Loading scores...
Daily Archives

FanDuel Bargain Bin: Monday

by Ryan Knaus
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

After a relatively quiet Superbowl-influenced schedule on Sunday, the NBA slate on Monday features 10 games, ensuring plenty of FanDuel bargains. Let's take a look at the spreads and over/unders for each game before exploring the best values below the $6,000 threshold, in descending order.

 

You can follow me on Twitter @Knaus_RW.

 

  Over/Under Spread
Bulls at Hornets 201.5 Hornets -6.5
Kings at Cavaliers 219 Cavs -12.5
Lakers at Pacers 206.5 Pacers -11.5
Clippers at 76ers 205.5 Clippers -9.0
Nuggets at Nets 205 Nuggets -1.5
Raptors at Pistons 209.5 Raptors -1.0
Magic at Hawks 203 Hawks -8.0
Trail Blazers at Grizzlies 199.5 Grizzlies -3.5
Pelicans at Timberwolves 210.5 Wolves -1.5
Thunder at Suns 215.5 Thunder -13.5

 

 

$6,000-$5,001

 

Although his $6,100 price tag technically falls beyond the parameters of this column, I'll make a quick exception for Gorgui Dieng, who comes into a matchup vs. the Pelicans averaging 37.0 FDP over his past five games. With Nikola Pekovic (ankle) and Kevin Garnett (knee) both officially 'doubtful' for Monday, and all but certain to sit out through the break, Dieng should get a full workload.

 

Zach Randolph ($6,000) has been hit or miss recently: his past four games have resulted in FanDuel Point (FDP) totals of 18, 35, 17 and 39. He's coming off a 20-point, 14-rebound performance on Saturday, however, and shouldn't have any limitations as the Grizzlies aren't on a back-to-back set and they get eight days of rest during the All-Star break. The Blazers have been somewhat lenient vs. PFs recently and Z-Bo has had his way in three matchups vs. Portland this season, averaging 19.0 points, 12.0 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 1.3 steals.

 

Will Barton ($5,900) is coming off his strongest DFS performance in recent memory, dropping 19 points, 11 rebounds and five assists with a few defensive stats in just 29 minutes vs. the Knicks on Sunday. The Nuggets' breakout sixth man comes with some risk, given that he's played just 28.8 minutes over his past four games, but he's notched between 25-44 FDP in each of those contests. 

 

Myles Turner ($5,600) has hit a minimum of 21.4 FDP in his past 10 games, averaging a steady-but-unspectacular 27.7 FDP during that span. With Jordan Hill playing well and Ian Mahinmi back in action, it's hard to love Turner as an upside tourney play on Monday despite his favorable matchup vs. the Lakers. He's still a viable option, however, and is reliable for cash-game production.

 

Markieff Morris ($5,600) has been established as a go-to guy for the Suns under coach Earl Watson, but his FanDuel value has yet to reflect that fact. In three games under Watson, the much-maligned Morris brother is averaging 38.9 FDP with a usage rate of 29.9 -- he's the 13th best FanDuel player during that span, trailing guys like Rajon Rondo, Karl-Anthony Towns, Damian Lillard, LeBron James, Paul George, etc. The Thunder aren't a great matchup for PFs, but that shouldn't matter much in a frenetic game that features the night's second-highest over/under at 217.5.

 

Emmanuel Mudiay ($5,400) heads into Monday's game vs. Brooklyn averaging 34.4 FDP in his past two games, but recent production isn't the reason to target him. Mudiay should get a full complement of minutes with Jameer Nelson (wrist) all-but-officially out through the All-Star break, and thus far in February he's posting a solid usage rate of 24.7 percent -- and that includes a very stingy 1.5 turnovers per game.

 

Devin Booker ($5,400) has an impressive usage rate of 24.2 percent over the Suns' past two games and he's trending upward as a featured part of Earl Watson's offense. He draws a great matchup vs. the up-tempo Thunder in a game that features two of the league's top-10 teams for pace, and it helps that he'll start opposite Dion Waiters, as opposed to Andre Roberson (knee). Nothing is a given with a 19-year-old player, but Booker is set up for a very nice game...and he might be under-owned thanks to a recent pair of quiet games vs. the Rockets and Jazz.

