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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Sunday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Mike Trout with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Keep in mind this article covers the evening slate starting at 7:05 ET with 11 total games.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

Editor's Note: Fantasy Baseball season is here! Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Anthony Rizzo – IF – Chicago Cubs (DRAFT Projection: 8.9)

 

This is becoming a regular segment of this column, as Rizzo seems chronically underrated. That’s the case again today, as Rizzo’s projection is buried despite a strong matchup. He’ll take on Tyler Mahle in Cincinnati’s hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park, and Mahle owns a generous .404 wOBA 21.2% HR/FB rate against left-handed bats. I’m raising Rizzo’s projection at least one full fantasy point, putting him in the top five of infielders.

 

 

Julio Teheran – P – Atlanta (DRAFT Projection: 9.0)

 

My top ten starting pitcher rankings are listed towards the bottom of the article. A quick glance will show that Teheran is part of the second tier, making for a solid option in deeper leagues with six or more people. After a slow start this year, the Atlanta right-handed pitcher has looked good with three scoreless outings in his past five appearances. The matchup looks great against a Marlins team that ranks dead last in wOBA.

 

 

Nomar Mazara – OF – Texas (DRAFT Projection: 8.2)

 

The outfield position seems very top-heavy tonight. If you are in a deeper league, you’ll likely be scrounging to fill this position. Nomar Mazara is an underrated sleeper with a nice floor/ceiling combination. He’s facing White Sox RHP Reynaldo Lopez in a better matchup than it seems. Lopez holds a respectable 3.50 ERA, but his 5.85 xFIP is second-worst among qualified starters – suggesting regression is on the way. I’m liking Mazara and his teammates to deliver that regression.

 

 

Additional Notes: If Gary Sanchez (8.9) is in the lineup, he deserves a boost closer to 10.0 fantasy points. The Yankees are one of the highest scoring teams of the day while facing LHP Skoglund. Sanchez is heating up too … Jose Abreu (8.9) is another underrated commodity with upside, looking to take advantage of Texas LHP Mike Minor’s recent struggles.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Mike Minor – P – Texas (DRAFT Projection: 10.8)

 

DRAFT is suggesting Mike Minor is part of the second/third tier behind the obvious top six options. I think you can do better. Minor is struggling at the moment, allowing 14 earned runs through 16.1 innings over his past three starts. I’m not optimistic he’ll turn things around in hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field. In fact, as outlined in the “additional notes” section above, I like Jose Abreu to inflict some damage in this matchup.

 

 

Curtis Granderson – OF – Toronto (DRAFT Projection: 9.5)

Matt Joyce – OF – Oakland (DRAFT Projection: 9.4)

 

I’ll group these two overrated hitters from the same game together, as the sentiment is similar for each of them. I don’t mind Granderson or Joyce, but they don’t deserve projections this high. Facing mediocre pitchers like Mengden and Biagini respectively look good, but I’ll give these guys a baseline of 8.5 fantasy points instead of the current levels. Give me outfielders like Joey Gallo, Ronald Acuna, Christian Yelich, Michael Conforto, Justin Upton, Bryce Harper, Trey Mancini, Kyle Schwarber, or Nomar Mazara (all of which have lower projections) over these guys.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. The pitcher slate looks pretty deep today. Syndergaard, Strasburgh, and Ohtani are transferable in the top tier. However, they aren’t essential lifts with quality starters like McCullers, Carrasco, Nola, and even Teheran giving you seven confident options to choose from. I’ll likely wait for a pitcher in my drafts.

 

  1. Noah Syndergaard – Tier 1
  2. Stephen Strasburg – Tier 1
  3. Shohei Ohtani – Tier 1
  4. Lance McCullers – Tier 2
  5. Carlos Carrasco – Tier 2
  6. Aaron Nola – Tier 2
  7. Julio Teheran – Tier 2
  8. Wade LeBlanc – Tier 3
  9. Alex Wood – Tier 3
  10. Yu Darvish – Tier 3

 

Outfield is very top-heavy. We’ve established that pitcher has depth, and another glimpse at the “underrated section” indicates that infielders run deep as well. I’m placing more emphasis on the outfield position with my top picks, as premium lifts like Betts, Trout, and Judge are in a tier of their own.

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.