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FanDuel Bargain Bin - Monday

by Ryan Knaus
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

We have an unusual nine-game slate to consider this Monday, offering copious value picks below the $6,000 threshold on FanDuel. There is a looming blowout with the Spurs visiting the 76ers, a chance for Miami to improve to 13-6 vs. the Wizards, and another farewell moment for Kobe as he visits Toronto for the last time as a player.

 

Here's a quick injury report, not including players with long-term injuries (click here for Rotoworld's constantly-updated injury report):

 

PROBABLE: Carmelo Anthony (knee),

QUESTIONABLE: John Wall (bruised knee), Avery Bradley (illness), J.J. Redick (ankle), Dwight Powell (knee), Kobe Bryant (rest), Jeryd Bayless (ankle), Tyler Ennis (shoulder), Isaiah Canaan (ankle), Kris Humphries (ankle)

DOUBTFUL: Kemba Walker (illness), Devin Harris (ribs), J.J. Barea (ankle), Luol Deng (hamstring), Greivis Vasquez (ankle), Tyson Chandler (hamstring), Marcin Gortat (personal)

OUT: Chris Paul (ribs), David Lee (heel), Drew Gooden (calf), Nene (left calf strain)

 

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$6,000-$5,001

Goran Dragic is quietly getting on track over the past two games, averaging a decent 15.5 points, 2.5 rebounds, 7.5 assists and 1.0 steals. The Heat vs. Wizards game has the second-lowest over/under of the night (194) but Dragic could have a nice game if he's up against Ramon Sessions instead of John Wall (knee). Dragic's case is strengthened by the fact that there aren't too many viable PGs below the $6,000 mark.

 

Jae Crowder ($5,200) doesn't have the highest ceiling, but his floor is well established -- he's notched at least 21.7 FanDuel points in six straight games. His minutes are consistently north of 30 per game and he'll have an even bigger offensive role if Avery Bradley (illness) can't suit up tonight, adding situational upside to Crowder's already-solid value.

 

After a very quiet six-game stretch, Otto Porter ($5,100) has improved over the past two games for the decimated Wizards. He logged 36 minutes in each of those games and even played some minutes as a makeshift center with Marcin Gortat, Nene, Kris Humphries and Drew Gooden all unavailable. Humphries is the only one of those guys who might return tonight, but now John Wall (knee) is questionable. It seems inevitable that Porter will log huge minutes and see an above-average usage rate, which mitigates an otherwise tough matchup vs. Miami.

 

 

$5,000-$4,001

 

Ed Davis ($4,900) continues to out-perform his price on a nightly basis. He's averaging 27.9 FanDuel points in the Blazers' past four games, averaging a double-double during that span, and there's nothing particularly scary about a matchup with Milwaukee. Beyond Davis and Jon Leuer, you'll be hard-pressed to find a better cost-to-value ratio for a PF2 tonight.

 

I'm not whole-heartedly recommending Wesley Matthews ($4,800), but he demands to be mentioned after dropping 36 points with a career-high 10 three-pointers on Sunday. He's obviously starting to find a rhythm and should have a floor somewhere around 20 FanDuel points, making him a viable play vs. the Knicks tonight. The reason I'm hedging my bets with him is simple -- last night he faced a Wizards team that's allowing teams to shoot a league-high 39.8% behind the arc. Tonight he gets the Knicks' stingy perimeter defense, allowing a league-low 30.0% behind the arc.

 

Lou Williams ($4,700) is averaging 25.9 FanDuel points in 32.0 minutes over the Lakers' past three games, as Nick Young has fallen out of the picture. He played a team-high 32 minutes during Sunday's blowout loss and should get plenty of run tonight with Kobe Bryant iffy to play (and likely to be limited if he does). Nick Young isn't likely to resurface in Byron Scott's rotation after Sunday's awful seven-minute stint, further solidifying Williams as a cheap option at SG.

 

O.J. Mayo ($4,100) continues to start for the Bucks and he's averaged 34.5 minutes in his past two games, good enough for 27.5 FanDuel points. Mayo will be a nice value play if Jerryd Bayless (ankle), Greivis Vasquez (ankle) and Tyler Ennis (shoulder) are all out again, so keep a close eye on player news blurbs. Hopefully the Bucks will for once provide some timely injury updates.

