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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Sunday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Paul Goldschmidt with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

 

Editor's Note: Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Giancarlo Stanton – IF – NY Yankees (DRAFT Projection: 10.0)

 

Stanton already carries a lofty double-digit projection, but I believe it should be higher. Giancarlo is arguably one of the top bats of this slate while looking at a promising righty/lefty matchup against mediocre Toronto LHP Ryan Borucki in a hitter-friendly park. We all know Stanton’s pedigree against left-handed pitching, and that should propel him to an expectation of 11.0 FP to flirt with a top three ranking among all hitters.

 

 

Alex Wood – P – LA Dodgers (DRAFT Projection: 8.7)

 

Wood had a rocky start to the season between injuries and general inconsistencies. It appears that he’s starting to smooth out the proverbial wrinkles while looking more like his impressive 2017-self. This 8.7 FP projection is simply too low on DRAFT. As you can see in the pitcher rankings below, Wood is firmly in the second tier as a top five overall pitcher. He’s a quality draft pick if you miss out on the top tier hurlers like Greinke or Bumgarner.

 

 

Matt Olson – IF – Oakland (DRAFT Projection: 9.3)

 

There are plenty of factors working in Matt Olson’s favor this afternoon. Here are a few: 1) The park shift to Cleveland really helps left-handed power. 2) Indians’ RHP Shane Bieber has been pretty good recently, but he still carries a vulnerable .441 wOBA split vs left-handed bats in limited MLB innings … Needless to say, Olson has capable power upside to take advantage of those two key points. I’m assigning him with a 10.2 FP projection.

 

 

Bryce Harper – OF – Washington (DRAFT Projection: 9.0)

 

This is somewhat strange. Harper had an overrated double-digit projection yesterday in a lefty/lefty matchup against Wei-Yin Chen. Now he’s looking at a more favorable lefty/righty draw vs mediocre Miami RHP Trevor Richards, and the expectation has dropped considerable. Go ahead and take note of this while assembling your pre-draft rankings, as Harper deserves to have a 10.0 projection alongside Aaron Judge, Mike Trout, and George Springer.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Michael Fulmer – P – Detroit (DRAFT Projection: 10.5)

 

I don’t mind Michael Fulmer, but he isn’t really an exciting pitcher with substantial upside. On top of that, there’s plenty that could go wrong while facing a powerful Texas offense. I understand that Fulmer is usually pretty good at home, but I believe there are better hurlers to consider before him. That list includes Porcello, Wood, Bieber, Lester, and maybe Flaherty – all of which have lower projections than him on DRAFT today.

 

 

Eric Thames – IF – Milwaukee (DRAFT Projection: 9.8)

 

There’s a good chance Eric Thames sits out of this game while facing Atlanta LHP Sean Newcomb. Even if Thames finds himself in the starting lineup, he’s on my “do not draft” list in this ugly lefty/lefty draw against a capable southpaw. Go ahead and remove him from consideration in all draft sizes.

 

 

Eddie Rosario – OF – Minnesota (DRAFT Projection: 10.8)

 

I’m a Twins fan who loves Eddie Rosario, but I don’t believe he deserves to be ranked as the top outfielder of the day. The matchup isn’t bad vs Alex Cobb of Baltimore, but a 9.5 FP projection is probably better suited for Eddie. Give me Betts, Judge, Trout, Harper, Springer, Pollock, or Benintendi before I’m even considering Rosario as an outfield option.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. The main movers and shakers compared to the DRAFT preassembled rankings are Alex Wood and Michael Fulmer – who were mentioned earlier in this article. If you can’t snag a top tier pitcher, the second wave of options represents a fine backup plan with Porcello, Wood, Lester, and Bieber. That’s where I find myself usually drawing from in drafts of six or more people.

 

  1. Zack Greinke – Tier 1
  2. Madison Bumgarner – Tier 1
  3. Dallas Keuchel – Tier 1
  4. Rick Porcello – Tier 2
  5. Alex Wood – Tier 2
  6. Jon Lester – Tier 2
  7. Shane Bieber – Tier 2
  8. Jack Flaherty – Tier 3
  9. Michael Fulmer – Tier 3
  10. Jake Odorizzi – Tier 3

 

 

More underrated hitters. Here’s a quick list of underrated bats to keep an eye on for deeper leagues … Matt Kemp (8.2) is chronically underrated on DRAFT. That’s the case again today, and he’s looking at a decent matchup against LHP Heaney’s .351 wOBA split vs RHB … Another constantly underrated hitter is Odubel Herrera (8.1), who has multi-hit upside vs Pittsburgh RHP Kingham’s .366 wOBA against lefties … Yesterday’s 10 RBI hero (that’s not a typo), Mark Reynolds, has a 0.7 FP projection to potentially consider as a late-round filler in deeper leagues. The matchup doesn’t look too shabby vs Miami RHP Richards (.407 wOBA split vs RHB), assuming Reynolds cracks the starting lineup.

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.