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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Tuesday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Chris Sale with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

Editor's Note: Fantasy Baseball season is here! Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Trea Turner – IF – Washington (DRAFT Projection: 9.3)

 

Turner seems to be finding his groove while amassing five hits, one homer, four RBI, and three runs over his past three games. Tonight’s matchup vs San Diego LHP Eric Lauer should be enough to keep him going. Lauer has made five MLB starts while allowing 33 hits and 19 earned runs through 21 innings. It’s a small sample size, but Lauer has gotten blasted by right-handed bats to the tune of a .472 wOBA split. Turner is a premium infielder tonight, and I’m willing to raise his projection closer to 10.0 fantasy points.

 

 

Jose Altuve – IF – Houston (DRAFT Projection: 8.8)

Carlos Correa – IF – Houston (DRAFT Projection: 9.0)

 

George Springer (9.9) has a fair overall projection, but Correa and Altuve are underrated on DRAFT. I’m raising both of them to 9.8 fantasy points, putting them near the top five of infielders. This Houston offense could score plenty of runs against San Francisco LHP Andrew Suarez in Minute Maid Park. Suarez has allowed nine earned runs through 10 innings over his past two games (at PIT & vs CIN), and tonight’s draw will be his toughest of the season. I’ll give a slight edge to Correa over Altuve (more power potential), but both of these Astros deserve a much higher projection.

 

 

Jeremy Hellickson – P – Washington (DRAFT Projection: 9.0)

 

I have Hellickson pushing to be a top five pitcher tonight. We can raise his projection level to 10.4 fantasy points, ultimately swapping his expectation with NYM hurler Zack Wheeler (more on him later). Hellickson has been solid this season, sporting a shiny 2.20 ERA with 26 strikeouts through 32.2 innings. He has a confident matchup vs San Diego tonight, an offense that ranks 29th in wOBA, 26th in wRC+, and third in strikeout rate. As a result, Hellickson and the Nationals check in with a strong -190 moneyline designation. The Washington pitcher actually faced San Diego several weeks ago (May 8), earning a win while striking out eight through 6.2 scoreless innings. A similar result seems likely tonight.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Kevin Gausman – P – Baltimore (DRAFT Projection: 12.1)

 

I don’t mind Kevin Gausman tonight, leaving him in the conversation for leagues with six or more people. However, DRAFT’s 12.1 fantasy point projection has him ranked as the third best pitcher of the night – trailing only Sale and Cole in that category. This matchup against the White Sox is pretty good, but I’m not sure we can trust Gausman enough to easily select him as a top five pitcher on this slate. I’d rather take Bauer, Weaver, Hellickson, or Richards before thinking about the Baltimore starter.

 

 

Zack Wheeler – P – NY Mets (DRAFT Projection: 10.4)

 

I mentioned earlier that we can effectively swap projections for Wheeler and Hellickson (who is listed a 9.0 fantasy points). Sure, Wheeler has a nice matchup vs Miami, but that’s only one part of the equation. The Mets’ righty has really struggled as of late, allowing 15 earned runs and 21 hits over 16 innings in his past three starts. Just because Wheeler has a promising matchup doesn’t automatically mean he’ll make better pitches. I’m staying away from him through all formats tonight.

 

 

Yoan Moncada – IF – Chicago White Sox (DRAFT Projection: 9.4)

 

This is somewhat puzzling, as the DRAFT projections love Baltimore RHP Kevin Gausman as well as a few hitters against him tonight. That includes Yoan Moncada (and Jose Abreu) with an overrated 9.4 FP expectation. Moncada isn’t necessarily a bad selection, but the infield runs deep with more confident choices tonight. Trea Turner, Carlos Correa, Jose Altuve, Anthony Rendon (another underrated player), JD Martinez, Cody Bellinger, Francisco Lindor, and Jose Ramirez all make for better picks with lower projection levels in my opinion.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. Obviously Chris Sale and Gerrit Cole are the premium lifts of this slate. I don’t mind taking either of them with my first overall pick. The hitter pool is deep enough on this loaded slate that you can find great values in the later rounds … If you don’t have a chance to snag Sale or Cole, waiting on a Tier 2 pitcher isn’t a bad move. As mentioned earlier, Hellickson is one of my favorite underrated targets.

 

  1. Chris Sale – Tier 1
  2. Gerrit Cole – Tier 1
  3. Trevor Bauer – Tier 2
  4. Luke Weaver – Tier 2
  5. Garrett Richards – Tier 2
  6. Jeremy Hellickson – Tier 2
  7. Kevin Gausman – Tier 2
  8. Jameson Taillon – Tier 3
  9. JA Happ – Tier 3
  10. Vince Velasquez – Tier 3

 

 

Deep outfield selections. If you are in a draft with six or more people, you’ll likely need to dig somewhat deeper to fill the outfield. The infield position is pretty stacked with value, but outfield is somewhat trickier. I like Nicholas Castellanos, Andrew Benintendi, and Odubel Herrera all make for solid targets with projections under 9.0 fantasy points.

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.