The Diamondbacks-Rockies fantasy gold mine was rained out last night, pushing the projected starters (and our subsequent enthusiasm) back one day. However, don’t get too excited about this inflated 10 run over/under, as there is a 60-70% chance of rain in the Denver area once again.
Due to this, majority of the following picks will focus on the other 14 games on tap for this evening. In case the weather does clear up in Colorado, be aware that Yosmany Tomas, Aaron Hill, and Chris Owings all check in as steady value selections under $3,000 on FanDuel (listed in the order of preference). That, of course, is in addition to the usual “high dollar” suspects of Corey Dickerson, Paul Goldschmidt, Mark Trumbo, and Troy Tulowizki (amongst others).
DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
Dustin Pedroia – 2B – BOS (FanDuel Price: $2,900)
Pedroia and the other Boston right-handed bats will be licking their chops against lefty Drew Smyly. For all intents and purposes, Smyly isn’t a bad pitcher by any means. However, he does own an extreme fly-ball rate of 45% against right-handed hitters. That could spell trouble on the road against Betts, Pedroia, Ramirez, and Napoli. Consider Pedroia at this non-imposing price point (nice lineup security) with a steady .372 wOBA against left-handed pitching.
Chris Carter – 1B – HOU (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
Carter, near-minimum salary, against a subpar lefty will make this column every single time. Tonight, he’ll step in vs Wandy Rodriguez, who owns a .375 wOBA split with an inflated 41% fly-ball rate. Those items set up well for a power slugger like Carter (.244 ISO) in Houston’s hitter friendly park. The only downside lies in his positional eligibility, with more opportunity cost at first base than his former outfield position.
Neil Walker – 2B – PIT (FanDuel Price: $2,700)
The Pirates in general have cooled off considerably, but that could all change against Michael Lorenzen, making his second career MLB start. Having the platoon advantage, at home, in the cleanup spot against a susceptible rookie pitcher isn’t a bad spot for a bounce back performance.
Also Consider: Yosmany Tomas – 3B – ARI
Yasmani Grandal – C – LAD (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
Waaay too cheap on FanDuel. Even though Grandal is batting 6th, he still possesses nice RBI potential behind the likes of Pederson, Gonzalez, and Kendrick. He has gone 7-9 in the past three games, and holds the platoon advantage over a mediocre Matt Garza in a hitter-friendly park.
Melky Cabrera – OF – CWS (FanDuel Price: $2,500)
Left-handed bats tend to find success against Detroit pitcher Shane Greene, as he’s allowing a .343 wOBA against lefties. Insert switch-hitter Melky Cabrera with a price point depressed below his true talent level (due to a slow start to the season). Cabrera has been satisfying as of late, collecting multiple hits in two of the last four.
Mike Aviles – SS – CLE (FanDuel Price: $2,500)
Cleveland takes on lefty Jason Vargas today, which means I’m fully anticipating Aviles to be placed in the top half of the order. That would be enough to consider him as a cheap play at this weak position, especially taking into account Vargas’ .326 wOBA splits against right-handed bats.
Also Consider: Carlos Peguero – OF – TEX
Mike Napoli – 1B – BOS (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
Everything I said about Dustin Pedroia above also holds true for Mr. Napoli. Nap has an elite .401 wOBA .220 ISO against left-handed pitching, and he’s dirt cheap on FanDuel. The only drawback comes in opportunity cost at the first base position.
Curtis Granderson – OF – NYM (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
Bud Norris is notoriously kind to left-handed bats, giving up a .368 wOBA split over the past three seasons. Despite the pitcher-friendly environment in New York, the Mets’ lefties of Duda, Murphy, and Granderson make for a nice, sneaky mini-stack in this spot.
Stephen Drew – 2B – NYY (FanDuel Price: $2,200)
I really like the Yankees tonight…well, more so for tournaments than anything. They’ll take on Marco Estrada, who is a predominant fly-ball pitcher (47%) that could run into trouble at the Rogers Centre. He owns a .323 wOBA against lefties as well, leaving the door open for Drew, Teixeira, Ellsbury, and Gardner to inflict some damage.
Also Consider: Brett Lawrie – 3B - OAK