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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Saturday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Nolan Arenado with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

 

Editor's Note: Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Zack Greinke – P – Arizona (DRAFT Projection: 10.2)

 

This projection has Greinke ranked ninth among pitchers today. It’s safe to say that he deserves better. The matchup isn’t great in a tricky road matchup at Atlanta, but there’s a good chance the Diamondbacks’ ace could escape with another quality outing. As you can see in the pitcher rankings later in this article, I’ve moved Greinke to a more realistic expectation while ranking fourth among hurlers. He should definitely be listed ahead of guys like Duffy, Wheeler, Clevinger, and Heaney – all of which have higher projections on DRAFT.

 

 

Kyle Seager – IF – Seattle (DRAFT Projection: 9.2)

 

Most of the Seattle hitters have a warranted projection boost while playing in this 12-run over/under at Coors Field. However, Kyle Seager seems to be lacking in that department. He’s a capable power bat who could take full advantage of the hitter-friendly environment, and the corresponding projection should be closer to 10.0 in my opinion. This is an excellent game to stack hitters from both squads, so keep Seager in mind as a borderline top five infield option.

 

 

Matt Kemp – OF – LA Dodgers (DRAFT Projection: 7.9)

 

Here we are again. Matt Kemp is always underrated on DRAFT, but the snub is especially noticeable when considering a quality righty/lefty matchup against LAA LHP Andrew Heaney and his .347 wOBA 21.8% HR/FB split vs right-handed bats. As we all know, Kemp is enjoying an amazing season with an excellent blend of power, contact, and RBI potential within this steady LAD offense. Go ahead and add the Dodgers’ outfielder to your queue as a later-round filler in deeper leagues.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Zack Wheeler – P – NY Mets (DRAFT Projection: 10.6)

 

It almost seems like DRAFT got “the Zacks” mixed up, as you could conceivably swap Wheeler and Greinke in terms of pre-draft rankings. Wheeler, for all intents and purposes, is a mediocre pitcher who doesn’t deserve to be mentioned as a top five pitcher in this slate. The home matchup vs Washington doesn’t even look that good, and I probably wouldn’t project him this high even if he was facing the Padres or Marlins.

 

 

Tim Beckham – IF – Baltimore (DRAFT Projection: 9.4)

 

I’m a believer in the Orioles’ offense against Texas LHP Martin Perez today, but Beckham isn’t necessarily at the top of that list. Machado, Trumbo, Jones, and Mancini make for a high-upside stack in this matchup, and the latter three all have projections lower than Beckham. The Baltimore third baseman isn’t a bad option, but I’d rather take similarly ranked infielders like Machado, Goldschmidt, Gordon, Votto, Seager, Moustakas, Bregman, or Dozier before even looking towards Beckham.

 

 

Brandon Nimmo – OF – NY Mets (DRAFT Projection: 9.4)

 

Nimmo is enjoying a breakout season, but he has actually regressed with a .214 average since the calendar flipped to July. In fact, he has recorded only nine hits compared to 17 strikeouts through that timeframe with 42 at-bats. Translation: he’s currently in somewhat of a funk. You are probably better off looking towards other outfielders with similar projections.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. The pitcher position is fairly deep tonight. Cole and Nola are the obvious frontrunners, while Berrios and Greinke are next in line. If I miss out on a quality pitcher in larger leagues, falling back on Rodriguez, Duffy, Wood, or Hendricks makes for a comforting backup plan.

 

  1. Gerrit Cole – Tier 1
  2. Aaron Nola – Tier 1
  3. Jose Berrios – Tier 2
  4. Zack Greinke – Tier 2
  5. Eduardo Rodriguez – Tier 2
  6. Chris Archer – Tier 3
  7. Danny Duffy – Tier 3
  8. Alex Wood – Tier 3
  9. Kyle Hendricks – Tier 3
  10. Chase Anderson – Tier 3
  11. Mike Clevinger – Tier 3
  12. Andrew Heaney – Tier 3

 

 

More underrated hitters. Here are a few more hitters to keep an eye on in deeper leagues.

 

Ryon Healy – IF – Seattle (DRAFT Projection: 8.8)

 

Healy is a power bat with multi-homerun upside on any given day. That’s why it’s curious he has a much lower fantasy expectation than his Seattle teammates. I’m expecting him to get in on this 12 run over/under, and his projection level should probably be closer to 9.5 FP.

 

 

Adam Jones – OF – Baltimore (DRAFT Projection: 7.9)

 

As mentioned earlier, the Orioles are looking at a confident matchup against Texas LHP Martin Perez and his .380 wOBA split against right-handed hitters. Jones is underrated as an outfield filler in deeper leagues when considering his upside in this favorable draw.

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.