Good morning, afternoon, evening, etc, Rotoworlders. It's been a long week in the FanDuel mines trying to unearth some nuggets of NFL greatness and below is what I have to show for all my toil. Take a look-see and tell me what you think unless it might make me cry.
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QB Drew Brees $9,100 MIN@NO
Mr. Brees loves playing indoors. For his 188 game career he has averaged 1.65 touchdowns, 251 yards passing, a 63.7% completion percentage and 89.6 QBR outdoors. That’s fine, but as soon as he steps into the recycled air of a dome, he averages 2.3 touchdowns, 302.8 yards, 68.4 completion percentage and a 101.4 QBR. And after two losses on the road the Saints are desperate for a decisive win. Brees should be in top form for this one.
RB DeMarco Murray $8,700 DAL@STL
Murray has been the best fantasy running back in the league so far with 51 rushing attempts for 285 yards and two touchdowns. The talk of Dallas running the ball more was the truth and against a Rams team that will also want to run the ball, this game should be close and Murray will see plenty of work and in the past Murray has had the Rams’ number. Last season he put 203 total yards and a touchdown on them.
RB Zac Stacy $7,500 DAL@STL
On the other side of the ball we will also see a lot of the running back, Stacy. Stacy isn’t as dynamic as Murray, but is a workhorse. The Cowboys run defense is not good and they just lost Rolando McClain for this game, who had been one of the few bright spots for them. The Cowboys have been trying to hide their defense with their run game, but the Rams are trying to hide their quarterback, so they’ll be happy to exploit Dallas’ run D in this one.
WR Michael Crabtree $6,500 SFG@ARI
Crabtree was hurt Week 1 against Dallas and wasn’t needed after his team got up big quickly. Last week he was back to his normal self and put up a good game on the Bears. Crabtree is Colin Kaepernick’s favorite target and Vernon Davis isn’t 100%, if he plays at all. I could see a lot of targets for Crabtree in this one as the Cardinals run defense has been strong this season. I would worry more about Patrick Peterson, but Crabtree has owned him when healthy. In two games in 2012 he caught 13 passes for 244 yards and four touchdowns against the Cardinals.
WR Marques Colston $5,600 MIN@NO
Colston saw zero targets last week. That’s a little scary, but he wasn’t hurt and he saw plenty of time on the field, but the Browns focused on stopping the passing game, so I’m not going to worry much about his role in this offense. After Jimmy Graham he is still the most targeted receiver. His price dropped due to his zilch last week, which means he is priced just right and in a great bounce back spot in the dome.
WR Julian Edelman $6,900 OAK@NE
Edelman is Tom Brady’s favorite target this season and should be a safe play this week. I’m paying for the safety here instead of upside. The Patriots should trounce the Raiders and Brady might not need to throw a ton, but Edelman is a big part of even their conservative, run oriented offense.
TE Zach Ertz $5,800 WAS@PHI
Ertz is a great player and so far this season he continues to make big plays every chance he gets. His chances will continue to increase and I think this is the game where we see him unleashed. Washington’s safeties are in flux and not good and Ertz is a Gronk-like talent, who can beat safeties, let alone linebackers.
K Nate Freese $4,500 GB@DET
Yeah, he’s sucked so far, but they have enough faith in him so I will too. Predicting what a kicker will do each week is a depressing and usually fruitless endeavor, so I’m going with the dome kicker in a high scoring game.
D New England Patriots $5,400 OAK@NE
I usually don’t pay this much for a defense, but I think we’ll see the rookie befuddled by the Belichick.