FanDuel Bargain Bin Week 16
Each week I search for the cheapest viable options for your FanDuel lineups at every position. The plays are geared toward cash games unless otherwise indicated and I do try to use a price ceiling of $6500 for QB, $6000 for RB/WR, and $5500 for TE insomuch as possible.
I’m going to assume that if you’re going bargain at quarterback for Week 17 it’s because there are a bunch of wide receivers and running backs that you want to pay up for. Therefore, we’ll highlight the deepest value possible this week.
Blaine Gabbert $6000: Gabbert has just two multi-touchdown passing games and one game with over 300 passing yards since taking over for San Francisco. His best effort, fantasy-wise, came in a game in which he rushed for 76 yards and scored a rushing touchdown. What he has done every week is keep his head above water and not turn in a fantasy performance that kills your lineup, at least not given his cost. We’ve seen plenty of 13-16 FanDuel point weeks from QBs that cost $2K more than Gabbert recently. The Rams have allowed 15 passing TDs in their last seven games and the 49ers are at home to close the season. I think Gabbert could be surprisingly serviceable this week.
James White $6400: White has the versatility to play in all phases of the game and while he typically makes an impact in the short receiving game (26 receptions in the last four games), he has been a touchdown machine, scoring in each of those four games. That usage rate in scoring situations is ideal against a Dolphins defense that allows the most fantasy points to running backs.
Bilal Powell $6000: Powell continues to be the more effective back for the Jets, with his role in the receiving game again pushing his fantasy potential high enough to warrant weekly consideration. He has at least five catches in each and three total touchdowns in his last four games. His yards per carry on his limited carries have also been impressive over that span (e.g. around 6 YPC on average). The Bills are a middle of the road run defense, but I’m all in on the Jets this week as they fight for their playoff spot.
Michael Floyd $6500: Floyd is fairly priced here relative to other sites where he’s a much bigger bargain, but he’s still cheap relative to his production and potential this week. He had two touchdowns against Seattle in Week 10, and four over the last seven games. In that span he also has five 100+yard receiving games. He’s an integral part of an efficient Cardinals offense that has the firepower to beat Seattle again, this time in Arizona. Lest you’re concerned with the Seattle defenders, Floyd projects to get the third-best WR-CB matchup according to Mike Clay’s chart.
DeVante Parker $6100: Parker is coming on strong to close out the 2015 season, as many predicted he would back in the summer. The foot injury is behind him and he’s making big plays (over 20 yards per catch in three of the last four games). He’s also getting plenty of attention from Ryan Tannehill, including 10 targets last week. The speedy rookie should again be a major focus as Miami will probably look to throw a lot to keep up with the Patriots (and because the Dolphins refuse to commit to the run game). All he needs is a big TD to exceed value.
Zach Ertz $5700: I’ve never been as high on Ertz as some people, but I see the Philadelphia-New York Giants game as a high scoring shootout. Coaching drama aside, Sam Bradford has looked to Ertz 30 times in the past two games!! 30! He’s hauled in 21 of those for exactly 200 receiving yards and a touchdown. There was a 5/98 game just prior so I have a hard time thinking this is just a fluke. The Giants have given up the second-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, so please get yourselves some Ertz exposure.
Vance McDonald $4600: I refrained from mentioning him above, but consider what I said about Gabbert and focus it on the hands of McDonald. He led the team in every receiving category in Week 16, and the Rams give up the ninth-most fantasy points to tight ends.
Indianapolis Colts $4200/Tennessee Titans $4100:
OK, neither of these are good defenses, but neither are they good offenses. Tennessee has given up the most fantasy points to opposing defenses, and Indianapolis the fifth-most. Tennessee has 32 giveaways on the season, which combined with the Colts’ 24 takeaways is one of the best ratios of the week. The Colts are my top pick in the bargain range, but if you absolutely need the extra $100, I haven’t often gone wrong playing the defense facing the Colts, who might be starting someone named Stephen Morris this week at QB.