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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Saturday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Jose Ramirez with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

 

Editor's Note: Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Manny Machado – IF – LA Dodgers (DRAFT Projection: 9.0)

 

There are so many hitters with great matchups today, but Machado really jumps off the screen as an underrated commodity. He should be listed at least a full fantasy point higher, which would have him pushing for a top five spot among infielders. The matchup looks good against the non-imposing likes of Seattle RHP Erasmo Ramirez. Machado is currently swining a confident bat with six hits, two homers, five RBI, three runs, and a stolen base over his past three games. There’s a good chance the momentum continues this evening.

 

 

JT Realmuto – IF – Miami (DRAFT Projection: 9.3)

 

I’m pushing Realmuto’s projection up around 9.9 fantasy points while circling him as a later round pick in leagues with six or more teams. The matchup is amazing while taking on Washington LHP Tommy Milone and his exploitable .438 wOBA 22.7% HR/FB split vs right-handed bats. Realmuto is one of the few Miami righties to take full advantage of this opportunity, and he represents a sneaky-good DRAFT selection in my opinion.

 

 

AJ Pollock – OF – Arizona (DRAFT Projection: 9.2)

 

Speaking of intriguing righty/lefty matchups, take a look at AJ Pollock (and Goldschmidt) against San Diego LHP Clayton Richard. The Padres’ lefty has been slowing down as the season goes, owning a current ERA that has inflated to 4.98. He carries a .357 wOBA split against right-handed bats as well. Because of this, Pollock makes for a solid outfielder who should be closer to the 10.0 FP projection level. Even though he’s playing in a pitcher-friendly ballpark, Pollock holds potential for multiple hits, runs, and RBI in this draw.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Matt Carpenter – IF – St. Louis (DRAFT Projection: 10.0)

 

It’s tough to fade Matt Carpenter, but I’m not necessarily paying a premium for him in this lefty/lefty matchup against Wade Miley. Does Carpenter still carry significant homerun upside? Sure…but my general strategy is for somebody else to take a chance on him as a top ten infielder. As mentioned earlier, there are so many quality hitters with great matchups on this slate, you don’t have to settle for a draw that is less-than-ideal. I’d rather take Belt, Goldschmidt, Gregorius, Freeman, or Realmuto as similarly projected (or less) infielders.

 

 

Shin-Soo Choo – IF – Texas (DRAFT Projection: 10.3)

Joey Gallo – OF – Texas (DRAFT Projection: 9.5)

 

Here are a few more guys I’m downgrading due to a less-than-ideal lefty/lefty matchup that drastically limits their upside. I can’t stress this enough, but you don’t have to settle for any matchups that are less than “very good” on paper. Choo and Gallo stepping in against LAA LHP Andrew Heaney certainly qualifies as a below average draw for all intents and purposes. Don’t waste a high draft pick on these guys.

 

 

Brett Gardner – OF – NY Yankees (DRAFT Projection: 9.8)

 

I’m not opposed to drafting Brett Gardner, as the matchup doesn’t look too bad while playing for a Yankees offense that carries one of the best run-scoring projections of the day. However, I believe there are other outfielders with much better floor/ceiling potential. Castellanos, Acuna, Pollock, Brantley, and Blackmon all have lower projections than Gardner, and I would easily take them instead.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. Zack Godley holds strong in the top tier, as he has been pitching like an ace lately. He has one of the best matchups in baseball tonight: taking on San Diego in Petco ParkLuis Severino has looked shaky in recent appearances, which is why Bumgarner leaps him in these rankings … Michael Foltynewicz isn’t a bad pick by any stretch of the imagination, but I would personally take Bumgarner, Severino, Price, or Hill before him. The decision between Price, Hill, and Foltynewicz is a close one, but I’m (narrowly) ranking them in that order.

 

  1. Jacob deGrom – Tier 1
  2. Zack Godley – Tier 1
  3. Madison Bumgarner – Tier 1
  4. Luis Severino – Tier 1
  5. David Price – Tier 2
  6. Rich Hill- Tier 2
  7. Michael Foltynewicz – Tier 2
  8. Jake Arrieta – Tier 2
  9. Dallas Keuchel – Tier 3
  10. Miles Mikolas – Tier 3
Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.