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Duel MLB Plays: Saturday

by Andy “A25Smith” Smith
Updated On: December 3, 2018, 6:02 pm ET

I’ll be bringing you my top DFS MLB plays every Saturday. We have a monster slate today that is split between a six-game early slate, and an eight-game late slate. I’ll give you some FanDuel options for both slates, with the early slate being denoted by an (E) and late slate with an (L).


Pitchers

 

Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals, $9,600 (E) - The Marlins are missing one of their better hits in Christian Yelich, and have struck out the second-most times in MLB against right-handed pitching. Strikeouts is the name of the game in MLB DFS and this a great matchup for a high k/9 guy in Strasburg against a team that swings and misses a lot. He’ll also be pitching in Miami, which is more favorable to pitchers than hitters.

 

Adam Wainwright, St. Louis Cardinals, $9,600 (L) - If there is an above-average right-handed pitcher facing the Brewers right now, that is a matchup you want to attack. Wainwright is more than above average; he’s one of the better right-handed pitchers around. The Brewers are missing several key bats and feature a right-heavy lineup, which is a problem facing Wainwright, who has allowed only a .275 wOBA to righty bats for his career. To make matters worse (for the Brewers), they strike out out the fourth-most in MLB against right-handed pitchers, and Wacha is a big -159 favorite. That combination makes Wainwright the #1 pitcher on my board for the late slate.

 

Catcher

 

Salvador Perez, Kansas City Royals, $3,000 (E) - The Royals draw a favorable matchup with John Danks and are also getting a favorable park shift heading to Chicago. Danks is a guy who gets outs equally well from both lefties and righties but is allowing a .459 wOBA to left-handers so far in 2015. Perez on the other hand has always hit lefties very well – he holds a career .307 batting average and .191 ISO against them.

 

Buster Posey, San Francisco Giants, $4,000 (L) - Buster Posey against a lefty in Coors Field? That’s an auto-play if there ever was one. Grabbing some exposure to Coors Field is always a good idea and Posey is the top bat on the board. The Giants and Rockies are predicted to be the two highest scoring teams on the day, and Posey is a guy who has crushed left-handed pitching throughout his career. 

 

Also Consider - Victor Martinez (E), Jason Castro (E), Yasmani Grandal (L)

 

First Base

 


Anthony Rizzo, Chicago Cubs, $4,000 (E) - Rizzo is scorching hot with multi-hit games in four of his last five games. The Cubs draw a tough team matchup with Anthony DeSclafani, who is a very good young pitcher. However, Rizzo draws a solid individual matchup as Desclafani really struggled against lefties in 2014. According to the RotoGrinders daily batter hub, Rizzo checks in as the top first baseman of the day with a MUwOBA of .390.

 

Chris Davis, Baltimore Orioles, $3,100 (L) – Davis is more of a GPP play than a cash game play as he can always give that 0-fer with a bunch of strikeouts like he did on Thursday. However, he has big power and is very cheap at $3,100. Justin Masterson is a guy who has struggled to get lefties out his entire career - he allowed a monstrous .400 wOBA to lefty bats last year and is allowing a .342 wOBA so far in 2015.

 

Also Consider - Miguel Cabrera (E), Brandon Moss (E), Matt Adams (L)

 

Second Base                     

 

Jason Kipnis, Cleveland Indians, $2,800 (E) - I don’t mind Jose Altuve here either, but you can save 1K by dropping down to Kipnis. The Indians offense finally busted out last night with 13 runs against a very good pitcher in Shane Greene and they’ll look to keep it going against Alfredo Simon. He’s strung together hits, but hasn’t shown much power.

 

Neil Walker, Pittsburgh Pirates, $2,800 (L) - Vegas likes the Pirates to put up some runs tonight since they are in a favorable hitting environment against Rubby de la Rosa. Rubby has allowed a .360 wOBA to left-handed bats for his career and Walker is a switch-hitter who has always hit lefties better than righties. Walker is riding a seven-game hit streak and is coming off a two-RBI game with two hits – he should make that streak eight tonight.

