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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Wednesday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Charlie Blackmon with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

Editor's Note: Fantasy Baseball season is here! Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Jose Quintana – P – Chicago Cubs (DRAFT Projection: 10.8)

 

I really like the way Quintana has been pitching as of late, believing he should be promoted somewhere near (or in) the top tier of hurlers tonight. His win probability will take a hit while trying to duel with Aaron Nola, but there’s still plenty to like here. Quintana is starting to find his groove with quality starts in two of his past three outings, and he’s facing a Philadelphia team that ranks 22nd in wOBA and 23rd in wRC+ against left-handed pitching this season.

 

 

Jose Martinez – IF – St. Louis (DRAFT Projection: 9.1)

 

Martinez is my “sleeper special” to round out deeper leagues. Go ahead and add St. Louis outfielder Marcell Ozuna to that category as well. Both of these guys have the necessary power to take advantage of Miami LHP Wei-Yin Chen’s homerun susceptibilities to right-handed hitters. You can see where they fit into the grand scheme of things in the hitter ranking section. Be sure to keep these Cardinals in the back of your mind when hunting down high-upside prospects towards the end of deeper drafts.

 

 

Carlos Correa – IF – Houston (DRAFT Projection: 8.0)

Jose Altuve – IF – Houston (DRAFT Projection: 8.0)

George Springer – OF – Houston (DRAFT Projection: 9.0)

 

You could probably swap this group of Houston bats for the overrated Oakland cluster listed below. All of these Astros have inspiring numbers against left-handed pitching, and they are facing Seattle’s mediocre southpaw Wade LeBlanc. As you can see in the hitter ranking notes later in this article, this Houston trio gets elevated into the top 15 of overall hitters.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Zack Wheeler – P – NY Mets (DRAFT Projection: 12.6)

 

When opening the pre-draft rankings, I was greeted by Zack Wheeler’s face atop the pitching category. No thank you. Wheeler has been somewhat better as of late, but this projection is drastically inflated. In fact, I’m not even ranking Wheeler as a top ten pitcher in this slate. You can see the full pitcher rankings in the section below, where I’m preferring guys like Foltynewicz, Rodriguez, and Flaherty in deeper leagues before resorting to Wheeler and his 5.14 ERA.

 

 

Jon Gray – P – Colorado (DRAFT Projection: 11.5)

 

Gray has been labelled as one of the better Colorado pitchers over the past few seasons, but he’s really struggling out of the gate this time around. He holds a 5.68 ERA that isn’t only inflated by pitching in Coors Field, allowing 11 earned runs through 16.1 innings on the road this year. Cincinnati has enough quality hitters to inflict some damage against him, especially considering the hitter-friendly dimensions of Great American Ball Park. Gray coughed up four earned runs through six innings against the Reds a few weeks ago, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we see another mediocre performance. Long story made short: I’m not buying into Gray until we see a clear turnaround. There’s better pitching options available tonight.

 

 

Matt Joyce – OF – Oakland (DRAFT Projection: 10.6)

Marcus Semien – IF – Oakland (DRAFT Projection: 10.0)

Jed Lowrie – IF – Oakland (DRAFT Projection: 10.1)

 

I touched on a cluster of overrated A’s yesterday, and it appears the same holds true for this slate. Oakland represents one of the highest projected scoring teams of the day, but I believe the park boost in Texas is too great in these projections. Khris Davis and Matt Olson still belong in the top ten of all hitters, but guys like Joyce, Lowrie, and Semien are less able to take advantage of the situation. I’m pushing all of them outside my top 30 hitters.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. It is worth noting that Lance McCullers, Jose Quintana (mentioned above), and Jack Flaherty all received upgrades from the original pre-draft rankings. If you miss out on a top tier pitcher while prioritizing the bats, Michael Foltynewicz and Quintana are my favorite fallback options with similar upside.

 

  1. Shohei Ohtani – Tier 1
  2. Carlos Carrasco – Tier 1
  3. Lance McCullers – Tier 1
  4. Aaron Nola – Tier 1
  5. Jose Quintana – Tier 1
  6. Michael Foltynewicz – Tier 2
  7. Eduardo Rodriguez – Tier 2
  8. Jack Flaherty – Tier 3
  9. Daniel Mengden – Tier 3
  10. Chris Stratton – Tier 3
  11. Zack Wheeler – Tier 3
  12. Jake Odorizzi – Tier 3

 

 

Hitter rankings. I already touched on upgrading the Astros and Cardinals while downgrading a trio of Oakland hitters (who fall outside of these rankings actually). Other notes include upgrades for Stanton, Rosario, and Upton while minor downgrades for Sano, Gardner, and Pederson.

 

  1. J.D. Martinez – IF 1
  2. Charlie Blackmon – OF 1
  3. Aaron Judge – OF 2
  4. Mike Trout – OF 3
  5. Giancarlo Stanton – IF 2
  6. Brian Dozier – IF 3
  7. Khris Davis – IF 4
  8. George Springer – OF 4
  9. Tommy Pham – OF 5
  10. Matt Olson – IF 5
  11. Nolan Arenado – IF 6
  12. George Springer – OF 6
  13. Carlos Correa – IF 7
  14. Jose Altuve – IF 8
  15. Eddie Rosario – OF 7
  16. Justin Upton – OF 8
  17. Marcell Ozuna – OF 9
  18. Miguel Sano – IF 9
  19. Francisco Lindor - IF 10
  20. Bryce Harper – OF 10
  21. Joey Gallo – OF 11
  22. Jose Martinez – IF 11
  23. Freddie Freeman – IF 12
  24. Brett Gardner – OF 12
  25. Trea Turner – IF 13
Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.