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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Wednesday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Mike Trout with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

Editor's Note: Fantasy Baseball season is here! Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

JD Martinez – IF – Boston (DRAFT Projection: 8.4)

Mookie Betts – OF – Boston (DRAFT Projection: 8.9)

 

This isn’t a great matchup against Chris Archer in Tampa, but these two Boston superstars have been downgraded too far in my opinion. I’m willing to raise each of their projections at least one fantasy point based on pure talent alone. Archer isn’t exactly untouchable either, owning a 5.01 ERA with homerun tendencies. The door remains open for Martinez and Betts to maintain their respective hotstreaks.

 

 

David Price – P – Boston (DRAFT Projection: 11.3)

 

Price has bounced-back nicely in his past two starts, picking up two wins with 14 strikeouts and four earned runs allowed through 14.1 innings. He’ll see a decent park shift in Tampa to provide an added layer of security in this matchup. As you can see in the pitcher rankings below, I’m ranking Price third overall among pitchers tonight, the only hurler of the “tier 2” category behind Verlander and deGrom on top.

 

 

Jose Altuve – IF – Houston (DRAFT Projection: 8.4)

 

Altuve’s upside has been elusive this season, but he’s still a solid lift to round out your DRAFT lineups. He’s underrated on that platform tonight, as you’ll have to keep scrolling in the infielder tab to find his name. This comes despite Altuve warming up with two hits in each of the past three games. He’ll take on Jeff Samardzija today, who has really struggled by allowing 21 earned runs through 25 innings over his previous five starts. There’s a good chance Altuve and company will get to him in Minute Maid Park.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Kenta Maeda – P – LA Dodgers (DRAFT Projection: 12.8)

 

I’m not a huge believer in Kenta Maeda, and I’m downgrading him in my pitching queue tonight. Sure, he was great in his last start, but that came against a bottom-tier Miami offense. Consistency has plagued Maeda over the past few years, and I’m thinking we’ll see a “down” performance against divisional foe Colorado. Maeda has dominated the Marlins with 15 strikeouts through 14 innings with one earned run in two recent starts. In his five other recent performances, the Dodgers’ righty has coughed up 19 earned runs through 24 innings. In other words, those starts against Miami are masking his ERA to a respectable level, but that doesn’t necessarily tell the entire truth to Maeda’s overall performance this season.

 

 

Trey Mancini – OF – Baltimore (DRAFT Projection: 9.7)

 

I like Trey Mancini and the Orioles tonight, but this projection seems a little heavy. Baltimore checks in with one of the higher run-scoring projections of the night against White Sox RHP Dylan Covey. I’m not saying Mancini is a bad pick within that, but I’d rather take more confident outfielders instead. After all, Mancini is ranked fourth among that position. Give me Betts, Springer, Hoskins, Pham, Upton, or Polanco before looking to Mancini.

 

 

Brett Gardner – OF – NY Yankees (DRAFT Projection: 9.3)

 

This is a similar situation to the previous write-up of Trey Mancini. The Yankees’ offense is well-aligned with a top run-scoring projection against Doug Fister in Texas. Even though Brett Gardner has excellent lineup security while hitting leadoff, I’m not sold on his overall ability. He doesn’t offer much upside as a .229 hitter with virtually no power to offset that low average.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. I’m willing to take Justin Verlander or Jacob deGrom with my first overall pick tonight – in drafts of three or more people. From here, I believe David Price (noted above) is the next best option. Then we have an entire tier of good, but not great options. Michael Wacha is one of my favorites (using that word loosely) within that, but Jon Lester is another underrated commodity if you find yourself without a pitcher towards the end of larger sized drafts.

 

  1. Justin Verlander – Tier 1
  2. Jacob deGrom – Tier 1
  3. David Price – Tier 2
  4. Michael Wacha – Tier 3
  5. Jon Lester – Tier 3
  6. Kenta Maeda – Tier 3
  7. Chris Archer – Tier 3
  8. Kyle Gibson – Tier 3
  9. Jake Arrieta – Tier 3
  10. Tyler Skaggs – Tier 4

 

 

Max Scherzer is not starting tonight. DRAFT has Scherzer listed as the top overall pitcher with a 17.5 projection tonight. You’ll notice that he doesn’t have a “blue icon” next to his name, meaning he’s not a probable starting pitcher. Erick Fedde is expected to start for Washington this afternoon. Don’t be that person who wastes a high draft pick on an elite pitcher who isn’t even taking the bump. Casual drafters may fall into this mistake if they aren’t playing close attention. There’s a chance DRAFT will clear this mistake while reconfiguring their projections later in the day, but I wanted to point this out for early drafters.

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.