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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Saturday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Max Scherzer with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

 

Editor's Note: Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Freddie Freeman – IF – Atlanta (DRAFT Projection: 8.8)

Ozzie Albies – IF – Atlanta (DRAFT Projection: 8.3)

 

Aaron Wilkerson is making a spot-start for the Brewers this afternoon, which is good news for the Atlanta hitters. Wilkerson has tossed 13.1 major league innings over the past two years, yielding 11 hits and nine earned runs. His 5.23 xFIP and 7.53 K/9 metrics in Triple-A this season aren’t overly impressive either. I’m boosting Freeman and Albies accordingly, putting them closer to 10.0 projections that places them firmly in the top 10 at their position.

 

 

Max Muncy – IF – LA Dodgers (DRAFT Projection: 8.7)

Matt Kemp – OF – LA Dodgers (DRAFT Projection: 7.9)

 

The Dodgers’ offense has been on fire lately, and these two guys are a big reason why. Both of them are underrated in today’s DRAFT player pool, especially considering the promising matchup. The Dodgers will square off against LAA RHP Deck McGuire and his .430 wOBA vs right-handed bats through limited major league innings this season. That feeds into Kemp’s wheelhouse, and it’s hard to believe one of the best hitters of 2018 (.321 avg, 15 HR, 57 RBI) has this low of a projection. Let’s go ahead and boost Muncy and Kemp (along with Bellinger) within the 9.5-10.0 fantasy point range.

 

 

Anthony Rizzo – IF – Chicago Cubs (DRAFT Projection: 9.2)

 

Rizzo finds himself in an outstanding matchup vs Cincinnati RHP Matt Harvey and his generous .395 wOBA split vs left-handed hitters. If only the wind were blowing out in Wrigley Field today, then we’d had a bona-fide top five projection on our hands. However, we have plenty to go off of for Rizzo this afternoon, and he should be viewed as a top ten infielder with a projection of 10.2 fantasy points in my opinion.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Kyle Gibson – P – Minnesota (DRAFT Projection: 10.9)

 

There are so many good pitching options on today’s slate, you don’t need to take a chance on Kyle Gibson. You can see the overall pitching strategy in the designated section below. Gibson is looking at a promising matchup against a Baltimore team that ranks bottom five in most major hitting categories while striking out more than most major league clubs. However, “Gibby” himself has an inconsistent profile that isn’t worth the risk. I’d rather take David Price, Carlos Martinez, Ross Stripling, or Jake Arrieta before looking towards the Twins’ pitcher, and he’s actually rated higher than all of those tossers on DRAFT.

 

 

David Peralta – OF – Arizona (DRAFT Projection: 10.5)

A.J. Pollock – OF – Arizona (DRAFT Projection: 10.4)

 

I seem to offer this reminder at least on a weekly basis: Hitters playing in Chase Field tend to have artificially higher projections. I understand that Arizona’s ballpark is a healthy run-scoring environment, but the boosts for individual players sometimes goes overboard on DRAFT. That may be the case for Peralta and Pollock today, who I believe are both overrated by at least a full fantasy point. San Diego pitcher Tyson Ross is no slouch, and it’s a bit too lofty to rank both of these D-Back sluggers as top five outfielders on this slate.

 

 

Bryce Harper – OF – Washington (DRAFT Projection: 10.2)

 

My plan is to let someone else draft Bryce Harper at this level due to name recognition. He’s not a bad play, but I’m not in love with the lefty/lefty matchup against Miami southpaw Wei-Yin Chen. I’d rather take outfielders like Mike Trout, George Springer, Shin-Soo Choo, Christian Yelich, Matt Kemp, or Eddie Rosario (all of which have lower projections than Bryce) before looking towards the Washington superstar.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. Take a look at these rankings. I told you the pitcher position runs deep! Due to this, you can probably wait to snag a quality hurler in most leagues. DRAFT has Charlie Morton listed as the top dog, but I feel more confident in Scherzer, Kluber, Severino, or Paxton in the first tier.

 

  1. Max Scherzer – Tier 1
  2. Corey Kluber – Tier 1
  3. Luis Severino – Tier 1
  4. James Paxton – Tier 1
  5. Charlie Morton – Tier 1
  6. Blake Snell – Tier 1
  7. Robbie Ray – Tier 2
  8. David Price – Tier 2
  9. Carlos Martinez – Tier 2
  10. Ross Stripling – Tier 2
  11. Jake Arrieta – Tier 2
  12. Steven Matz – Tier 3
  13. Cole Hamels – Tier 3
  14. Kyle Freeland – Tier 3
  15. Kyle Gibson – Tier 3
Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.