 

Also Consider - Jose Altuve (E), Dustin Pedroia (L), Robinson Cano (L)

 

Shortstop

 

Jed Lowrie, Houston Astros, $2,900 (E) - The shortstop position is pretty weak in the early slate, so saving some money with Lowrie is a solid way to go. Lowrie has multi-hit games in two of his last three games and is facing a young pitcher who is struggling to adjust to the major leagues. Graveman has really struggled against lefty bats in particular, allowing a .506 wOBA so far in 2015.

 

Matt Duffy, San Francisco Giants, $2,200 (L) - You’ll have to double-check that he’s in the lineup, but Duffy is a minimum price option at a tough position to fill that is in Coors Field. He can move around the order, but he’s hit second in the lineup at times against left-handers, and if that is the case today then he is a great way to open your salary cap and provide cheap exposure to the projected top scoring game of the slate. If you’re looking to spend here, or if Duffy isn’t in the lineup, the SS opposite Duffy is pretty good at baseball and is obviously a terrific option.

 

Also Consider - Troy Tulowitzki (L), Erick Aybar (L)

 


Third Base

 

Luis Valbuena, Houston Astros, $3,100 (E) - The day slate is light on hitting options compared to the night slate and third base in the early slate is no different. Valbuena looks to combine the best matchup with favorable price tag. He’s facing the struggling rookie Kendall Graveman, who as noted struggles to get lefties out. Valbuena will be hitting in the middle of the Astros order and has shown solid power of late, with three home runs in his last seven games.

 

Matt Carpenter, St. Louis Cardinals, $4,100 (L) - There are several solid option at 3B in the night slate, but Carpenter is my favorite. Wily Peralta has struggled against the Cardinals his entire career and his struggled continued in his first outing against them this year, as he allowed four ER in five innings pitched. Carpenter put together a solid outing in that game, no surprise since Peralta really struggles against left-handers, allowing a .346 career wOBA.

 

Also Consider - Casey McGehee (L), Adrian Beltre (L), Kyle Seager (L), Nolan Arenado (L)

 

 

Outfielders

 

Michael Cuddyer, New York Mets, $3,000 (E) - Cuddyer checks in with the top matchup of the day according to RotoGrinders’ daily batter hub, with a huge MUwOBA of .459. Sabathia has been better this year but he still allowed a .401 wOBA to right handers last year, and Cuddyer is a guy who has thrived on terrorizing left-handers his entire career.

 

Kole Calhoun, Los Angeles Angels, $3,400 (L) - This is a great price for Calhoun in a really good matchup with Colby Lewis. Lewis has been a little better this year, but he’s still struggling mightily against lefty bats, allowing a wOBA of .377, and in 2014 he allowed a huge .373 wOBA to lefties. Calhoun has homered in two of his last four games and has a great matchup to make that three out of his last five tonight.

 

Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angles, $5,100 (L) - If you can swing it, pairing up Calhoun with Trout is a terrific way to go tonight. Trout can hit righties and lefties alike and Lewis allowed a .355 wOBA to right handers last year. Colby Lewis also allowed the 18th-most stolen bases in 2014, so you could see Trout active on the basepaths tonight.

 

Also Consider - Colby Rasmus (E), Michael Brantley (E), J.D. Martinez (E), Corey Dickerson (L), Charlie Blackmon (L), Jason Heyward, (L), Alejandro De Aza/Travis Snider (L)

Andy “A25Smith” Smith
Andy has been playing fantasy sports for 15 years started playing Daily Fantasy Sports in 2012 with a $150 bankroll and is now ranked in the top 50 of the RotoGrinders leaderboard, including the top 15 in CFB and top 25 in NBA, under the name A25Smith. You can follow him on Twitter @SouthwesternAg.