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FanDuel Bargain Bin: Monday

by Ryan Knaus
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

We have a loaded schedule this Monday, with 11 games offering everything from a potential shootout between the Clippers and Wizards to a potential blowout between the Kings and Warriors.

 

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$6,000-$5,001

 

Eric Gordon ($5,300) hasn't fallen below 20 FanDuel points (FDP) in his past seven games, giving him a solid floor, and he's coming off a 26-point, five-assist game vs. Houston on Saturday. He gets a good matchup vs. the Magic tonight, in a game with a high over/under (203.5) and a narrow spread (Orlando -5). Gordon is playing huge minutes the past few games and should be a steady value at this price, even if he's better suited to cash games.

 

Nikola Mirotic ($5,200) is a high-upside gamble vs. the Raptors tonight. He blew up for 42.9 FDP in 40 minutes during Saturday's game, taking full advantage of an expanded role as the starting SF. Joakim Noah is out, which eases the frontcourt scrum for playing time, and neither Doug McDermott nor Tony Snell are likely to unseat Mirotic in the near future. As long as the playing time is there, Mirotic should easily surpass this valuation -- he's averaging 0.9 FanDuel points per minute in 2015-16, so a 35-minute role would yield around 31.5 FDP.

 

Evan Fournier ($5,200) is on the upswing after an extended lull, having averaged 28.8 FDP in his past four games. His minutes have been north of 32 in all of those contests and he'd be a solid play in nearly any matchup, so it's a bonus that he faces the Pelicans' defense tonight. New Orleans is the fourth-most-lenient team for opposing SGs this season, so almost everything is tilted in Fournier's favor tonight.

 

Jeremy Lin ($5,200) is a solid option as a low-end PG tonight, combining steady recent production (minimum of 20.7 FDP in five straight) with a glorious matchup vs. the Lakers. The Lakers are the best matchup for PGs and a top-5 matchup for SGs, and they're giving up a league-high 38.4 points to opposing benches this season. Enough said.

 

$5,000-$4,001

 

Bismack Biyombo ($4,900) is running hot lately. Here are his FanDuel totals over Toronto's past five games -- 37.9, 38.0, 19.6, 24.0, and 45.6. Plenty of owners will fade him tonight due to Jonas Valanciunas' return, but I'm anticipating at least one more value-added performance. Valanciunas' minutes will be very limited, whether he starts or comes off the bench, and the matchup is very favorable -- Chicago cedes the sixth-most DFS value to centers. Biyombo is a promising against-the-grain play at C.

 

Jon Leuer ($4,600) doesn't have a great positional matchup vs. the Cavaliers tonight, but the game itself has a high over/under at 208.5 and Leuer should get plenty of run with Markieff Morris serving the second game of his towel-tossing suspension. Taj Gibson ($4,700) is another appealing low-end PF despite his below-average matchup vs. the Raptors tonight.

 

Chandler Parsons' ($4,500) medical restrictions have been lifted and he's averaging 33.5 FDP in 35.0 minutes over the past two games. He might start vs. the visiting Bucks tonight and he's an easy value-play in an expanded role, as he has taken on more offensive duties with Deron Williams (hamstring) out of commission. D-Will is questionable for tonight's game but it seems likely that he'll sit out -- either way, Parsons is a nice option at SF.

 

Ish Smith ($4,500) logged 31 minutes vs. the Suns on Saturday, finishing with 14 points, five assists, two rebounds, one steal, one block and three turnovers (aka 24.9 FDP). He draws a less-than-favorable matchup vs. the Jazz tonight, however, so this is a definite risk vs. reward play.

 

Garrett Temple ($4,300) cooled off vs. the Nets on Saturday but he still notched 19.7 FDP, and in his past four games as a starter he's averaging 29.6 FDP while playing huge minutes alongside John Wall. The Clippers vs. Wizards game has the second-highest over/under of the evening at 206.5, as well as the narrowest spread (Wizards -1.5), so Temple's opportunities should be plentiful. With Bradley Beal still recovering from his leg injury, and Gary Neal also sidelined, Temple looks like a safe bet.

 

J.J. Barea ($4,100) will be in the vast majority of lineups tonight, so this isn't exactly insider info. He's played two of the best games of his career lately -- starting at PG in Deron Williams' absence, he's averaged 29.0 points and 8.0 assists on his way to 40.7 FDP. As of this writing, Williams is listed as questionable with his hamstring injury...keep an eye on the injury report, but it seems likely that Dallas will hold out their oft-injured veteran as a precaution. If D-Will is ruled out, Barea is a no-brainer.

 

 

$4,000-$3,500

 

Jeff Hornacek confirmed that Devin Booker ($3,600) will likely start at SG in Eric Bledsoe's absence, presenting a huge opportunity for the 19-year-old rookie. The matchup vs. Cleveland isn't favorable, and Booker has averaged a middling 0.6 FanDuel points per minute this year, but his unknown upside is alluring at this price-point.

 

Paul Pierce ($3,800) started the second half on Saturday and wound up with 20 points, five rebounds and two assists. Doc Rivers likes the way he spaces the floor as a stretch-PF in Blake Griffin's absence, so it's very possible he'll start vs. the Wizards tonight in what should be a high-scoring affair. You could do worse for a punt-SF option.

 

 

Quick Hits: Monta Ellis ($5,800) is averaging 21.5 points, 4.0 rebounds, 4.5 assists and 2.0 steals in his past two games, but that came against the Kings and Timberwolves. I'm not sold on him in a tougher matchup vs. Atlanta...Raymond Felton ($5,000) has seen his minutes dip in Deron Williams' absence, with Chandler Parsons' minutes increasing and J.J. Barea going nuts over the past two games, so he's riskier than usual tonight...Rodney Hood ($4,500) gets a tantalizing matchup vs. the 76ers and he should have a bigger role with Alec Burks out tonight. Also, keep an eye on Trey Burke ($4,400)...Terrence Ross ($4,00) had another solid outing on Saturday with DeMarre Carroll easing his way back with limited minutes, but I don't trust him to keep it going vs. the Bulls tonight...Josh Smith ($3,500) was a total dud on Saturday and might not even start tonight, so I'm not taking any chances on him...Carl Landry ($3,500) has been surprisingly good in his first two games of the season, but it feels like a mirage...Larry Nance Jr. ($3,500) erupted for 17 points and 11 rebounds on Sunday, and he's at least worth a look vs. Charlotte tonight.

Ryan Knaus
Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.