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FanDuel Bargain Bin: Monday

by Brad Johnson
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Today’s contests are broken into early and late formats. There are six afternoon games with the first starting at 1:10. The late contest has eight games beginning with the normal 7:05 start. However, Atlanta and Arlington are expected to be washed out by thunderstorms. Monitor accordingly.

 

If you’re looking for a stack situation, give the Royals and Twins a look. Target Field is not known as a hitter friendly park, but the wind is currently blowing out at 20 mph. We’ll see a couple of fly ball pitchers in Danny Duffy and Trevor May. Duffy is the better pitcher of the two. However, a few Twins like Brian Dozier and Trevor Plouffe are usually good plays against southpaws.

 

DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH


Brian Dozier – 2B – MIN: (FanDuel Price: $3,300) Early


Dozier is the most expensive player we’ll discuss today. He’s a career .282/.347/.501 hitter against southpaws, and he’ll face Duffy. The Royals’ hurler also has big platoon splits with a .254/.341/.421 line allowed to right-handed hitters. Target Field plays almost neutral to right-handed power, and the weather should be cooperative.

 

Kendrys Morales – 1B – KAN: (FanDuel Price: $3,000) Early


After a lousy 2014, Morales has looked like his old self this season. That’s based not just on his .400/.483/.640 line to date but also a similarly solid spring. In any event, he has a prominent place in the Royals lineup, decent power, and he’ll face an erratic pitcher.

 

Alex Rodriguez – 3B – NYY: (FanDuel Price: $3,000)

 

Our old friend ARod appears to be hitting well. He’s squaring up the baseball and avoiding ground balls, which is what DFS owners want to hear. His power seems to be consistent with past seasons, so every fly ball should be viewed as an opportunity. He’ll see Orioles’ lefty Wei-Yin Chen. Over his career, Mr. Chen has allowed a .263/.314/.442 line to right-handed hitters.

 

Also Consider: Pablo Sandoval – 3B – BOS EarlyChase Headley – 3B – NYY … Travis Snider – OF – BAL

 

VIABLE PUNTS


Kennys Vargas – 1B – MIN: (FanDuel Price: $2,500) Early


If you’d rather not jump on the Morales bandwagon, Vargas offers a similar profile with a few extra strikeouts. As with Dozier, Vargas should benefit from Duffy’s platoon splits. There is one notable downside to targeting hitters against the Royals – they’ll eventually face their elite bullpen. For what it’s worth, Vargas is a switch-hitter, so he’ll retain the advantage against whoever appears in relief.

 

Stephen Vogt – C – OAK: (FanDuel Price: $2,600)

 

Vogt has one of the better evening matchups against Scott Feldman. He’s easy to overlook due to an unimpressive profile. However, he’s a high contact hitter with some pop. Tonight’s game is at Minute Maid Park which boosts left-handed home runs by 12 percent. With Vogt, you’re hoping for a multi-hit game with the potential for a home run.

 

Dalton Pompey – OF – TOR: (FanDuel Price: $2,900)

 

A dynamic athlete, Pompey has the ability to be a general nuisance to his opponents. The switch-hitter will face fly ball pitcher Jake Odorizzi. The Rogers Centre is home run friendly, which should work in the Blue Jays favor. Pompey generally bats second for the Jays, so he’ll have an opportunity to contribute big numbers.

 

Also Consider: Travis d’Arnaud – C – NYM EarlyJhonny Peralta – SS – STL EarlyJed Lowrie – SS – OAK

 

TOURNAMENT GAMBLES


Mike Moustakas – 3B – KAN: (FanDuel Price: $2,900) Early


And we’re back to this Kansas-Minnesota game. Moustakas has been penciled in as the two-hole against several right-handed pitchers. While I don’t buy into him as a breakout candidate, it’s hard to argue with his early results. He’s hitting .333/.481/.667. His problem has always been infield flies. Sure enough, they account for 33 percent of his balls in play. Expect a low BABIP hitter with power.

 

Ike Davis – 1B – OAK: (FanDuel Price: $2,800)

 

Davis has a good matchup against Feldman at a homer friendly park. He’s yet to go yard, but he has mashed three doubles. So long as he’s hidden from left-handed pitchers, he’s a great power threat. He’s a career .254/.358/.455 hitter against righties. Just watch out for that late game LOOGY.

 

Marlon Byrd – OF – CIN: (FanDuel Price: $2,500)

 

Byrd’s matchup against Jon Lester isn’t particularly desirable. However, Byrd is a high upside hitter for such a cheap price tag. Lester’s been off with his command all spring. He’s a modestly exploitable target for the moment. Byrd doesn’t have big platoon splits, but he does show more power against lefties. Wrigley Field is usually very pitcher friendly this early in the season.

 

Also Consider: Wilmer Flores – SS – NYM EarlyCurtis Granderson – OF – NYM EarlyJustin Smoak – 1B – TOR 

Brad Johnson

You can read more from Brad Johnson on Rotoworld, FanGraphs, and RotoFanatic. Find him on Patreon and Twitter @BaseballATeam.