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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Saturday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Trevor Bauer with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

 

Editor's Note: Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Khris Davis – IF – Oakland (DRAFT Projection: 8.7)

 

Tyler Skaggs has been struggling lately, and pitching through a hip injury likely has something to do with that. The Angels’ lefty will be making his first start since coming off the 10-day disabled list. His last appearance came on July 31 against Tampa Bay, wherein he allowed 10 earned runs (!) through 3.1 innings. There’s a chance that poor performance (and the lingering injury) could play a factor against this confident Oakland lineup … We all know Khris Davis is a lefty-masher with immense power upside. It just so happens that he carries solid career numbers against Tyler Skaggs. If the LAA hurler continues to struggle, Davis is a safe bet to take advantage.

 

 

Justin Upton – OF – LA Angels (DRAFT Projection: 8.5)

 

Looking to the other dugout of the same game, Upton deserves to be listed closer to a 9.8 FP projection level. Oakland RHP Edwin Jackson has been steady through 47 innings this season, but those numbers are much better than his career averages. I have a hard time believing that he has suddenly turned into an elite pitcher at age 34, while his career ERA rests around the 4.62 mark. In other words, regression looms around the corner, and there’s a chance we’ll see it on the road against an LAA lineup with plenty of power. Upton certainly contributes in that category, and he’ll look to pounce on Jackson’s .362 wOBA split vs right-handed bats.

 

 

Ronald Acuna – OF – Atlanta (DRAFT Projection: 9.0)

 

I boosted Acuna to a similar projection level as Justin Upton (9.8 FP) in my personal rankings. You can make a strong case for the Atlanta rookie, as he’s heating up with six hits, two homers, three RBI, four runs, and one steal over his past three games. The matchup looks great as well, settling into a righty/lefty draw against Milwaukee LHP Wade Miley and his vulnerable .357 wOBA split vs right-handed bats … Potentially upgrading teammate Ozzie Albies (9.2 projection) isn’t a bad idea either.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Tyler Skaggs – P – LA Angels (DRAFT Projection: 10.5)

 

As mentioned earlier, Tyler Skaggs was roughed-up for 10 earned runs through 3.1 innings in his last start. He has since landed on the 10-day disabled list with a hip injury, making his first start since that nightmare. Needless to say, I’m hesitant to draft Skaggs with any sort of confidence tonight. I’ll probably remove him from consideration while taking a wait and see approach with his injury and confidence level. Remember, this is a tricky matchup against a hungry Oakland lineup.

 

 

Matt Carpenter – IF – St. Louis (DRAFT Projection: 10.3)

 

I understand that Matt Carpenter is in the midst of a remarkable run, but I believe he’s overrated tonight. For one, he has become homerun dependent, and he’ll be playing in Kansas City’s pitcher-friendly environment this evening. Also, let’s not forget that KC LHP Danny Duffy is a pretty good hurler. For all of this quirks this season, Duffy can still turn it on, especially locking up left-handed bats.

 

 

Miguel Sano – IF – Minnesota (DRAFT Projection: 9.8)

 

Sano has looked better since being called up to the big league club, but that doesn’t mean I’m buying him at this projection level. There are so many better infielders to consider than Sano today, as Khris Davis, Alex Bregman, Eugenio Suarez, Trea Turner, Anthony Rizzo, Joey Votto, Kike Hernandez, and Rafael Devers serve as a few examples of players with lower projections who should be ranked ahead of him.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. The first five picks are pretty straightforward while aligning mostly with DRAFT’s original projections. The main takeaways of these rankings include upgrades for Lance Lynn and Dan Straily as pitchers to be considered toward the tail-end of drafts in deeper (10 team) leagues.

 

  1. Trevor Bauer – Tier 1
  2. Aaron Nola – Tier 1
  3. Charlie Morton – Tier 1
  4. David Price – Tier 2
  5. Robbie Ray – Tier 2
  6. Jack Flaherty – Tier 2
  7. Lance Lynn – Tier 2
  8. Jon Lester – Tier 3
  9. Tanner Roark – Tier 3
  10. Dan Straily – Tier 3
  11. Danny Duffy – Tier 3
  12. Kyle Gibson – Tier 4

 

 

Weather risk. There aren’t any major weather threats to consider, but Texas-NY Yankees this afternoon has some risk of precipitation, especially in the later stages of that game … Also, the second tilt of the Boston-Baltimore doubleheader faces some precipitation risk around the expected time of first pitch.

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.