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FanDuel MLB Bargains: Monday

by Brad Johnson
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

When looking at “bargains” on FanDuel, we'll typically focus on hitters who are $3,200 or lower. In general, we'll only highlight players at the top end of that scale if they have star potential.

 

We have nine games total today with only eight in the main contest. Cincinnati's going rogue with a noon-time game. Four expensive aces are available including Jon Lester, Carlos Carrasco, Stephen Strasburg, and David Price. As usual, you need bargains to roster them.

 

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

 

Editor's Note: Don't whiff on this special FanDuel offer: win your first contest or get your money back (up to $10) to keep playing. Try FanDuel now.

 

Onto the bargain plays...

 

1 – Dylan Bundy – SP – Baltimore (FanDuel $7,200)

 

Bundy is opposed by Strasburg and the Nationals. In other words, this is a pure fade. The smart money is on Strasburg outperforming Bundy – either by shutting down the Orioles or because the Nationals touched up Bundy. Regular GPP players know that the high value lineups often have to bet the long odds. You're less likely to cash with Bundy, but you might be more likely to win a big prize. Extra emphasis on 'might.'

 

As for Bundy's performance, prior to his meltdown against the Red Sox last week, he strung together five strong outings. Point totals ranged from 35 to 54. Bundy doesn't often pitch deep into his starts, making seven innings a likely ceiling. By comparison, Strasburg is capable of a nine inning, 10 strikeout gem.

 

2 – Gary Sanchez – C – New York (FanDuel $2,900)

 

Sanchez is batting .361/.409/.738 with six home runs in 66 plate appearances. Those aren't the numbers of a $2,900 hitter. Granted, I appreciate that FanDuel isn't overreacting to an unsustainable .400 BABIP or .377 ISO, but it's still worthwhile to jump on the bandwagon before the league adjusts. We went through the same thing with Willson Contreras earlier this season. The league will adjust. There's DFS value to be had while we wait. Sanchez is opposed by mediocre righty Cody Martin.

 

3 – Josh Bell – 1B – Pittsburgh (FanDuel $2,100)

 

He's baaaack. Arguably the Indians top hitting prospect, Bell was recalled to take the place of Jung-ho Kang. Ostensibly, there will be at least some starting reps for Bell at first base. The switch-hitter is an offense-first player with no true defensive home. Scouting reports dislike his fielding at first base and in the outfield. Honestly, I thought he'd be traded at the deadline to an American League club.

 

There's no question he can hit. He's experienced a power breakout at Triple-A with 14 home runs in 484 plate appearances to go with a .295/.382/.468 slash, 11.8 percent walk rate, and 15.3 percent strikeout rate. He's opposed by Doug Fister today.

 

4 – Kyle Seager – 3B – Seattle (FanDuel $3,200)

 

Seager is having a career year, yet there was a point in April when traditional fantasy owners were cutting him. Since his brutal slump ended on April 30, he's batting .316/.387/.548 with 19 home runs in 431 plate appearances. Seager is opposed by homer prone righty Michael Pineda. The Mariners fifth hitter is a solid bet to go yard. And while he's no Khris Davis, Seager may even pop a pair tonight.

 

5 – Aaron Hill – 3B – Boston (FanDuel $2,600)

 

If, for some reason, you prefer a punty-er third baseman, Hill is an option versus southpaw Blake Snell. The Rays lefty is actually good enough to survive an outing against the Red Sox, but that's far from a certainty. If they do rough him up, Hill could receive five plate appearances. He has modest handedness splits and benefits from a potent supporting cast.

 

6 – Addison Russell – SS – Chicago (FanDuel $3,000)

 

Russell is one of the top shortstops tonight opposite Edwin Jackson. Russell enjoyed a recent visit to Coors Field, popping three home runs in three games. He'll find Petco Park to be a much stingier environment for right-handed hitters. Jackson, however, is terrible. Russell has morphed into the regular fifth hitter for the Cubs. They should produce plenty of RBI opportunities for their star shortstop.

 

7 – Khris Davis – OF – Oakland (FanDuel $3,000)

 

When looking for that last high octane hitter, never count out Davis. It's usually smart to avoid all matchups against Carlos Carrasco, but the ace has suffered from a mild case of homeritis this season (1.40 HR/9). That mostly stems from a mediocre fastball since his other pitches are quite excellent. With four multi-homer games this season, no other hitter is more likely to make or break your lineup on a given day.

 

That said, this is a very difficult matchup for Davis. Not only does he have to solve Carrasco, he may also be tasked with defeating Andrew Miller and/or Cody Allen.

 

8 – Gregory Polanco – OF – Pittsburgh (FanDuel $3,200)

 

Polanco has a top 10 outfielder projection today, and you're unlikely to get more for less. The lefty is having a superb breakout season with a .270/.340/.480 line, 17 home runs, and 11 stolen bases. Serving as the regular cleanup hitter, Polanco has the tools and opportunity to produce in a variety of ways tonight – either at the plate or on the bases. Fister can be slightly homer prone, but PNC Park counteracts that effect.

 

9 – Domingo Santana – OF – Milwaukee (FanDuel $2,200)

 

Among the extra cheap outfielders, Santana stands out. The talented 23-year-old recently returned from an elbow injury. He missed a big chunk of the season and undoubtedly has to shake of layers of rust. Jon Gray isn't an easy opponent either, but Santana has the raw talent to punish mistakes at hitter friendly Miller Park. Santana has suffered from an extreme ground ball rate this season which could benefit Gray.

Brad Johnson

You can read more from Brad Johnson on NBC Sports Edge, FanGraphs, and RotoFanatic. Find him on Patreon and Twitter @BaseballATeam.