Today’s contests are split with five in the early slot and six late. There are a few rain risks today so keep an eye on your preferred weather source.
It might be obvious, but the Tigers-White Sox matchup screams run production. Two lefties throw today, and U.S. Cellular Field increases right-handed power by 28 percent. The weather conditions are fantastic for home run power. We should witness a high scoring affair. Most DFS owners will be in on the Tigers stack. If you’re feeling tricksy, grab some White Sox hitters instead. Kyle Lobstein has pitched serviceably, but Jose Quintana has scuffled in the early going.
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DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
Victor Martinez – C – DET (FanDuel Price: $3,100) early
Martinez has battled a knee injury this season. The result is a slow start with a .217/.320/.265 line through 100 plate appearances. His plate discipline and contact skills remain unimpeachable. It’s his power and BABIP that have suffered. Both are prone to small sample fluctuations. Martinez bopped his first home run of the season yesterday. Hopefully it’s a sign of things to come.
Adam Lind – 1B – MIL (FanDuel Price: $3,000) early
Lind also hit a home run last night – his fifth of the season. He’s done his best to carry the Brewers offense on his own. As all savvy DFS owners know, Lind mashes right-handed pitching. His opponent, Carlos Frias, features a 96 mph fastball. We’ll see which side wins the battle of power. Lind will have Miller Park on his side.
Jake Marisnick – OF – Hou (FanDuel Price: $3,100)
Off to a scorching start, Marisnick will have the platoon advantage against Hector Santiago. As a ground ball hitter, Marisnick will also benefit from Santiago’s fly ball tendencies. It’s fair to wonder if Marisnick is the real deal. The power display to date (nine extra base hits) is greater than we should expect going forward. However, he has decent contact skills coupled with an aggressive approach. He’ll put plenty of balls in play. So long as he continues to reach base, he’ll also continue to run wild.
Hank Conger – C – HOU (FanDuel Price: $2,300)
This pick requires some explanation which is why I didn’t bury it in the “also consider” section. Conger is at times overly patient. That’s not always a good fit for DFS lineups. Like Marisnick, he’ll have the platoon advantage against Santiago. Also like Marisnick, Conger performs best against fly ball pitchers. The result is the potential for power at a steep discount. We could quibble and say that he’s closer to a tournament gamble than a punt due to a low floor.
Scooter Gennett – 2B – MIL (FanDuel Price: $2,200) early
I like Carlos Frias. If and when he’s stretched out, I might consider him a viable option as a pitcher. Even today, I don’t advocate a full stack against him. However, Gennett is a decent option at the cheapest possible price. He’s a career .320/.353/.483 hitter against right-handers. As we’ve already noted, the stadium is quite friendly to left-handed hitters. It all adds up, especially if he’s batting near the top of the order.
Asdrubal Cabrera – SS – TAM (FanDuel Price: $2,400)
Cabrera is one of the least exciting players in DFS. His languorous start to the season (.189/.239/.255) isn’t helping matters. With James Loney back in action, manager Kevin Cash has finally moved Cabrera down in the order. He’s not likely to offer much power. Over the past three seasons, he has a .772 OPS against fly ball pitchers.
Yasmani Grandal – C – LAD (FanDuel Price: $2,700) early
Grandal is matching expectations in Los Angeles. He’s shown good plate discipline, contact skills, and some modest power. Personally, I’d like to see him take a more aggressive approach at the plate. In any event, his matchup against Mike Fiers at Miller Park could produce a home run or two. Keep an eye on where he bats in the lineup. He was off last night so we won’t have to worry about A.J. Ellis sniping a start.
Jimmy Paredes – 2B – BAL (FanDuel Price: $3,000)
Paredes is an aggressive switch-hitter. Don’t buy the hype surrounding his hot start. The .333/.344/.600 line he has compiled will prove impossible to sustain. His overanxious approach will be exploited if he continues to play regularly. A matchup with Nathan Eovaldi could prove challenging. However, the short porch at Yankee Stadium gives Paredes some desirable upside. Unless you pony up for Jose Altuve, the alternatives aren’t much better.
Rajai Davis – OF – DET (FanDuel Price: $3,000) early
When Davis faces a southpaw, he turns into a multi-threat monster. His career .305/.360/.450 line against lefties includes power, speed, and decent plate discipline. As we discussed in the intro, Quintana hasn’t looked like his old self this season. Davis bats first when the Tigers face a lefty. This is a gamble only because Quintana might get chased from the game before Davis gets his third plate appearance.