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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Wednesday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Josh Donaldson with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

This article will focus on the five-game evening slate starting at 7:07 ET.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

Editor's Note: Fantasy Baseball season is here! Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

 

Sean Manaea – P – Oakland (DRAFT Projection: 10.8 FP)

 

I really like Manaea to get the job done at home vs Texas tonight. Here’s why: 1) Texas is predominantly left-handed from a hitting perspective. Manaea should be able to shut down sluggers like Choo, Odor, Gallo, Mazara, etc – leaving him to worry about Beltre and Andrus. 2) Oakland has a spacious ballpark that really helps pitchers keep the ball in play (including foul territory). 3) Manaea looked sharp in his season debut while allowing just one earned run with seven strikeouts in 7.2 innings vs the Angels. He was handed a tough loss despite that performance, but I’m thinking he’ll be on the right side of the ledger tonight.

 

 

Khris Davis – IF – Oakland (DRAFT Projection: 9.3 FP)

 

Part of my enthusiasm for Manaea stems from the offenses ability to provide run support. That should be the case tonight against contact-oriented pitcher Doug Fister. Oakland checks in with the second highest run-scoring projection of the evening slate; however, their best hitters aren’t getting much love with these DRAFT rankings. Davis should lead the way for a well-aligned A’s offense.

 

 

Matt Olson – IF – Oakland (DRAFT Projection: 8.8 FP)

 

Matt Olson is even deeper down the list of infielders, and you could argue he has even more matchup potential than teammate Khris Davis. That comes from Texas RHP Doug Fister’s .356 wOBA susceptibility to left-handed bats. Olson is perfectly capable of taking advantage, carrying some alluring power on top of that.

 

 

Jose Martinez – OF – St. Louis (DRAFT Projection: 8.3 FP)

 

The outfield position is pretty tough in this evening slate, but that’s what makes it exciting in my opinion. Instead of taking your Mike Trout’s and Bryce Harper’s of the world, you really have to dig deeper – even in four person leagues. Jose Martinez could give your team a nice lift while enjoying the hitter-friendly environment of Miller Park. We caught site of his power upside on Opening Day, where he smacked two homers (one off Syndergaard) with three hits against the Mets. He’ll hold a premium lineup spot with a non-imposing draw against Jhoulys Chacin tonight. Things get pretty hairy in the outfield after Pham, Ozuna, Granderson, Yelich, and Fowler; while Martinez makes for a high-upsdie solution to that problem.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Jon Gray – P – Colorado (DRAFT Projection: 11.9 FP)

 

I like Jon Gray tonight, and he’s certainly worth drafting in three-person leagues for the evening slate. However, this current projection seems quite a bit lofty. In my opinion, he’s in the same category as Johnny Cueto and Sean Manaea (explained earlier). DRAFT’s projections make it seem as through Gray is in a tier by himself. I want one of these three pitchers on my team in the evening slate, but I’m not burning a high draft pick to prioritize Gray over the others.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Breaking down hitters. Here’s my hitter rankings for the evening slate:

 

  1. Josh Donaldson – IF
  2. Justin Smoak – IF
  3. Nolan Arenado – IF
  4. Tommy Pham – OF
  5. Marcell Ozuna – OF
  6. Dexter Fowler – OF
  7. Curtis Granderson – OF
  8. Christian Yelich – OF
  9. Khris Davis – IF
  10. Matt Olson – IF
  11. Jose Martinez – OF
  12. Matt Carpenter – IF
  13. Jose Abreu – IF
  14. Eric Thames – IF
  15. Randal Grichuk – OF
  16. Travis Shaw – IF
  17. Lorenzo Cain – OF

 

 

Where do the pitchers fit in? If you are in leagues of three people or less, I believe you can wait towards the later rounds to snag a pitcher (Cueto, Gray, or Manaea). In deeper leagues, I’ll start prioritizing pitchers somewhere around the Ozuna/Fowler level in those aforementioned rankings. As always, it depends on what others around you are doing, and you could make more of a point to snag one of those top-three pitchers earlier in larger leagues.

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.