Colorado will head back to the notorious hitter-friendly atmosphere of Coors Field, this time taking on the Texas Rangers. Daily fantasy enthusiasts can expect plenty runs in this one, as subpar pitchers will take the hill for both sides. After all, the over/under is set at a whopping 11 total runs!
Nick Martinez of Texas has been struggling mightily over the past month, enough to earn a demotion to Triple-A in early July. He makes his return to the rotation as injury relief desperation, and playing in Colorado isn’t exactly the best setting to regain confidence. Martinez is generous to both sides of the plate, allowing a .351 wOBA vs righties and .337 vs lefties; act accordingly.
Majority of the players from this game are priced beyond bargain consideration, which is why I’m outlining them in the introduction. You’ll need some cheap fillers while trying to gain exposure to these Rangers-Rockies, and you can find some below.
DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
Todd Frazier – 3B – CIN (FanDuel Price: $3,500)
I fully understand that Beltre may be the best overall third baseman at $3900, but it’s extremely difficult to pass over Frazier for this price. He has an excellent righty/lefty matchup against Clayton Richard, who holds a .441 wOBA split vs right-handed bats over 44 innings. Throw in Great American Ball Park’s hitter-friendly environment, and Frazier (plus most of the Cincy righties) emerge.
Robinson Cano – 2B – SEA (FanDuel Price: $3,300)
Detroit pitcher Alfredo Simon has been on a downward spiral with 28 earned runs over his past five outings (23 innings). The struggle could easily continue against a Seattle club chock-full of viable left-handed bats. Cano leads the way, coming off an incredible series against the Yankees. Simon allows a .345 wOBA clip (1.36 HR/9) against left-handed hitters, so keep an eye on most of the Mariner lefties (Seager, Miller, Cano, Morrison, S.Smith).
Marlon Byrd – OF – CIN (FanDuel Price: $2,700)
Byrd earns consideration for the same reason outlined above with Todd Frazier. The recent game log has been spotty, but Byrd has tremendous upside to cash in on this juicy matchup. The generous split of Cubs’ southpaw Clayton Richard cross-references well with Byrd’s impressive .368 wOBA, .228 ISO against left-handed tossers.
Also Consider: Kyle Seager – 3B - SEA
Ben Paulsen – 1B – COL (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
Every Colorado player noticed a price increase due to the park shift of Coors Field. That is, except for Ben Paulsen, who seems to be immune to the artificial salary hike. That leaves him within consideration, especially while trying to fit in some of the more expensive hitters from this game. As noted earlier, Martinez is generous to those of both handedness, and Paulsen has the power necessary to fully realize the “Coors Effect”.
Kyle Schwarber – C – CHC (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
Scwarber didn’t start the past two games, but recent reports suggest he’ll get the nod for this series against Cincinnati. It just so happens that this is a nice fantasy situation as well, getting a decent matchup against Michael Lorenzen (.431 wOBA vs LHB, 24 IP) in a hitter-friendly park. Over his brief MLB tenure, Lorenzen has allowed an inflated 2.19 HR/9 rate, something Schwarber could cash in on.
Rajai Davis – OF – DET (FanDuel Price: $2,500)
Detroit will face left-hander J.A. Happ tonight, which means Davis could enjoy leadoff responsibilities. That’s enough to consider him for some salary cap relief, as he’s a multi-hit/stolen base candidate when he sees the at-bats. Rajai’s salary is artificially deflated due to stepping in against a stretch of right-handed pitchers. Now is the time to pounce, assuming he is batting 1st.
Also Consider: Brandon Phillips – 2B - CIN
Robinson Chirinos – C – TEX (FanDuel Price: $3,000)
Chirinos often hits down in the order, but that shouldn’t scare you away. This Texas lineup should have no trouble going top to bottom against Chris Rusin, and Chirinos is one of the few power-hitting righties on the club (aside from Beltre). He owns a .321 wOBA with an impressive .215 ISO (vs LHP over 3 years) that suggests power-upside that could be accentuated by Coors Field.
Logan Morrison – 1B – SEA (FanDuel Price: $2,300)
Morrison hasn’t done much lately, but that means we’ll get him at a discount in this tempting matchup against Alfredo Simon. As mentioned earlier, Simon has been struggling, and his susceptibility comes against left-handed (power) bats. Morrison is a risk/reward play hitting down in the lineup, but the upside is certainly present.
Ryan Rua – OF – TEX (FanDuel Price: $2,300)
You’ll want to check the lineup to see where Rua hits tonight. He’s a platoon specialist who usually sees at-bats against left-handed pitching (like tonight), sometimes even hitting up in the order (which would boost his prospects dramatically). Rua is a boom/bust proposition, as he has hit three homers in the past 10 games, not doing much of anything aside from that.
Also Consider: Joc Pederson – OF – LAD