 

 

$4,000-$3,500

 

Jon Leuer ($4,000) will be a popular play tonight, and with good reason. Jeff Hornacek confirmed that he will stick in the starting lineup at PF, and he has two terrific performances in his past three games -- he dropped 32.2 FanDuel points on Sunday, and had a 40.7-point eruption vs. the Pistons last Wednesday. He should get plenty of run against the Bulls' frontcourt tonight. Chicago is rather stingy vs. power forwards, but Leuer's role is too robust to be concerned.

 

Raymond Felton ($3,900) is once again a terrific low-end play. He's thriving in the absence of J.J. Barea, hitting a minimum of 18 FanDuel points in seven consecutive games, culminating in Sunday's 11-point, 10-rebound, six-assist game. The clincher tonight is that Devin Harris is doubtful after injuring his ribs last night. Even if Harris unexpectedly suits up, Felton should get plenty of minutes in another start vs. Jose Calderon and the Knicks.

 

Alex Len ($3,900) has been up-and-down based on matchups. He played only 15 minutes vs. the extra-small-ball Wizards on Friday, which makes perfect sense, but he also played 15 minutes vs. Andre Drummond and the Pistons on Wednesday -- the Suns opted to go small and force Drummond to defend a perimeter threat. Len bounced back in 32 minutes vs. the Grizzlies on Sunday and should see solid minutes again vs. Pau Gasol and the Bulls. It helps that Chicago is giving up the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing centers, and this game has the second-highest over/under of the night (204).

 

John Wall is still questionable for Monday's game after re-bruising his knee on Sunday -- if he can't play, Ramon Sessions ($3,900) would be an instant plug-and-play option. Miami's defense is formidable but Sessions has enough juice to be a value pick if he's starting -- in 10 starts last year he averaged 10.2 points, 3.6 rebounds and 5.1 assists. Gary Neal ($3,600) is also worth a long look if Wall can't suit up. Garrett Temple not so much, even if he gets enough minutes.

 

Gerald Green ($3,700) could have a nice game vs. the injury-ravaged Wizards tonight. Luol Deng (hamstring) is expected to sit again, leaving Green with a hefty role as a starter, and he's averaging 13.4 points in his past five games despite shooting just 40.0%. The clincher is that Washington is the No. 1 team to target with opposing small forwards.

 

Can Lucas Nogueira ($3,700) repeat his impressive performance vs. the Warriors on Saturday? He had 14 points, four rebounds, three assists and one steal in 25 minutes that night, leading to a complete dud from Bismack Biyombo, and coach Dwane Casey went out of his way to praise Bebe on Monday. There's plenty of risk, but he's an interesting punt play in tournaments.

 

Quick Hits: Mirza Teletovic ($3,900) should be a solid play tonight, and he's dropped below 18 FanDuel points just once in his past six games...Avery Bradley ($6,000) would be a very nice option vs. the Pelicans, who give up the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing SGs. Unfortunately, he missed shootaround and is headed for a game-time decision -- the game starts at 8pm so we're unlikely to know Bradley's status prior to lineups locking...Michael Carter-Williams ($5,500) is coming off a strong game but the Bucks' backcourt rotation is too uncertain to rely on him tonight...Austin Rivers ($3,500) should get hefty minutes again with Chris Paul (ribs) ruled out, but he's been awful for FanDuel purposes...Jerami Grant ($5,100) has been solid, but a matchup vs. the Spurs' defense is intimidating...Danny Green ($3,700) has been so bad that I can't even recommend him at this price vs. the 76ers...Even if Kris Humphries ($3,500) does return tonight, he might not be 100% and he'd be facing a rough matchup vs. the Heat...John Jenkins ($3,500) was the primary beneficiary after Devin Harris left Sunday's game, logging 20 minutes, and should play solid minutes with Harris and J.J. Barea both doubtful tonight. He's still extremely risky...Cody Zeller ($3,800) is coming off a big game but I don't trust him to duplicate the feat vs. the Pistons (ditto for Spencer Hawes)...Joakim Noah ($4,500) is an intriguing punt-center play vs. Phoenix. He's notched 23, 29 and 32 FanDuel points in his past three games, racking up rebounds with solid assists and blocks. The gamble comes in the matchup -- Tyson Chandler is expected to sit out again, leaving Alex Len and Jon Leuer as the starters with Mirza Teletovic and (maybe) Markieff Morris coming off the bench. Noah could feast against Teletovic and Morris, but he could also be limited if Fred Hoiberg opts to play the matchup game by going small. Good luck!

Ryan Knaus
Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.