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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Sunday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Max Scherzer with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

 

Editor's Note: Fantasy Baseball season is here! Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Oakland Hitters: Matt Olson – IF (8.8) & Khris Davis – IF (9.2)

 

Oakland checks in with one of the highest run-scoring projections of the day - clustered with Boston, Minnesota, and the NY Yankees for that honor. Newly acquired Baltimore RHP Alex Cobb has been a train wreck this season, coughing up 19 earned runs and 37 hits (!) through 17.2 innings. There’s a good chance Matt Olson, Khris Davis, and company jump all over him this afternoon. As a result, I’m willing to upgrade both of these guys closer to the 10.0 level, pushing them to be ranked in the top ten among infielders. The park factor in Oakland isn’t necessarily great, but these two sluggers carry more than enough power to get their money’s worth no matter the setting.

 

 

Gregory Polanco – OF – Pittsburgh (DRAFT Projection: 7.9)

 

Pittsburgh will continue to enjoy a nice park shift in Milwaukee, something that has benefitted Polanco in the first two games of this series. I’m willing to upgrade him and teammate Starling Marte closer to 9.0 fantasy points, making them viable in leagues of five people or greater. Milwaukee RHP Chase Anderson can be considered mediocre for all intents and purposes. Also, it doesn’t hurt that Marte and Polanco both have solid track records against him.

 

 

Ronald Acuna – OF – Atlanta (DRAFT Projection: 7.0)

 

Wow. Acuna’s projection has been hanging out around this level ever since he’s been called-up. The amount of which he’s being snubbed still never ceases to amaze me. Deeper leagues with savvy drafters will recognize that Acuna should probably check in somewhere closer to a projection of 9.0 to 9.5. The matchup is non-imposing this afternoon, holding the platoon advantage over mediocre San Francisco LHP Andrew Suarez.  

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Tommy Pham – OF – St. Louis (DRAFT Projection: 9.5)

 

I actually really like Tommy Pham in this matchup, but we have to consider the injury risk. Pham left yesterday’s game with groin tightness, and there’s a chance the Cardinals’ will hold him out this evening. Adding even more risk to the situation, this is the only night game of the slate, meaning you’d have limited options to swap Pham out (Ozuna maybe?). Keep all of this in mind while drafting.

 

 

Yankee Hitters: Aaron Judge – OF (11.4) & Giancarlo Stanton – IF (10.1)

 

It’s not that I dislike these Yankee sluggers; after all, they check in as a top tier offense in terms of run-scoring projection. Having said that, Aaron Judge does not deserve to be ranked as the top overall hitter. I’m cooling his projection somewhere closer to 10.0 considering a formidable matchup against Cleveland RHP Mike Clevinger … The same can be said for Stanton, whose heavy strikeout tendencies probably deserve a 0.8 to full point downgrade in this draw.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. Do everything in your power to snag a top four pitcher this afternoon! The drop-off from Tier 1 (Scherzer, Sale, Syndergaard, Verlander) and the rest (Archer, Gibson, Lester, etc) is pretty severe. Protect your chances by arming yourself with a quality hurler in deeper leagues. Here’s how the pitcher rankings/tiers shake out:

 

  1. Max Scherzer – Tier 1
  2. Chris Sale – Tier 1
  3. Justin Verlander – Tier 1
  4. Noah Syndergaard – Tier 1
  5. Chris Archer – Tier 2
  6. Kyle Gibson – Tier 3
  7. Jon Lester – Tier 3
  8. Jake Arrieta – Tier 3
  9. Shohei Ohtani – Tier 3
  10. Domingo German – Tier 3
  11. Michael Wacha – Tier 4
  12. Jake Junis – Tier 4

 

 

More underrated players. Some quick notes on players who seem to be underrated relative to their numberfire projections and pre-draft rankings:

 

  • Jon Lester – P – CHC (9.2): He’s a fine fallback option if you find yourself without one of the top four pitchers. Potentially not having to face Tommy Pham could be a small break in Lester’s favor as well.
  • Manny Machado – IF – BAL (8.2): Oakland RHP Andrew Triggs is your textbook mediocre pitcher. He has been up and down this season, with the less-inspiring performances coming as full-fledged meltdowns. Keep Machado in mind for deeper leagues.
  • Starling Marte – OF – PIT (8.7): Marte stems from the same rationale outlined in teammate Gregory Polanco’s write-up. I’m bumping his projection closer to 9.3 FP.
  • Ozzie Albies – IF – ATL (8.5): Albies and Acuna seem to be chronically underrated. The Atlanta infielder is a solid filler in larger leagues (six or more people) while looking at a confident draw.

 


More overrated players. I’m avoiding these players at their current projection levels.

 

  • Jesus Aguilar – IF – MIL (9.4): The matchup and park factor aren’t bad, but do we really believe in Aguilar’s ability more than similar (or lower) ranked infielders like Olson, K.Davis, Freeman, Shaw, Devers, or Albies?
  • Derek Dietrich – OF – MIA (8.8): I understand he has a park boost in Cincinnati, but the lefty/lefty matchup neutralizes that advantage.
  • Scott Schebler – OF – CIN (9.0): He has capable homerun upside in a nice matchup, but that’s seemingly the only way he scores fantasy points. Give me well-rounded options like Polanco, Cain, Marte, Upton, or Kepler for a similar projection level.

 

 

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.