Welcome to the FanDuel Fades where we highlight players that we think you should avoid tonight. It's worth emphasizing that this is meant exclusively for daily leagues and the players are being weighed against their FanDuel prices. This is NOT meant to provide any insight into how we view these players in season-long fantasy leagues. After the recommendations you'll find today's list of probable goaltenders, which we update during the afternoon.
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Tyler Toffoli RW (Los Angeles) - $5,400
Toffoli has been held off the scoresheet for five straight games and seven of his last eight contests. Keep an eye on him because if he wasn't so cold and if the Kings weren't set to play against Washington in what may prove to be a low scoring game against two top squads, Toffoli would be a fairly good pickup at that price. I'm still recommending passing on him tonight, but at some point in the not too distant future I might feel the opposite is appropriate.
Brock Nelson LW (NY Islanders) - $5,000
Nelson has found the back of the net once and hasn't chipped in a single assist over his last nine games. On top of that this will be the Islanders' third game in four days, so fatigue is a concern. Nelson hasn't typically been a great bet this season, even at that price, but this is a particularly rough patch for him.
Rickard Rakell C (Anaheim) - $6,400
Rakell is averaging 2.6 FanDuel points per game and to give that context, fellow centers Nathan MacKinnon ($6,400) and Nicklas Backstrom ($6,200) are averaging 3.2 and 3.5 respectively. Those two weren't cherry picked either, they were just the two after Rakell on the list sorted by centers from most to least impressive. If you're willing to spend a bit more, you can also get Matt Duchene (3.1, $6,600), Jeff Carter (3.4, $6,900), or Evgeny Kuznetsov (3.9, $7,000). So it's fair to say that Rakell's overall performance this season isn't a great match for his current price when measured against his competition. That might be okay if Rakell had excelled lately, but he's been limited to a modest goal and assist in his last five contests.
Alexander Ovechkin LW (Washington) - $10,000
Ovechkin is one of the best players in the league, but he's also the most expensive player available today and will consume over 18% of your total budget if you take him, so naturally the bar has to be set very high. A lot of the time he does surpass even that high bar, but he's on the colder side at the moment with just a goal and an assist in his last six games. That combined with the fact that the Capitals are up against the stingy Kings in Los Angeles makes me feel like it would be better to go with a cheaper option tonight. It's not that Ovechkin can't have a good game tonight, but at that price you have to feel like the odds of success are heavily stacked in his favor and in this instance I think he's more of a gamble.
Andrew Shaw RW (Chicago) - $5,200
Shaw has been rather hot-and-cold lately, transitioning from a four-game point streak immediately to his current six-game drought. I recommend waiting this cold streak out before you consider taking him in a daily league. Even once it's over though, there will likely be plenty of nights where you'll want to pass on him as his current price of $5,200 is at best mediocre value for a right winger that averages 2.3 FanDuel points per game.
Johnny Boychuk D (NY Islanders) - $5,400
There's some fairly hot defensemen right now from Shea Weber ($5,800), who has six points in his last four games to Sami Vatanen ($5,400), who has two goals and 10 points in his last 10 contests. By contrast Boychuk has been held off the scoresheet in eight of his last nine games. I considered giving him a pass because the Islanders will be playing against the weak Maple Leafs, but even if you wanted to take advantage of that matchup, Nick Leddy at $5,000 is probably your better bet. Leddy is the Islanders defenseman that's hot right now with five points in his last three contests.