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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Tuesday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Charlie Blackmon with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

 

Editor's Note: Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Shane Bieber – P – Cleveland (DRAFT Projection: 9.9)

 

How about this kid? The 23 year-old righty has made a splash through his first four major league starts, holding a 2.22 ERA with 27 strikeouts through 24.1 innings. Now he’ll face a mediocre Kansas City offense in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. All signs point to another solid outing from the rookie, and I’m elevating him to fourth in the pitcher rankings – just behind the top tier of Kershaw and Greinke.

 

 

Trevor Story – IF – Colorado (DRAFT Projection: 10.0)

 

Colorado unsurprisingly checks in with the top run-scoring projection while facing San Francisco RHP Chris Stratton at home. The surprising part comes from Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story being ranked sixth and twelfth respectively among infielders. These guys are bona-fide top five picks of the position, and Arenado should probably top the charts. Either way, there’s some value to them (especially Story) being buried further down the player pool on DRAFT’s default rankings. Perhaps that makes for an angle to exploit.

 

 

Khris Davis – IF – Oakland (DRAFT Projection: 8.6)

 

We all know Khris Davis has fantastic power upside, especially against left-handed pitching. He’s facing San Diego LHP Clayton Richard tonight, and the Padres’ southpaw carries an exploitable .355 wOBA split against right-handed hitters. Davis’ projection should at least be a full fantasy point higher, and he makes for a very nice infield filler in deeper leagues, as his upside potential could make the difference between finishing in the cash or not. Needless to say, he’s one of my favorite values in deep drafts (8-10 people).

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Clayton Kershaw – P – LA Dodgers (DRAFT Projection: 13.4)

 

Don’t get me wrong, Kershaw is still an elite top tier pitcher in this slate. However, his 13.4 FP projection stands head and shoulders above any other probable starter, and that’s simply not the case. The Dodgers’ have been very cautious with Kershaw over his last two starts (totals of 8 IP, 10 K, 3 ER), and that could continue this evening. They probably don’t want him going more than five or six innings, which severely limits the fantasy upside. For that reason, I believe Zack Greinke should be ranked above or alongside Kershaw as the top pitching option. In other words, you don’t have to burn one of your top picks on the Dodgers’ ace.  

 

 

Anthony DeSclafani – P – Cincinnati (DRAFT Projection: 11.2)

 

I understand that DeSclafani has been pitching pretty well as of late, but ranking him fourth among hurlers in today’s slate seems a bit extreme. His opponent, the White Sox, have a mediocre offense, but there’s still plenty of “pop” to inflict some damage. That especially holds true when considering the hitter-friendly dimensions of Cincy’s Great American Ball Park. As you can see in the pitcher rankings later in this article, I downgraded DeSclafani to seventh among pitchers, making him a filler only in deep leagues if you find yourself behind the eight ball in later rounds.

 

 

Matt Carpenter – IF – St. Louis (DRAFT Projection: 9.6)

Tommy Pham – OF – St. Louis (DRAFT Projection: 9.0)

Marcell Ozuna – OF – St. Louis (DRAFT Projection: 8.5)

 

These projections are curious to say the least. DRAFT lists Arizona RHP Zack Greinke with a healthy 11.7 FP projection, yet the opposing Cardinal bats also have inflated expectations while facing him. Something has to give. I’m guessing it will be the St. Louis hitters. Greinke has been very sharp lately, and he’s one of the top pitching options on this slate. If you recall, DRAFT tends to boost hitters too much in Chase Field, so that’s likely the cause of these inflated hitting projections. Go ahead and knock each of these STL bats down a full fantasy point.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. The pitcher outlook was pretty thoroughly explained in the previous write-ups. You don’t have to go out of your way to snag Kershaw first overall when considering his current limitations … Things get somewhat hairy after the second tier, so prioritizing those top four pitchers in deeper leagues is something to think about. That’s where Shane Bieber comes in as a nice value in middle rounds. Otherwise, you could take a chance on DeSclafani, Richard, or Newcomb when looking for a filler at the end of deeper drafts.

 

  1. Zack Greinke – Tier 1
  2. Clayton Kershaw – Tier 1
  3. Zach Eflin – Tier 2
  4. Shane Bieber – Tier 2
  5. Dallas Keuchel – Tier 3
  6. Clayton Richard – Tier 3
  7. Anthony DeSclafani – Tier 3
  8. Zack Wheeler – Tier 4
  9. Danny Duffy – Tier 4
  10. Sean Newcomb – Tier 4
  11. Michael Fulmer – Tier 4 (afternoon)
  12. Trevor Richards – Tier 4
Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.