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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Sunday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Charlie Blackmon with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

Editor's Note: Fantasy Baseball season is here! Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Trevor Story – IF – Colorado (DRAFT Projection: 9.8)

 

Taking Rockies at home usually isn’t a bad idea, and today provides no exception to that rule. Colorado unsurprisingly checks in with one of the highest run-scoring projections of the slate while facing the struggles of Arizona RHP Zack Godley and his 5.12 ERA. Godley had a breakout 2017 season, but regression has pulled him back down this season. The D-Backs’ hurler has allowed 15 earned runs through 12.1 innings over his past three starts, and it doesn’t seem likely that he’ll turn things around in Coors Field. Go ahead and give Trevor Story an upgrade so he’s alongside teammate Nolan Arenado with a 10.5 FP projection.

 

 

Gerardo Parra – OF – Colorado (DRAFT Projection: 8.5)

 

I’m willing to boost Parra a full fantasy point today, making his new DRAFT projection closer to 9.5. As mentioned in the previous write-up, Arizona RHP Zack Godley has really struggled as of late. There’s a good chance the Rockies will jump all over him with another Coors Field scorefest. In my opinion, Parra needs to be considered just behind the top wave of outfielders like Blackmon, Springer, Trout, Benintendi, and Judge.

 

 

Anthony Rendon – IF – Washington (DRAFT Projection: 9.3)

 

I feel very confident in Rendon today, as he has the type of secure power/contact combination we are looking for on DRAFT. Rendon has been categorized as a qualified hitter against left-handed pitching throughout his career, and he’ll face the vulnerable-likes of Giants’ southpaw Derek Holland, who carried a whopping .408 wOBA against right-handed bats last season. As a result, I’ll upgrade Rendon a full fantasy point (to 10.3 FP), which places him in the top ten of infielders.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Jose Urena – P – Miami (DRAFT Projection: 10.8)

 

I understand that Urena has a promising matchup against a San Diego offense that ranks bottom five in wOBA and wRC+ while also carrying one of the highest strikeout rates in the league. On top of that, he’s starting in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. However, Urena hasn’t shown anything this season to be worthy of DRAFT consideration – even in ten person leagues. Simply put, he has a low strikeout rate with blowup potential that is not worth the risk. DRAFT has him ranked as the seventh best pitcher on their board, but I’m easily removing him from consideration. There’s enough depth at pitcher (closer look in the rankings below) where you don’t have to take a chance on Urena.

 

 

David Peralta – OF – Arizona (DRAFT Projection: 10.2)

 

Peralta is hitting in Coors Field, and he has found plenty of success in this series. However, he’s facing a quality pitcher in Kyle Freeland today, locked into an undesirable lefty/lefty matchup. DRAFT correctly downgraded Jake Lamb to 9.0 fantasy points based on this fact, but Peralta remains overestimated as a top five infielder. I’m readjusting his projection closer to 9.4 fantasy points.

 

 

Curtis Granderson – OF – Toronto (DRAFT Projection: 10.1)

 

I really think you could do better than Curtis Granderson, who is listed as the eighth best outfielder on this slate. Tommy Pham, Marcell Ozuna, Christian Yelich, Michael Brantley, Gerardo Parra, Rhys Hoskins, and Eddie Rosario are all outfielders with a lower projection who I feel much more comfortable drafting ahead of Granderson. I’m giving Grandy a firm downgrade to 9.0 fantasy points.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. It’s unusual to have four pitchers listed in the top tier, but that signifies the depth of this slate. Sure, Scherzer and Kluber are probably in a category above that, but there are enough quality options behind them to justify the strategy of waiting on a pitcher. If you are in deeper leagues, I’m liking Porcello or Richard as deep picks in later rounds.

 

  1. Max Scherzer – Tier 1
  2. Corey Kluber – Tier 1
  3. Luis Severino – Tier 1
  4. James Paxton – Tier 1
  5. Ross Stripling – Tier 2
  6. Rick Porcello – Tier 2
  7. Sean Manaea – Tier 3
  8. Sean Newcomb – Tier 3
  9. Carlos Martinez – Tier 3
  10. Clayton Richard – Tier 3
  11. Dallas Keuchel – Tier 3
  12. Kyle Hendricks – Tier 3

 

 

Additional Notes.  Carlos Correa has an outstanding matchup today, giving him a 10.8 FP projection. However, there’s a reasonable chance he won’t play while dealing with a side injury. Keep that in mind … Keep an eye on the weather, as SF-WAS and PIT-CHC look particularly risky. Perhaps this will serve as a tiebreaker for Max Scherzer in the top pitching tier, as the precipitation chances add more risk to his profile.

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.