FanDuel Bargain Bin
You’ll often need to dig deep to find some value plays that allow you to fit in the studs you want. Here I’ll give you the guys I’d use at each position and provide some context for which I think are true punts vs. those that are actually safe enough for cash games. I try to keep them under $6000 (well under if possible).
Emmanuel Mudiay $4900: In all likelihood, Mudiay will start vs. the Thunder in the night’s highest total game as Jameer Nelson’s wrist doesn’t sound ready. In three of the four games since Mudiay has been back on the court he’s performed well in around 30 mpg. I expect another value-exceeding performance from the rookie as the pace will be high and the Thunder have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.
Tyler Johnson $4500: Johnson’s value is all about opportunity. With Goran Dragic and Beno Udrih out, he’s getting extra run at point guard. In the four recent games where Johnson has seen significant playing time, he’s been a three-category contributor, going for at least 20 FanDuel points in each. The game with Milwaukee should be slow paced and potentially lower scoring than some of the others he’s been involved with recently, but at his price, the opportunity should definitely be there to reach value.
Dion Waiters $4200: If you read me often, you know I like to bargain hunt in the fast paced, high scoring games. That’s the number one reason to consider Waiters tonight, as he is frequently just a guy on the court for the Thunder, offensively at least. However, Waiters has been eating his spinach or something as he’s scored 56 points in the past three games! That’s more than his ten game average this year. Anyway, with no guarantee that he stays hot from the field, Waiters does get the Nuggets porous guard defense and is a cheap way to get exposure to the Thunder side of this game.
Joseph Young $3700: George Hill is still questionable, but assuming he doesn’t play tonight Joseph Young is in a great spot to soak up some minutes in one of the best guard matchups there is. On Sunday, Monta Ellis slid over to the point and that allowed Young to play a high 18 minutes. He performed well at Denver, positing a 15/1/7 line good for 25.7 FanDuel points. As I alluded to, the Suns are an even better matchup than Denver, allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing guards. He’s a very low risk way to afford some of the studs tonight IF Hill is out.
There’s a big drop off after the top small forwards today, so you’re either spending up or saving big, probably on someone who goes by their initials—C.J., P.J., or T.J.
T.J. Warren/P.J. Tucker $4500: I prefer Tucker here—and the Phoenix forwards in general over C.J. Miles—mostly because of the higher mpg average he has over the last 10 games compared to Warren. Warren has upside, but is definitely still developing. Both guys were effective relative to their salary when these teams met last week in Indiana. With few options at this position tonight, you may want to opt for the safe, albeit low ceiling, play in Tucker for your second SF slot.
Markieff Morris $4900: It should be no surprise that when Markieff Morris tries, he can play good basketball. Maybe it’s because he knows it’s his ticket out of the resentful situation he has with the Suns, but Morris has taken full advantage of the last three games, in which he’s played an average of 27 minutes and racked up an average of 28 FanDuel points (with little deviation). He went 16/9 with an assist and a steal when Phoenix played in Indiana a week ago to kick off the hot streak. Barring any indication of a change in the starting lineup, I’m looking for more of the same tonight.
Jabari Parker $5200: Playing at least 30 mpg for a Bucks team that would appear to have a bright future but is immersed in a dismal present, Parker has been the rare steady contributor in Milwaukee. The game flow here isn’t ideal with both teams playing at a slow pace plus Vegas has it as the lowest scoring game of the night by a wide margin. That said, Miami has struggled to defend power forwards recently, allowing the third-most fantasy points per game over the last five games.
Steven Adams $4300: Adams is a go-to bargain center for me for one simple reason. He is going to score between 15-25 FanDuel points, barring injury, every night. He’s so consistent that if you can get upside elsewhere in your lineup, I’m not opposed to going conservative here. Enes Kanter is a factor at the same price, but his range of outcomes is much broader, particularly at the low end. Targeting the Denver frontcourt is never a bad idea in DFS either.