 

Archie Goodwin ($5,200) has produced a few duds since being handed the PG reins with Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight on the sidelines. He faces Russell Westbrook and the Thunder on Monday and the biggest risk is foul trouble, as the blistering pace of the game should create enough opportunities to offset Goodwin's inefficiency (41.3 FG% as a starter, with 4.4 assists vs. 3.9 turnovers). There are enough solid PG options tonight that Goodwin may not be heavily rostered, creating an opportunity in tournaments -- after all, he leads the league in February with 39.9 minutes per game, ahead of LeBron James, Victor Oladipo, Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant.

 

In three of his past five games, Enes Kanter ($5,200) has posted at least 32 FDP. He's averaging 29.4 FDP during that span, despite playing a mere 20.4 minutes per game. His per-minute production could be put to great use on Monday, as the Thunder face the Suns in a game that could easily result in a blowout -- if so, Kanter should absorb extra minutes with the second unit during garbage time. Kanter's outlook is further strengthened by the fact that Phoenix has given up the third-most points to opposing benches this season (38.1 per game).

 

Kent Bazemore ($5,100) faces an Orlando team that's yielded the second-most FDP to opposing small forwards over the past three weeks, per RotoGrinders. He's picked it up over the past two games, averaging 19.0 points, 4.5 rebounds, 4.5 assists and 2.5 assists in 32.5 minutes, a short-term trend which should continue unless this turns into a blowout vs. the Magic.

 

Norris Cole ($5,100) utterly flopped in a foul-plagued game vs. the Lakers on Thursday, but he made up for it with 26 points, five assists and two boards in 34 minutes vs. Cleveland on Saturday. He's locked into a big-minute role with Tyreke Evans (knee) ruled out through the All-Star break, and should cruise past this valuation in a favorable matchup vs. the Wolves -- Minnesota has given up the 8th-most FDP to opposing PGs over the past three weeks. 

 

$5,000-$4,001

 

Aaron Gordon ($4,900) has sandwiched a pair of duds between three terrific games, in which he had FDP totals of 44.6, 31.2 and 47.3. Tobias Harris (ankle) is questionable to play on Monday and if he's out Gordon goes from being a high-upside gamble to a virtual lock. You won't find greater potential for a guy below $5,000 tonight.

 

Stanley Johnson ($4,900) is coming on strong over the past two games, averaging 18.0 points, 9.5 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 1.5 steals. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (core strain) won't play before the All-Star break which leaves Johnson with a heavy workload over Detroit's next two games -- he's a solid option in what should be a close game vs. the visiting Raptors tonight.

 

Jamal Crawford ($4,800) gets a terrific matchup vs. the 76ers tonight. He's getting more shots with Blake Griffin out of commission, more minutes with Austin Rivers (hand) on the shelf, and could absorb some garbage time minutes if the Clippers open up a big lead tonight. He's hit at least 22 FDP in six straight games and that streak isn't going to end vs. Philly.

 

E'Twaun Moore ($4,100) is averaging 35.4 minutes over the Bulls' past three games and he'll once again play a big role vs. the Hornets on Monday, as Jimmy Butler (knee) has already been ruled out. He's averaging 26.8 FDP over those three games, with averages of 16.3 points, 3.3 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 0.7 steals, 0.3 blocks and a mere 1.0 turnovers. Don't hesitate to deploy him as a punt-SG option.

 

$4,000-$3,500


T.J. McConnell ($4,000) should get a healthy amount of playing time as a starter if Ish Smith (ankle) can't suit up tonight, so keep a close eye on the injury report. As a starter on Saturday, the Sixers' rookie notched 17 points, six assists, two rebounds and two steals, with only two turnovers in 28 minutes.

 

Quick Hits: Jeff Green ($5,600) has been very solid lately, hitting 22 FDP in six straight games, but he's faded a bit in the Grizzlies' past couple games and gets a tough matchup vs. Al-Farouq Aminu and the Blazers...Taj Gibson ($5,400) is playing well and hasn't dropped below 30 minutes played in the Bulls' past seven games, and given their injury woes that trend is unlikely to change. He draws a rough matchup vs. the Hornets, who are ceding the fourth-fewest FDP to opposing PFs over the past week...Marcus Morris ($5,400) is a steady option, having exceeded 20 FDP in seven straight games, but he lacks the upside necessary to be a legit tournament 'bargain'...Darren Collison ($4,800) has been hot lately and he's worth a look vs. the Cavaliers. Ditto for Zach LaVine ($4,800) vs. the Pelicans tonight, though both guys are better suited to cash games...Bobby Portis ($3,800) is cheap enough to warrant some attention, as he's averaging 27.5 minutes over Chicago's past two games. 

Ryan Knaus
Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.