Today brings forth a unique style of slate, leaving just seven evening games to sift for fantasy gold. That’s quite the contrast from these massive the 12-15 game slates we have grown accustomed to. What does this mean for daily fantasy purposes? Well, you will likely need to take some chances with players in less than ideal situations. Fortunately enough, we have some weak pitchers taking the bump tonight, so you shouldn’t have to sacrifice matchup potential entirely.
While James Paxton of the Mariners doesn’t exactly classify in the “weak department”, his struggles this season have been well documented. He has allowed 16 runs over the past three games (13 IP). Paxton has been leaving pitches over the plate this season, resulting in at least one homerun allowed in every contest. That doesn’t bode well in a matchup against a right-handed slugging team like Houston. Look for Chris Carter, Evan Gattis, Jose Altuve, and George Springer to keep Seattle’s hurler from a bounce-back effort.
As usual, today’s bargain bin will focus on the later slate of games, begging at 7:10 ET.
DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
Chris Carter – OF – HOU (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
Mentioned in the introduction, Carter steps in against a struggling lefty tonight. Following a dismal start, Carter has shown some signs of life recently, but his $2,600 salary still reflects that prolonged cold spell. He owns a hearty .359 wOBA .242 ISO against left-handed pitching, always possession two homerun potential. Even though some may label Carter as “boom or bust” material, I believe he’s a calculated risk in all formats this evening.
Mike Moustakas – 3B – KC (FanDuel Price: $3,000)
There’s no doubt that Detroit pitcher Alfredo Simon has been overachieving to begin the season. He’s 4-0 with a 1.35 ERA over four outings. Regression is bound to rear its ugly head, and navigating a potent Kansas City lineup on the road seems like fitting time for that to happen. Simon owns a career .320 wOBA against left-handed bats, and Moustakas has been sizzling with multiple hits in the past three contests.
Kendrys Morales – 1B – KC (FanDuel Price: $2,500)
Take everything I just said about Mike Moustakas’ matchup, and directly apply it to Morales. Kendrys has an inexplicably cheap price point here, which should realistically be bumped up by $1,000 or so. He’ll enjoy a nice lineup spot (5th) for Kansas City, who checks in as the second highest projected scoring team of the night.
Also Consider: Adam Eaton – OF – CWS
Alcides Escobar – SS – KC (FanDuel Price: $2,400)
To speak bluntly, the shortstop position is pretty brutal tonight. Escobar represents one of the better options, batting leadoff for this potent Kansas City lineup. However, you’ll need to double check the batting order before selecting him, as Escobar was beaned in the head by a pitch yesterday. Early reports indicate that he’s “hopeful” to play tonight, but we’ll need confirmation.
Seth Smith – OF – SEA (FanDuel Price: $2,400)
On the other side of this Seattle-Houston matchup, the Mariners don’t have too bad of a draw themselves. Houston’s Scott Feldman can be classified as a subpar pitcher for all intents and purposes. He owns a .320 wOBA against left-handed bats, which is good news for Seth Smith: usually batting 2nd against righties.
Melky Cabrera – OF – CWS (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
This is too cheap of a price point for someone of Cabrera’s caliber. He started the season slow, but has bounced back with 3 fppg average over the past ten games. He’ll take on glorified Triple-A pitcher, Trevor May, tonight. Ervin Santana’s 50-game suspension is the only reason May holds an MLB starter position, and he hasn’t proven himself yet. Expect Melky and the other White Sox bats to put up a solid total this evening.
Also Consider: Brad Miller – SS - SEA
Evan Gattis – C – HOU (FanDuel Price: $2,700)
Are you starting to see the theme here? Quality player starts season slow, shows promise as of late, steps in with a quality matchup, and the price is still discounted. Lather, rinse, repeat. Gattis certainly fits into that mold today, enjoying the aforementioned draw against a struggling James Paxton. While Gattis profiles predominately as a tournament pick, he’s usable in all formats with a relatively low opportunity cost at Catcher tonight.
Kevin Pillar – OF – TOR (FanDuel Price: $2,300)
Pillar profiles as the low-ownership super sneaky pick of the day. Has has been tearing the cover off the ball (for lack of a better cliché), going 6-12 with 3 doubles over the past three. Cleveland’s T.J. House is one of the worst hurlers in action tonight, owning a .373 wOBA against right-handed bats. Pillar possesses stolen base upside as well.
Dustin Ackley – OF – SEA (FanDuel Price: $2,200)
What’s cooler than being cool? ICE COLD! Unfortunately that’s not the case in daily fantasy baseball, where we have a tendency to shun players with short-term struggles. However, Ackley is minimum salary, drawing a pleasant matchup vs Scott Feldman in a hitter-friendly ballpark. His recent 3-29 stretch will likely scare others away, creating a “game theory” situation to consider for tournaments.
Also Consider: A.J. Pierzynski - ATL