lineup, he’s completely undraftable. Even if he’s playing, Coors Field isn’t enough to upgrade a middling matchup versus Tyler Anderson.

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Heavy Weather. Rain threatens the action in Chicago (AL and NL) and Washington D.C. The capitol has a 50 percent chance of rain practically all day. The weather threats are patchier in Chicago. Be wary.

 

Pitcher Talk.  Quality pitching options abound. Those in three and six team formats can safely put off selecting their starter, although there’s also nothing wrong with locking in Kluber if he falls out of the first round. Those in 10 team leagues also have decent targets at the deep end of the pool.

 

  1. Corey Kluber – Tier 1
  2. Stephen Strasburg – Tier 1
  3. Clayton Kershaw  – Tier 2
  4. James Paxton – Tier 2
  5. Cole Hamels – Tier 2
  6. Jack Flaherty – Tier 3
  7. Jameson Taillon – Tier 3
  8. Derek Holland– Tier 3
  9. Robbie Ray – Tier 3
  10. Dallas Keuchel – Tier 4
  11. Nate Eovaldi – Tier 4
  12. Felix Pena – Tier 4
Brad Johnson

You can read more from Brad Johnson on Rotoworld, FanGraphs, and RotoFanatic. Find him on Patreon and Twitter @BaseballATeam.