Tonight’s FanDuel MLB slate is absolutely loaded.
On top of Clayton Kershaw, we have six other aces taking the bump (Price, Bumgarner, Hernandez, Pneda, Cueto, and Martinez). As if that didn’t present enough difficult decisions for daily fantasy enthusiasts, there are also several high scoring offenses in fantastic situations as well.
Houston gets an extreme park shift in Colorado, although their subsequent price points have been adjusted for this increase in fantasy potential. Still, there’s some semi-value to be had in this matchup.
Toronto has been red-hot over the past two weeks, and now they’ll take on a struggling left-hander, Jon Niese, at home. Josh Donaldson, Edwin Encarncaion, Jose Bautista, and Russell Martin (plus a few others featured in the bargain bin) are all set up favorably.
As if we needed more stackable options, Pittsburgh’s righty-heavy lineup will take on our favorite southpaw (to stack against), John Danks and his .359 wOBA against right-handed bats. Starling Marte has been on an absolute tear, emerging as an excellent option along with Josh Harrison, Andrew McCutchen, and Jung-ho Kang.
I’ll attempt to sift through the madness, pointing out some much needed value plays for tonight’s FanDuel MLB action:
DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
Michael McKenry – C – COL (FanDuel Price: $3,000)
Colorado gets a mediocre lefty, Brett Oberholtzer, at home tonight, checking in with an obvious highest of the night 10.5 run over/under. Oberholtzer has fly-ball tendencies (45%, .311 wOBA vs RHB) that could spell trouble in Colorado. McKenry is one of the cheaper ways to get some exposure, also posting some solid stat-lines (home and away) as of late.
Wilin Rosario – 1B – COL (FanDuel Price: $3,400)
At first base, I’m looking at Jose Abreu, Chris Cater, and Wilin Rosario as intermediately priced plays. Rosario is the cheapest of that bunch, and actually has similar (if not better) splits in his respective situation. The Colorado first baseman holds an elite .401 wOBA .257 ISO against left-handed tossers, and Brett Oberholtzer’s fly-ball tendencies outlined above feed directly into Rosario’s strengths.
Jimmy Paredes – 2B – BAL (FanDuel Price: $2,500)
Paredes was absolute gold last night. Correction: the Orioles in general were absolute gold last night. While I’m not willing to bet they’ll replicate yesterday’s 19 runs scored, they could be in for a solid outing once again. The matchup against Kevin Correia (.357 wOBA vs LHB, .345 vs RHB) sets up extremely favorably, and Paredes will enjoy a great lineup spot once again batting 2nd.
Francisco Lindor – SS – CLE (FanDuel Price: $2,300)
Lindor settled into the 2-hole last night with pretty decent results: 2-5, 1 RBI, 1 run, 1 SB. He’ll likely retain that lineup spot against a lefty tonight, Wada, who owns a .340 wOBA against right-handed bats. Lindor is a switch hitter fully capable of multiple hits and stolen bases, something to consider for practically minimum salary.
Jacob Marisnick – OF - HOU (FanDuel Price: $2,200)
I’m thinking this may be an oversight to some degree. Every other Houston starter noticed a price increase for this series in Coors Field, except for Marisnick, who sits at minimum salary. He’ll likely hit down in the order (7-9), but a minimum salary player in a high scoring affair like this one is hard to come by. Even though the lineup spot isn’t desirable, he’s a calculated risk in all formats that has the ability to pay big dividends.
Danny Valencia – 3B – TOR (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
Over the past three seasons, Valencia holds an elite .404 wOBA against left-handed pitching. Tonight, he’ll square off against the struggling likes of Jon Niese, aided by Toronto’s hitter-friendly conditions. He’s a platoon player with a favorable price point, and this is exactly the time you want to deploy him for fantasy purposes.
Also Consider: Dioner Navarro – C – TOR
Brandon Barnes – OF – COL (FanDuel Price: $3,000)
Back to Coors Field we go! Barnes may see a bump in the order against a left-handed pitcher, potentially settling into the 5th or 6th spot. As I mentioned earlier, Brett Oberholtzer has fly-ball tendencies (45%), creating plausible homerun upside for these right-handed sticks from Colorado (Tulowitzki, McKenry, Arenado in addition to Barnes). Barnes and the aforementioned McKenry are the cheapest ways to gain exposure.
Yasmany Tomas – 3B – ARI (FanDuel Price: $2,900)
Can you keep a secret? The Diamondbacks are my sneaky contrarian GPP stack of the day, featuring Paul Goldschmidt, A.J. Pollock, and the non-prohibitive price point of Yasmany Tomas. Obviously this is a tournament only consideration while filling out multiple lineups, but the upside is undeniable against lefty Hector Santiago and his 51% (.329 wOBA) vs right-handed hitters. Aside from Toronto and Colorado, Arizona’s Chase Field provides one of the best hitter environments of the day.
Mark Reynolds – 1B – STL (FanDuel Price: $2,800)
This wouldn’t be a true daily fantasy article unless we picked on good ol’ Tommy Milone. The Twins pitcher has extreme fly-ball tendencies (51%) that’s translates to one of the highest HR/9 rates of any pitcher in action tonight (1.50 HR/9). Minnesota’s Target Field profiles generally as a pitcher-friendly park, but it’s much more accommodating to right-handed power than its counterpart. Consider Reynolds and Johnny Peralta nice GPP plays for that reason.
Also Consider: Chris Colabello – OF - TOR