FanDuel Bargain Bin Week 11
Each week I search for the cheapest viable options for your FanDuel lineups at every position. The plays are geared toward cash games unless otherwise indicated and I do try to use a price ceiling of $6500 for QB, $6000 for RB/WR, and $5500 for TE insomuch as possible.
Matthew Stafford $7000: Stafford has faced a terrible schedule. He certainly hasn’t risen to the occasion, but still ranks 12th in passing yards. He finally gets his second ‘break’ in the Oakland Raiders 27th worst QB defense this week. Remember, he aired it out for over 400 yards in his last opportunity against Chicago, so that big game is still in there. There’s a lot of value at QB this week, but rather than go minimum salary everywhere, I’m considering the upside Stafford offers for slightly more.
Brock Osweiler $6000: We haven’t seen Osweiler on the field in a long time, though it’s hard to imagine him being worse than Peyton Manning at this point. Let me be clear that I don’t foresee a spectacular 400 PaYd, 3 TD game, but I think for the price, Osweiler will be able to move the ball against a Chicago Bears defense that is near the bottom of the league in sacks (15), interceptions (5), and forced fumbles (3). I think Osweiler is the way to get exposure to a potentially improved Denver offense over any of his receivers.
Case Keenum $4800: A true punt play, based largely on the matchup with the league’s most generous QB defense for fantasy…the Baltimore Ravens. Keenum can be very good or very bad, or at least that was the story in Houston. In general, I feel like change is good and prefer using Keenum here in his debut in this matchup rather than taking a wait and see approach—this could easily be his best outing.
Karlos Williams $5700: There isn’t too much value at RB this weekend, but Williams stands out in this price range. The Bills hung tough with the Patriots in Week 2 and Williams has scored a touchdown in every game he’s played this season (7 total TDs). Expect the Pats to focus on stopping a healthy LeSean McCoy and for Williams to factor in one way or the other—four of those TDs were on the ground, but two in the last three weeks were receiving TDs.
Stevie Johnson $5600: I really like the Chargers offense this week, with Philip Rivers, Danny Woodhead and Antonio Gates all good plays. Forgotten down in the depths of cheap wide receivers is Stevie Johnson. He’s been getting enough volume to give me confidence, though the facts that he hasn’t accumulated much yardage or any touchdowns since Week 2 are keeping his price low. Coming off the bye in a home game with the Chiefs, who are still allowing the second most fantasy points to wide receivers (despite facing Denver twice), Johnson should see 8-10 targets once again and hopefully remember what the end zone looks like.
Tavon Austin $6000: There was one other week that I liked Austin and he went off vs. the 49ers so I sorta feel like I’ve used up my one good Austin call this year but here goes anyway. Austin actually has two good games—the other coming at Arizona in Week 4—to his credit and 6 TDs on the season. The Ravens, as noted above, are the premier team to target when choosing QB-WR stacks. So if you’re going with Keenum, I’d pair him with Austin. There is something to the idea that backup QBs and WR1s don’t work together as much, but there’s no one else in this offense that I want to risk a roster spot on. That said, by this logic, an old favorite of mine, Lance Kendricks, is your guy.
Garrett Celek $4800: The Blaine Gabbert experience, through one game, has focused on Celek, who was able to account for both touchdowns Gabbert threw in Week 10. Those were both short end zone passes (Celek’s line was 2/12/2) but the very fact that the 49ers were in the red zone and twice looked to Celek is encouraging at this price. Seattle is allowing the fourth most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, and while the matchup is certainly going to make it harder for San Francisco to make it all the way down the field, catching touchdowns builds trust and rapport with your QB. The role could expand.
Tampa Bay $4000: Those that know me know that this is a gratuitous opportunity to cite Mark Sanchez’ less than stellar career stats. TDs and INTs are neck-in-neck for the lead and I think INTs has a chance to regain the lead this week! Sanchez has 82 career TDs and 81 career INTs with 50 fumbles in 70 games started. The Bucs defense has had some okay games, including solid performances against Dallas, Atlanta, New Orleans, and Jacksonville. They are tied for second with nine fumble recoveries and around average in sacks and interceptions. But this is about Sanchez. The Eagles can’t run the ball on every play, which means there will be opportunities for the Bucs defense.