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FanDuel MLB Bargains: Friday

by Brad Johnson
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

When looking at “bargains” on FanDuel, we'll typically focus on hitters who are $3,200 or lower. In general, we'll only highlight players at the top end of that scale if they have star potential.

 

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

 

On to the bargain plays...

 

1 – Sean Newcomb – SP – Atlanta (FanDuel $7,100)

 

Newcomb serves as a good example of the discrepancy between real and fantasy value. Since he walks so many batters, he's always on the edge of a meltdown outing. Yet for our purposes on FanDuel, Newcomb's high strikeout rate ensures a reasonably high floor with upside for a big point total. While the Phillies offense is no longer the complete disaster we exploited through the first four months of the season, it's still a below average unit. Newcomb should be expected to provide 30 points.

 

2 – Chris Iannetta – C – Arizona (FanDuel $2,400)

 

The Diamondbacks are hosting Adam Conley and the Marlins. Although the southpaw doesn't have serious platoon splits, he does walk more righties than lefties. It's a sign that opposite-handed hitters see him well. Iannetta has a long history as a platoon masher. He's batting .297/.402/.500 this year with the advantage.

 

3 – Logan Morrison – 1B – Tampa Bay (FanDuel $2,600)

 

The Rays are set to face Ubaldo Jimenez at homer friendly Camden Yards. Jimenez has had only a few good outings in an otherwise terrible season. Odds are strong that he'll struggle with command once again. Morrison is in a deep funk – hence the bargain price. Over his last 36 plate appearances, he has only one hit. He's continued to bat cleanup throughout the slump, signaling to me that the Rays think he's healthy. While I usually ignore batter versus pitcher data, I'll note that Morrison is 6-for-14 against Jimenez.

 

4 – Jonathan Schoop – 2B – Baltimore (FanDuel $2,900)

 

Schoop isn't slumping as badly as Morrison, but he is well below his usual production levels. In the month of September, he's hitting for less power while suffering a .250 BABIP. This appears to be typical variance rather than an actual injury or other serious issue. He's set to face Alex Cobb this evening. The Rays righty tends to pick the edges of the strike zone. It's not a great fit for Schoop's aggressive tendencies.

 

5 – Mike Moustakas – 3B – Kansas City (FanDuel $2,800)

 

I'm rather surprised at this price. Moose is coming off a strong series in Toronto. The Royals all-time home run leader has a shot at 40 this season. He's currently sitting on 37. A visit to homer friendly Guaranteed Rate Park ought to help him in his quest for glory. Reynaldo Lopez is a relatively talented pitchers, but he does have issues with his pitches flattening out at times. When that happens, he's more likely to cough up a big fly.

 

6 – Adam Rosales – SS – Arizona (FanDuel $2,000)

 

Rosales is today's token minimum price target. The utility fielder has been making spot starts when the Diamondbacks face a left-hander. Obviously, if he's not in the lineup, go with another option. Rosales should be viewed as high risk, high reward. He's developed into a fly ball hitter with decent power. However, he's also extremely strikeout prone. Conley has struggled with home runs lately – he's allowed nine over his last 31.2 innings.

 

7 – Corey Dickerson – OF – Tampa (FanDuel $2,300)

 

Here's another slumping Ray opposite Jimenez. Which version of bad will win out? After setting the world on fire early in the year, Dickerson has regressed mightily in the second half. Since the start of September, he's only hitting .122/.157/.224 with a .179 BABIP. His plate discipline has completely evaporated – 3.9 percent walks and 39.2 percent strikeouts. Against an erratic pitcher, Dickerson seems likely to flop again. However, we know he has more than enough power and ability to punish Jimenez. There's at least a chance he winds up as a heroic DFS star.

 

8 – Victor Robles – OF – Washington (FanDuel $2,100)

 

Robles has received inconsistent playing time. It's been a week since his last start – he's seemingly due for an appearance. Robert Gsellman is performing like a Triple-A quality pitcher this year – the kind of pitcher against which Robles is already comfortable. The top prospect blends decent power with plus speed and quality plate discipline. He should receive a few more starts now that the Nationals have clinched. They're trying to see if he should fill a role on the postseason roster.

 

9 – Jose Martinez – OF – St. Louis (FanDuel $2,600)

10 – Stephen Piscotty– OF – St. Louis (FanDuel $2,300)

 

 

At these prices, Martinez is a must play any time he's in the lineup. When he does play, he bats cleanup for the Cardinals. He's emerged as the latest late-career breakout. Martinez mixes a decent contact rate and plate discipline with plus power. The overall package can be quite valuable for DFS purposes – kind of a cheaper J.D. Martinez. Piscotty doesn't offer nearly as much upside. He's still a decent high average, high OBP target with a hint of power. His home run potential gets a big boost from Great American Ballpark tonight. The Cardinals opponent, Sal Romano, has pitched well lately. Even so, there's no reason to avoid him.

 Robles  

Brad Johnson

You can read more from Brad Johnson on NBC Sports Edge, FanGraphs, and RotoFanatic. Find him on Patreon and Twitter @BaseballATeam.