Aaron Harang has been a pitcher to target against for years. That certainly doesn't change tonight, as he squares off against the hard-hitting Red Sox in Philly’s hitter-friendly park.
Looking at Harang’s splits over the past three seasons, and you can’t help but notice his susceptibility vs lefties. He owns an inflated .334 wOBA in this department, with a fly-ball rate of 44%. That could spell trouble, and the oddsmakers tend to agree: projecting Boston as a top five run-scoring team this evening.
David Ortiz makes for a great play (of course), but I’m more interested in a value option for Boston. Pablo Sandoval is a switch hitter with drastically better splits from the left-handed side, owning a .349 wOBA against righties.
DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
Pablo Sandoval – 3B – BOS: (FanDuel Price: $3,000)
Mentioned above. Great matchup, great price…playing for one of the higher scoring teams of the day.
Adam Lind – 1B – MIL: (FanDuel Price: $3,300)
Lind makes the cut yet again, as he has been one of the few Brewers not to disappoint DFS players in the past two days. He has another great matchup against a subpar righty, Eddie Butler, who got absolutely hammered by left-handed bats in his limited time last season.
Joe Panik – 2B – SF: (FanDuel Price: $2,500)
Panik has been a nice little punt option in this opening series. I’m expecting more of the same tonight, as he’ll be batting 2nd for one of the highest scoring teams of the day. To make matters even better, he has some great lineup security with Angel Pagan (also consider as diamond in the rough) and Buster Posey hitting behind him.
Jacob Lamb – 3B – ARI: (FanDuel Price: $2,300)
Lamb has had an unbelievable start to this season. First, he chipped in a 3-RBI double on Monday, then hitting a HR with 4 total RBI on Wednesday. Ordinarily, I don’t like chasing big games, but a cheap price point, great lineup spot, and the platoon advantage over an inexperienced hurler warrants consideration.
I don’t think Young Jr. will be $2,600 for too much longer. His skill set makes for a great punt play, as he can rack up fantasy points in many different ways. Yesterday was a prime example, as he finished 1-5 with 1 RBI, 1 run, 1 walk, and 1 stolen base (5 total FP). If he gets on base, there’s a great chance he’ll swipe a bag or two vs Jarrod Saltalamacchia.
Craig Gentry – OF – OAK (FanDuel Price: $2,500)
I like Gentry as part of an Oakland stack tonight. Texas will roll out a glorified spot-starter tonight in Ross Detwiler. Over the past three seasons, he has given up a monstrous .341 wOBA vs right-handed bats, which Gentry could easily exploit from the leadoff position.
David Peralta – OF – ARI (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
He’s a homerun hitter, playing in a generous ballpark for the highest projected scoring team of the day. Peralta is definitely a “boom or bust” type of guy, but Hellickson is notoriously prone to the deep ball. His fly-ball rate is 42% vs left-handed batters, translating to a HR/9 rate of 1.3 … Keep Peralta on your tournament radar.
Khris Davis – OF – MIL (FanDuel Price: $2,700)
Like today, he profiled well the first two games, and came away with virtually nothing. He has an opportunity to redeem himself against the inexperienced Eddie Butler. I can envision Milwaukee finally breaking through here, ultimately putting Davis in a great position behind Gomez, Lucroy, and Lind.
Travis Snider – OF – BAL (FanDuel Price: $2,800)
There’s no way he’s going to keep up this .875 on-base percentage; I think it’s safe to say that. Still, he’s showing great plate discipline to complement his power upside. Snider will enjoy another platoon advantage against Jake Odorizzi, who holds a .310 wOBA and 1.03 HR/9 (49% FB rate) against lefties.