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DRAFT NBA Strategy: Wednesday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

This new column covers daily rankings and strategy for Draft.com's DFS games. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. The scoring system is identical to FanDuel, and anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take LeBron James with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

Below, I will highlight several players who are projected too high/low on DRAFT’s default rankings. This should provide insight to potential values and avoidable land mines for your squad. We will then parse through some game theory and overall strategy for tonight’s DRAFT slate.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

 

Editor’s Note: Compete in a live snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Hassan Whiteside – C – Miami (DRAFT Projection: 32.7 FP)

 

This isn’t a bad median projection for Whiteside, but let it be known that he has upside way beyond this. He’s a tier below fellow centers Andre Drummond and Nikola Vucevic, while I’m not sure if that’s entirely the case tonight. Whiteside will play against a beat-up Atlanta frontcourt, the same one he demolished for 40 FP in 28 minutes last night. A repeat performance is not out of the question.

 

 

Robert Covington – F – Philadelphia (DRAFT Projection: 29.5 FP)

 

Covington has been repeatedly beating this projection, and he has more staying power with Joel Embiid (and Saric) still out of the lineup. On top of that, this Philadelphia-Detroit matchup is the highest-scoring game of the night, and it’s one of the few that looks competitive. That certainly benefits Philly’s starters like Covington, and I’m upgrading him beyond this projection. In my opinion, he should be placed alongside Aaron Gordon with a 34 FP expectation.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

 

J.J. Barea – G – Dallas (DRAFT Projection: 37.0 FP)

 

I like J.J. Barea tonight. He should be solid while stepping up for an injury-plagued Dallas lineup. However, I don’t like him to the tune of a 37 FP projection. Somewhere around 30 FP is a more realistic baseline for him, considering he’s about a FP/minute scorer who should see 28-32 minutes. He’s a fine pick for your DRAFT lineups, but I’m not prioritizing him above guys like Randle, DeRozan, Lowry, Gordon, Whiteside, and Covington.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Chalk at the top. The top six projected players on DRAFT are pretty spot-on in terms of ranking and expectation. I’d follow that according to script when prioritizing players. Things get a little murkier in the following tiers.

 

 

Andre Drummond questionable. Drafting Andre Drummond depends on who else is available and your league size. You’d hate to waste a top pick on him, then swapping for someone like Greg Monroe in deeper leagues. If you are in a H2H draft, I believe you can take Drummond with the expectation of him playing, looking to Hassan Whiteside as a fine backup plan if you need to swap.

 

 

Don’t sleep on DJ Augustin. His 27.8 FP projection is pretty reliable at this point. He’s seeing quality minutes for the Magic, hitting 33+ fantasy points in three of his past five games (one was curbed by a blowout). In reality, Augustin and the aforementioned J.J. Barea are pretty close from a raw projection standpoint. You’ll likely catch DJ much later in the draft too.

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.