Mike Foltynewicz hasn’t been a bad pitcher this season, but he has had trouble with left-handed batters and the San Francisco Giants are teeming with lefties. And many of those lefties are cheap enough to fill this bargain bin to the rim. As a team the Giants are hitting a .327 wOBA against righties, which ranks third in the league. They also rank 5th best in strikeout percentage at 17.5%.
Foltynewicz has a high strikeout rate of nine Ks per nine innings, but when you break that down to lefties vs righties he’s striking out righties at 11.25 per nine and lefties at just 6.82 per nine. You can see the discrepancy even more when you look at wOBA allowed as he’s giving up a measly .240 to righties, but a fat .415 to lefties. The Giants have five regular starters who hit left-handed and Hunter Pence has nice reverse splits for a righty. The park isn’t ideal for an offensive explosion, but they should be able to get balls in play and right now the Braves bullpen ranks 23rd in WHIP, 5th in home runs allowed and 28th in ERA.
DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
Adrian Beltre – 3B – TEX (FanDuel Price: $3,000) The game with the highest over/under of the day takes place in Texas as the Red Sox visit the Rangers. The ball should travel well in this one and Beltre has never had trouble hitting right-handed pitching with a .356 wOBA against righties over the last three seasons. He'll be in the heart of the order for a good offensive showing by some strong lefties like Choo and Fielder.
Trevor Plouffe – 3B – MIN (FanDuel Price: $2,900) Plouffe has four multi-hit games in his last eight ,including two home runs, and for his career has a lofty .361 wOBA against left-handed pitching. He’ll face lefty Mark Buehrle tonight who has settled down from his disastrous start to the season, but has still given up three homers in his last two games and has only struck out 27 batters in 54 innings. The Twins have been hitting well of late and should be able to get to him.
Hunter Pence – OF – SFG (FanDuel Price: $3,100) As long as Pence is in the bargain bin price range he will most likely be in my write-ups. He has the power for extra base hits and the speed for stolen bases and continues to hit right-handed pitching well so far this season with a .395 wOBA.
Josh Hamilton – OF – TEX (FanDuel Price: $2,500) In Hamilton’s last two games he’s three for eight with a double. So we know he can hit major league pitchers still and his price doesn’t reflect his ability, especially in a game that could be very high scoring. I have a feeling he’ll be in all my lineups tonight.
Angel Pagan – OF – SFG (FanDuel Price: $2,500) Pagan is four for his last eight at bats and is hitting .315 on the year. I like the chances for the Giants to put up some runs on the Braves and Pagan’s price makes him a nice part of a safe stack tonight.
Adam Lind – 1B – MIL (FanDuel Price: $2,400) Lind has not been hitting well of late, but continues to be a thorn in most right-handed pitchers’ sides. All seven of his home runs have come off righties and he has a .399 wOBA against them over the last three seasons. Tonight he faces Rubby De La Rosa who has given up a .366 wOBA to righties so far in his career.
Adam Jones – OF – BAL (FanDuel Price: $3,000) Jones is always worth a play at this price, but against Nate Karns his upside is even higher than usual. Karns has given up five homers to righties in just 50 at bats and Jones has a .204 ISO at home. I like both Jones and Chris Davis to have a great shot at homers tonight.
Kevin Kiermaier – OF – TAM (FanDuel Price: $2,200) Kiermaier has had an up and down season, but his career stats point to him being able to get more consistency against right-handed pitching like the Orioles Miguel Gonzalez. Gonzalez has given up nine earned runs and three home runs in his last 10 innings and lefties get a huge boost in Baltimore.
Marlon Byrd – OF – CIN -- (FanDuel Price: $3,100) We know that Stephen Strasburg could strike out God, but then give up a homer to Juan Pierre the next at bat, so I’m always going to be somewhat hesitant about targeting him, but he truly has been bad this season and now he is pitching in the band box called Great American Ballpark. He’s allowed four home runs over his last 12 innings pitched and is sporting a fat 6.50 era on the season, which goes even higher on the road. Byrd is a streaky hitter and has two homers in his last four games and is six for 19 against Strasburg in his career, including a home run.