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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Saturday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Nolan Arenado with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

Editor's Note: Fantasy Baseball season is here! Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Matt Kemp – OF – LA Dodgers (DRAFT Projections: 0.5)

 

Make sure to search for Matt Kemp and place him in your pre-draft rankings. DRAFT seems to think he will not start tonight, but I don’t see any indication that he’ll be on the bench. Kemp should retain his premium lineups spot for a Dodgers offense that carries the highest run-scoring projection of the night. Kemp has been fantastic this season, and his incredible run could easily continue in hitter-friendly Coors Field against the non-imposing pitching of German Marquez. I’ll assign him to a 10.0 FP projection.

 

 

Carlos Correa – IF – Houston (DRAFT Projections: 7.8)

 

David Price hasn’t exactly been bulletproof this season, unlike his southpaw teammate Chris Sale. However, the DRAFT projection on Correa suggest he’s facing a Sale-like pitcher or perhaps David Price in his prime. As you probably know, Correa has an excellent power/contact combination, and I’m willing to raise his projection to the 9.4 FP level.

 

 

JA Happ – P – Toronto (DRAFT Projections: 10.3)

 

Happ started the season on fire, fell into a rough-patch, and now he’s dominating again with 23 strikeouts and four earned runs allowed through 20.2 innings in his past three starts combined. This is a decent matchup to keep him going, facing a Detroit offense that ranks near the middle of the pack. I’m willing to rank Happ fourth or fifth among pitchers today, inflating his projection to 11.4 fantasy points.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Garrett Richards – P – LA Angels (DRAFT Projections: 12.6)

 

Richards has struggled over his past two starts, which has me concerned about his current form. He’s typically much better at home (last two games @TOR & @NYY), but I’m still feeling unease with his fantasy stability at the moment. Regardless, I don’t believe he deserves this 12.6 FP projection that has him ranked third among pitchers. As you can see in the rankings below, I’d rather take Greinke, Happ, or Archer before considering the Angels’ starter.

 

 

Max Muncy – IF – LA Dodgers (DRAFT Projections: 9.7)

 

There’s too much of a good thing here, as Muncy’s projection is artificially inflated due to the Coors Field factor. Does he have upside while playing for the highest scoring offense of the night? Sure, but I’m not ranking him higher than talented infielders like Stanton, Ramirez, Shaw, Gregorius, Correa, and others.

 

 

Teoscar Hernandez – OF – Toronto (DRAFT Projections: 9.5)

Matt Joyce – OF – Oakland (DRAFT Projections: 9.3)

Curtis Granderson – OF – Toronto (DRAFT Projections: 9.1)

 

I’ll go ahead and group these overrated outfielders together, as they should all probably be docked at least one fantasy point. Hernandez and Granderson are facing viable Detroit LHP Matt Boyd, which doesn’t profile as a special matchup to garner this type of projection … Joyce is part of an Oakland offense that could inflict some damage again in Kansas City, but there’s much better outfield options for a similar (or lower) expectation: CarGo, Upton, Brantley, Springer, etc.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. As mentioned earlier, Garrett Richards moves down while JA Happ moves up. Masahiro Tanaka falls due to an uncomfortable matchup at Baltimore with some weather risk to boot. Marco Gonzales of Seattle is a quality underrated option for deeper leagues.

  1. Justin Verlander – Tier 1
  2. Jacob deGrom – Tier 1
  3. Trevor Bauer – Tier 1
  4. Zack Greinke – Tier 2
  5. JA Happ – Tier 2
  6. Chris Archer – Tier 2
  7. Garrett Richards – Tier 2
  8. Marco Gonzales – Tier 2
  9. Trevor Cahill – Tier 3
  10. Gio Gonzalez – Tier 3
  11. Masahiro Tanaka – Tier 3 (weather risk)

 

 

Weather risk. You may want to pay attention to the weather for NYY-BAL and CLE-MIN today. I already mentioned the downgrade for Tanaka because of this news, but Trevor Bauer becomes more risky if things continue to look gloomy in Minnesota. Double check the weather reports, and keep that in the back of your mind while drafting.

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.