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FanDuel MLB Bargains: Monday

by Brad Johnson
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

When looking at “bargains” on FanDuel, we'll typically focus on hitters who are $3,200 or lower. In general, we'll only highlight players at the top end of that scale if they have star potential.

 

It's a 10 game evening featuring a couple aces and a Coors Field game. Just the night for a few bargains to mortar a big lineup. Keep an eye on the weather report in Colorado. Storms lurk on the horizon. A postponement is possible.

 

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

 

Editor’s Note: Sign up for Yahoo Fantasy Baseball: Get in the game and create or join a league today.

 

Onto the bargain plays...

 

1 – Trevor Cahill – SP – San Diego (FanDuel $7,200)

 

Cahill has a high risk, high reward matchup against the Rangers. Since San Diego is playing host, the Rangers will be without a designated hitter. Cahill has drawn attention to himself with a 3.60 ERA, 11.10 K/9 and 57 percent ground ball rate. Regression awaits. He usually allows home runs, and his minus command will lead to more walks and fewer strikeouts going forward. Although he's averaged six innings per start, he's thrice failed to escape the fifth inning. You need those quality starts on FanDuel now.

 

2 – Gary Sanchez – C – New York (FanDuel $3,200)

 

Sanchez is on the expensive end of the bargain pool. He has a promising matchup against Rookie Davis in his fourth game back from the disabled list. Everything is in line for a multi-homer game. The park is small, the opponent is bad, the Reds' bullpen has a soft squishy underbelly. Sanchez only has one home run in 34 plate appearances. It's just a matter of time before he goes wild.

 

3 – Kendrys Morales – 1B – Toronto (FanDuel $2,900)

 

In large tournaments, it's often necessary to find unpopular, high value players. Morales may fulfill the role tonight. The switch-hitter is opposed by Trevor Bauer. He's allowed 2.00 HR/9 this season. Bauer is once again struggling with minus command. Nobody is using Blue Jays these days. Morales has multi-homer ability as he demonstrated on May 5.

 

4 – Jed Lowrie – 2B – Oakland (FanDuel $2,300)

 

In this era of home runs, most of my bargain targets have a believable path to multiple blasts. Passing a smell test is not entirely necessary. After all, Daniel Nava, Josh Harrison, and Tim Beckham have provided two homer games. We can't rule out a high contact bat like Jed Lowrie. Meanwhile, he costs next to nothing and is slashing .294/.366/.422. He's always been a good hitter when healthy. Lowrie will probably bat second or third against Ricky Nolasco.

 

5 – Jedd Gyorko – 3B – St. Louis (FanDuel $3,100)

 

Once upon a time, Gyorko was purely a platoon bat. He's no longer constrained by such trivial issues. Even so, it can't hurt for him to face erratic southpaw Adam Conley. Gyorko is the Cardinals regular cleanup hitter. He's seeing the ball well, hitting for both average and power. A .418 BABIP will decline, but we're not concerned about the long view. All that matters is his ability to mash Conley.

 

6 – Didi Gregorius – SS – New York (FanDuel $3,200)

 

Gregorius probably isn't going to repeat the 20 home runs he posted last season. There were too many fluky elements to his performance – even with the help of Yankee Stadium. However, a 15 home run season should not be ruled out. Pitchers like Davis working in parks like GABP provide the easiest path to tallying big flies. The lefty shortstop is still shaking off some rust. I'd like this pick a lot more if he cost $2,600. There isn't much room for profit in a $3,200 price tag.

 

7 – Andrew Toles – OF – Los Angeles (FanDuel $3,000)

 

Toles is hot. He's reached base in all of his last nine games while batting leadoff or cleanup. A low BABIP early in the season has hidden otherwise stout production. Most importantly, he's opposed by Trevor Williams, a bad swingman on the Pirates. Williams is homer prone and struggles to retire major league hitters. Dodger Stadium is friendly to left-handed power most nights.

 

8 – Tommy Pham – OF – St. Louis (FanDuel $2,000)

 

Pham represents the ultimate bargain. He's already popped three home runs since his recall on May 5 including two yesterday. He may find himself moving up in the order just in time to face Conley. Before you load up on the battered Cardinals, do note that the Marlins bullpen is talented. If Conley is effectively wild tonight – something he achieves more often than not – the Cards could find themselves with poor DFS numbers.

 

9 – Jacoby Ellsbury – OF – New York (FanDuel $3,200)

 

In this age of power, it's easy to forget how good Ellsbury is when healthy. He's just returning from a minor injury so perhaps now is not the time to grab a share. Then again, he homered yesterday for the third time in nine games. As noted above, all the stars are aligned for a potent Yankees stack tonight. The only issue is picking which four Yankees to bet upon. Ellsbury batted leadoff on Sunday. He's also spent a lot of time in the cleanup slot. See where he slots in tonight before making a decision.

 

10 – Jayson Werth – OF – Washington (FanDuel $3,100)

 

Early season Kevin Gausman is a nightmare for Orioles fans. He's been worse than ever this season. Werth bats second for a potent Nationals offense. You missed his two home run game yesterday, but he still looks like a great value at Baltimore. Camden Yards is great for right-handed power. Werth is a patient hitter, making him a good fit against an inconsistent arm like Gausman.

Brad Johnson

You can read more from Brad Johnson on NBC Sports Edge, FanGraphs, and RotoFanatic. Find him on Patreon and Twitter @BaseballATeam.