FanDuel Bargain Bin
You’ll often need to dig deep to find some value plays that allow you to fit in the studs you want. Here I’ll give you the guys I’d use at each position and provide some context for which I think are true punts vs. those that are actually safe enough for cash games. I try to keep them under $6000 (well under if possible).
Matthew Dellavedova $3500: The darling of the bargain basement tonight will be none other than Dellavedova. Expect very high ownership given the early news that Kyrie Irving will rest tonight against the Knicks. Delly’s stock goes up a little bit with the recent trend of New York allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards too. More so in cash games, Dellavedova should be a cheap staple of lineups tonight and with assists being his most stable category he should have no trouble meeting value.
Marcus Smart $4100: It sounds like Avery Bradley is unlikely to make it to Phoenix for tonight’s game, but be sure to monitor that news up to game time. Smart and Evan Turner would be the major beneficiaries, and as a documented Smart fan, I’d like some exposure. Phoenix allows the most fantasy points in the league to opposing guards, providing a great opportunity for Smart to bust out of his shooting slump and post a line that could bump your tournament lineup into the money.
Patty Mills $3800: Mills never really gets the keys to the car in San Antonio, even when he starts. It’s like Pop has a limit on his productivity and keeps him from flying too close to the sun…or 30 fantasy points. Still, he’s a pretty safe bet for 20 fantasy points tonight in what should be an interesting game with the Thunder. OKC allows the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing PGs, and with most of the Spurs’ starting cast out tonight, Mills should play almost 25 minutes.
Courtney Lee $4100 (Jeremy Lin $4300): I prefer Lee over Lin here partly because of the stability a starting role offers, and partly because Lin is notoriously up and down. The matchup is good for both guys, and this could be one of the more competitive games of the night. Lee, with his double-digit scoring, steals, and a few peripherals, is a lock for 20+ fantasy points tonight.
J.R. Smith $4300: While everyone, including me, will be interested in Dellavedova tonight in Irving’s absence, don’t forget that it will likely open up higher usage for Smith as well. Delly is a passer and as we all know, Smith is a shooter. I’d only consider Smith for tournaments, but as a streaky player, I could see a big night at very low ownership tonight.
Moe Harkless $3800: Harkless has started two consecutive games at the four for Portland and it appears to suit him, with double digit points in both games plus a few peripherals getting him to 25 and 22 FanDuel points in those games. The matchup with Philadelphia could literally not be better, and barring any changes to the lineup, Harkless is a top bargain play in your SF slot tonight.
Hollis Thompson $4400: Thompson is always over-looked in a big slate, but he’s playing over 30 mpg and has provided solid value in every game except one in March (Detroit, when he scored only three points, but still came close to value with 16 FanDuel points). As a natural two guard, Thompson provides more in shooting than any other category, but his around 5 rebounds and around 3 assists do a nice job of stabilizing his stat line every night.
FWIW, I think Evan Fournier $5700 is overpriced tonight. Yes, the Magic are shorthanded and Chicago is a decent matchup, but all Fournier is doing is scoring and he needs to score a lot more than 20 points to be a great value play at this price.
David West $3500: With both Kawhi Leonard and LaMarcus Aldridge already ruled out tonight, West and Boris Diaw will be left to man the Spurs frontcourt. The matchup with Oklahoma City isn’t a great one, but for minimum salary, West should be the most stable bargain PF you reach for tonight.
Jon Leuer $4600: With roughly 90% of rosters using Leuer last night against Sacramento and him scoring just 10.8 fantasy points in 16 minutes (thanks to foul trouble), I expect his ownership to plummet. Now, not everyone is so rash, so he might still be 20-30% owned tonight, but he’s in a great spot to triple or even quadruple last night’s numbers. Boston has been the fourth-most generous matchup for opposing fours, this game carries one of the highest totals of the night, and guess who has fresh legs on the back-to-back? Jon Leuer.
Taj Gibson $5300: Orlando has been a great matchup for big men all year, but since losing Nikola Vucevic, they are second in fantasy points allowed to the PF position. With Pau Gasol questionable, Gibson should be on your radar.
Carl Landry $4500: Landry isn’t playing a ton of minutes (22-25), but he is averaging over a fantasy point per minute recently with Jahlil Okafor out. Portland’s chief defensive weakness has been in the frontcourt and while the Trail Blazers are huge favorites tonight (who isn’t against Philadelphia?), Landry is cheap enough to slot in confidently as a contrarian value play tonight.
Mason Plumlee $5300: Plumlee is the only cheap play I feel reasonably confident about at this position and with solid value elsewhere, I can totally see paying up for Karl-Anthony Towns or Andre Drummond tonight. Plumlee owns the best matchup on the slate, though, and has been averaging 27-28 mpg. He’s scored double-digit points in his last five games, including a huge double-double at Dallas. He also has five blocks and six steals in the last three games. It’s maybe taken some time, but Plumlee is playing with confidence right now and should feast on the poor 76ers this evening.
If you want to go cheap and contrarian tonight, consider Al Jefferson $5000, who I think can still put up the occasional big game against one of the league’s weakest frontcourts in Milwaukee, or Dwayne Dedmon $3500, who is playing pretty efficiently but whose upside is limited by playing close to 20 mpg. Dedmon does get the attractive matchup with Chicago, who has allowed the fourth most fantasy points to opposing centers this year.