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FanDuel Bargain Bin: Monday

by Ryan Knaus
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

It's a busy 10-game evening in the NBA this Monday, providing a wide array of choices for FanDuel bargain-hunters. The Mavericks are looking to recover from a trouncing in Sacramento on Sunday, the Spurs will try to escape Memphis with a win despite resting half the team, and the Raptors will try to trim the Cavs' 2.5-game lead in the East. Before we discuss specific players, let's look at Vegas' expectations for tonight's games.

 

 

Over/Under

Spread

Nets at Heat

213

Heat -10.0

Thunder at Raptors

210.5

Thunder -2.5

Hawks at Bulls

206.5

Hawks -3.0

Spurs at Grizzlies

192

Spurs -7.0

Suns at Wolves

219

Wolves -7.0

Knicks at Pelicans

202

Knicks -5.5

Mavericks at Nuggets

212

Nuggets -1.5

Lakers at Jazz

191.5

Jazz -14.0

Kings at Blazers

219.5

Blazers -11.0

Celtics at Clippers

207.5

Clippers -4.0

 

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$6,000-$5,001

 

Note: This column is written in the afternoon, so be mindful of any updates after 1pm ET! This is particularly important as the regular season winds down and random DNPs become the norm.

 

Shelvin Mack ($5,900 vs. LAL) appeared to tire out toward the end of Utah's five-game road trip -- in the final three games he averaged just 9.3 points, 2.0 rebounds, 4.3 assists and 2.3 steals, to go along with 4.3 turnovers. The Jazz are coming off a rest day and they're back in Smart Home Arena tonight, but the reason to target Mack is his matchup -- he faces D'Angelo Russell and the Lakers, who have been among the most lenient teams for PGs all season. His ownership rate is likely to be low, thanks to his recent duds, which just adds to the appeal for tourneys.

 

Like Mack above, Robin Lopez ($5,800 at NOP) is coming off a pair of duds vs. the Bulls and Cavaliers. Also like Mack, RoLo steps into an ideal matchup vs. the decimated Pelicans' frontcourt, which is giving up the third-most DFS points to centers over the past three weeks. Playing time isn't an issue, as Lopez has averaged 33.0 minutes in his past five games, and he's poised for a bounce-back game in New Orleans. Don't shy away from him if you're in need of a mid-tier center with upside.

 

 

$5,000-$4,001

 

D.J. Augustin ($4,900 vs. DAL) has been terrific in his past two games, averaging 37.0 FanDuel points, and he's exceeded 25 FDP in six of his past 10. That's enough to put him on the radar, and he's aided tonight by the matchup -- Dallas is playing on the second half of a back-to-back set and their defense was shredded on Sunday, giving up a season-high 133 points to the Kings. With a price hovering south of 5k, Augustin emerges as a particularly solid option in cash games.

 

Mirza Teletovic ($4,500 at MIN) could be thrust into a huge role again if Tyson Chandler (back) and Jon Leuer (illness) are ruled out vs. the Wolves tonight. Both guys are day-to-day so I won't go deep into the matchup-based aspects of Teletovic's appeal -- just keep an eye on the injury report, and be ready to deploy Mirza if the Suns' big men are both out.

 

Wesley Matthews ($4,400 at DEN) will be playing the second of back-to-back games vs. an up-tempo team in the thin air of Denver. The good news is that he's averaging more points on zero days' rest (13.5) than when he gets rest, and he's also shooting better in those situations at 40.8 percent. Chandler Parsons' absence has shifted more usage to Matthews, and Deron Williams will also miss tonight's game, so touches shouldn't be an issue. Wes has shown signs of busting out of his season-long slump, averaging 18.8 points on 50.0 percent shooting in his past four outings, so all signs point to him crushing his cheap valuation.

 

Can Jusuf Nurkic ($4,300 vs. DAL) keep it going? The Nuggets' oft-injured big man is coming off consecutive games with 30+ FDP and he's been north of 20 FDP in four straight. The Mavericks' plight has already been explained and their big-man platoon was dominated on Sunday (albeit by DeMarcus Cousins) -- both Nurkic and Nikola Jokic should fare well tonight, but Nurkic comes $1,900 cheaper.

 

 

$4,000-$3,500

 

Raymond Felton ($4,100 at DEN) is an obvious bargain-bin target. The veteran is a favorite of coach Rick Carlisle's in a variety of lineups, and he benefits from the absence of Chandler Parsons and Deron Williams, as well as the Nuggets' up-tempo attack. Felton has played 35 and 38 minutes in his past two games and the Mavs can't afford to limit him because their playoff hopes hang in the balance. Felton has averaged 30.4 FDP in his past two games, which equates to 7.4x value...that's tough to beat. J.J. Barea ($4,000) was quiet in 27 minutes on Sunday, scoring 14 points with three rebounds, three assists and three turnovers. He's another solid value tonight, though, as he should earn heavy minutes in another start for D-Will.

 

Willie Cauley-Stein ($3,900 at POR) is coming off a pair of great games -- he posted 26 points and six rebounds on Friday, and followed it up with 21 points and seven boards vs. the Mavs on Sunday. DeMarcus Cousins is doubtful to play on Monday due to a variety of nagging injuries, so WCS is even more appealing with a clear path to expanded minutes. He might still come off the bench behind Kosta Koufos and Quincy Acy (he's still coached by George Karl, after all), but there's plentiful upside for WCS at this cheap price.

Ryan Knaus
Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.